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Best Bets: Formula Drift St. Louis Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: Formula Drift St. Louis Pre-Event Odds Analysis

 

 

The 2024 Formula Drift season has reached a critical juncture as the series heads to World Wide Technology Raceway for Round 5. The recent showdown in Englishtown, New Jersey saw James Deane further cement his status as the man to beat, securing his second victory of the season and extending his championship lead to a commanding 74 points. Meanwhile, Aurimas Bakchis thrust himself back into title contention with a runner-up finish, leapfrogging Simen Olsen in the standings after the Norwegian’s shock withdrawal due to mechanical issues.

As the championship battle intensifies and the margin for error shrinks, St. Louis promises to be a pivotal battleground in the fight for drift supremacy. The unique layout of World Wide Technology Raceway, with its high-speed entry and technical infield section, will push drivers and machines to their absolute limits. With Deane looking to maintain his iron grip on the title chase and a pack of hungry challengers eager to close the gap, the stage is set for a weekend of high-stakes drama and tire-shredding action. To help navigate the burning rubber and shifting odds, we’ve broken down the key contenders and most enticing wagers for what promises to be a defining moment in the 2024 championship saga.

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Schedule and How to Watch Formula Drift St. Louis

Formula Drift roars into World Wide Technology Raceway in Madison, Illinois (just outside St. Louis) on July 18-20 for Round 5 of the PRO Championship and Round 3 of the PROSPEC Championship. The action kicks off with practice and qualifying on Friday, followed by the main competition heats on Saturday, with the PRO Top 32 starting at 4:30 PM CDT on Saturday and the Finals scheduled for 8:30 PM CDT under the lights.

To catch all the action, tune in to the official Formula Drift live stream on their website or follow the event on social media for real-time updates. To stay up to date on odds and results, be sure to check NXTbets.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for Formula Drift St. Louis

Top Picks for FD St. Louis

Driver

Event Winner Odds

Payout per $20

James Deane

+750

$170.00

Aurimas Bakchis

+916

$203.20

Fredric Aasbo

+948

$209.60

James Deane (+750): The three-time champion is in the midst of one of the most dominant runs in recent Formula Drift history, having racked up four podiums and two wins in the first four rounds. Deane’s metronomic consistency and ice-cold demeanor under pressure have allowed him to build a substantial points cushion, but he can ill afford to rest on his laurels. The Irishman’s smooth, precise style should mesh well with the technical aspects of the St. Louis track, where he claimed victory in 2019. However, the high-speed entry could prove challenging for his AutoZone Ford Mustang RTR, which has occasionally struggled with straight-line stability. At +750, Deane offers solid value given his current form, but bettors should be wary of diminishing returns as the field looks to close the gap.

Aurimas Bakchis (+916): After a roller-coaster start to the season that saw him battle through a massive fire in Atlanta and an engine failure in Orlando, “Odi” seems to have found his groove. The Lithuanian’s runner-up finish in Englishtown vaulted him to second in the standings and served notice that he’s ready to mount a serious title challenge. Bakchis’ aggressive style and willingness to push the limits should play well in St. Louis, where he finished third in 2022. The question mark surrounds the reliability of his Feal Suspension / GT Radial Nissan S15 – if the team has truly sorted out their early-season gremlins, Bakchis could be primed for a breakthrough win. At +916, he represents an intriguing blend of proven talent and potential upside.

Fredric Aasbo (+948): The three-time champion finds himself in unfamiliar territory, sitting third in the standings and still searching for the consistency that has defined his career. Aasbo showed flashes of his usual brilliance in Englishtown before being eliminated in a hard-fought Great 8 battle, but he’ll need to string together a complete weekend if he hopes to close the gap on Deane. The Norwegian veteran has a strong track record in St. Louis, including a win in 2021, and his Rockstar Energy Toyota GR Supra should be well-suited to the high-speed entry. If Aasbo and the Papadakis Racing squad can dial in their setup and recapture their championship form, +948 odds could look like a bargain in hindsight.

Outsider Bets for FD St. Louis

Driver

Event Winner Odds

Payout per $20

Ryan Tuerck

+1141

$248.20

Connor Shanahan

+1225

$265.00

Matt Field

+1291

$278.20

Ryan Tuerck (+1141):  Despite sitting 16th in the championship standings, Tuerck remains one of the most talented and exciting drivers in the field. The American has struggled with consistency in 2024, but his Rain-X Toyota GR Corolla has shown impressive speed when everything clicks. Tuerck’s aggressive style and willingness to hang it all out on the line could pay dividends on the unforgiving St. Louis layout, where he finished second in 2022. If he can harness his raw talent and avoid costly mistakes, Tuerck has the potential to shake up the podium and deliver a much-needed boost to his championship hopes. At +1141, he’s a high-risk, high-reward option for bettors looking for a potential upset.

Conor Shanahan (+1225):  The Irish phenom has been a revelation in his first full Formula Drift campaign, highlighted by a breakthrough victory in Orlando. While he suffered a setback with an early exit in Englishtown, Shanahan’s blend of youthful exuberance and surprising maturity makes him a constant threat. The Red Bull / Garagistic BMW driver has shown an impressive ability to adapt to new tracks quickly, which could serve him well in his St. Louis debut. If Shanahan can recapture the magic that propelled him to victory in Orlando, his +1225 odds could prove to be one of the best values on the board.

Matt Field (+1291): Few drivers in the Formula Drift paddock can match Field’s raw speed and aggression when he’s on his game. The American has been a model of consistency in 2024, banking four consecutive Top 16 finishes to keep himself in the championship conversation. Field’s all-or-nothing approach is tailor-made for the high-commitment St. Louis layout, where he claimed victory in 2022. The GT Radial Tire / Drift Cave Chevrolet Corvette has the horsepower to dominate the high-speed entry, and if Field can harness that speed through the technical infield, he has the talent to challenge for the top step of the podium. At +1291, Field represents an enticing blend of proven success and attractive odds for bettors looking to back a potential dark horse.

Expert Pick for FD St. Louis

While James Deane’s dominant form makes him the logical choice, the smart money is on Aurimas Bakchis to break through for his first win of the season in St. Louis. “Odi” has shown steady improvement throughout the campaign and appears to have solved the reliability issues that plagued him early on. His aggressive style and past success at World Wide Technology Raceway make him well-suited to the challenging layout. At +916 odds, Bakchis offers a compelling blend of championship pedigree and potential value for bettors.

Heat Picks – Top 32

As the field narrows to 32 drivers, the intensity ratchets up and every run becomes crucial. Here are our picks for the most compelling matchups in the opening round of elimination battles.

Driver

Money Line

Payout per $20

Jonathan Hurst

-206

$29.71

Nick Noback

+152

$50.40

Conor Shanahan

-283

$27.07

Jhonnattan Castro

+202

$60.40

Ryan Tuerck

-378

$25.29

Ryan Litteral

+258

$71.60

Matt Field

-470

$24.26

Diego Higa

+307

$81.40

Simen Olsen

-140

$34.29

Jeff Jones

+106

$41.20

Branden Sorensen

-116

$37.24

Kazuya Taguchi

-114

$37.54

Rome Charpentier

-338

$25.92

Trenton Beechum

+235

$67.00

Heat Picks – Top 16

With the wheat separated from the chaff, the Sweet 16 is where championship mettle is truly tested. These are the can’t-miss heats that could shape the outcome of the entire St. Louis weekend.

Driver

Money Line

Payout per $20

Forrest Wang

-193

$30.36

Vaughn Gittin Jr.

+143

$48.60

Andy Hateley

-263

$27.60

Derek Madison

+190

$58.00

Dmitriy Brutskiy

-183

$30.93

Rudy Hansen

+136

$47.20

Joao Barion

-201

$29.95

Kyle Mohan

+149

$49.80

Dean Kearney

-149

$33.42

Robert Thorne

+112

$42.40

Dan Stuke

-489

$24.09

Federico Sceriffo

+317

$83.40

Alec Robbins

-351

$25.70

Ben Hobson

+243

$68.60

Head-to-Head Picks

For those looking to dive deeper into the betting action, we’ve identified the most intriguing driver-vs-driver matchups of the weekend. These head-to-head battles offer savvy bettors the chance to capitalize on their Formula Drift knowledge and potentially uncover hidden value.

Driver

Money Line

Payout per $20

Ryan Tuerck

+105

$41.00

Fredric Aasbo

-139

$34.39

Matt Field

-110

$38.18

Conor Shanahan

-120

$36.67

Dylan Hughes

-110

$38.18

Chris Forsberg

-120

$36.67

James Deane

-131

$35.27

Aurimas Bakchis

+100

$40.00

Simen Olsen

-120

$36.67

Adam Lz

-110

$38.18

Where to Bet on Formula Drift St. Louis

Looking to lay down some action on Formula Drift St. Louis? Place your bets with ease and confidence using our partnered sportsbooks. For detailed insights, strategies, and tips to maximize your betting experience, make sure to check out the official NXTbets Formula Drift Betting Guide. With real-time odds and expert insights at your fingertips, making informed bets on the action-packed event has never been simpler. 

Whether you’re eyeing the frontrunners or considering an outsider bet, we’ve got you covered. Remember to bet responsibly and prepare to immerse yourself in the intensified excitement as the drift kings battle it out in Missouri. Happy betting!

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