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Best Bets: MotoGP Barcelona 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The 2024 MotoGP Barcelona race has arrived, signaling the finale to an enthralling season of racing. Ducati has wrapped up the constructors and team championships, but like in 2023, the rider’s title is going down to the last race. The pre-event odds favor Bagnaia for victory in Catalonia, although Jorge Martin should have enough in the tank to claim the rider’s championship.

 

Valencia was initially the host venue for finals weekend as per usual, but the organizers have done an incredible job of changing tracks at the last minute.

 

After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets. 

 

In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the Motul Solidarity Grand Prix of Barcelona has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin, where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.

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Schedule and How to Watch the MotoGP Finale in Barcelona

The final race weekend of 2024 has arrived, and the Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya is ready to put on a show. Practice gets underway on Friday, November 15th, at 4:45am EST and concludes with the race at 8am on Sunday, the 17th. 

 

An all-important sprint race is on the cards for Saturday, November 16th, at 9am East Coast time. Martin could put the rider’s championship out of the reach of Bagnaia if he earns 2 points more than the Italian.

 

ESPN is covering all the Motul Solidarity Grand Prix of Barcelona from Friday to Sunday. This allows you to keep up with the practice and qualifying results to make better-informed picks for the Moto GP  contest.

Best Bets and Picks for the 2024 MotoGP Barcelona

Top Picks and Bets

Driver

Event Winner

$20 Payout

Francesco Bagnaia

-138

$34.39

Jorge Martin

+320

$84.00

Marc Marquez

+350

$90.00

Francesco Bagnaia (-138): 

The 2023 Champion is the favorite to win in Barcelona after winning 3 of his last 4 races. Bagnaia also outclassed Martin at this track earlier in the year during the Catalunya Grand Prix when he crossed the line 1.7 seconds ahead of his opponent.

Jorge Martin (+320): 

The Madrileño is the epitome of consistency this season, finishing on the podium fifteen times. Jorge Martin has often played second fiddle to Pecco this season, finishing runner-up in 10 starts, but he also has 3 wins to his name. While he should get over the line in the rider’s championship, I struggle to see him winning on Sunday.

Marc Marquez (+350):

Veteran rider Marc Marquez hasn’t produced the same level of consistency this season as the championship leaders. However, the local excels in front of his home crowd, finishing on the podium in every race inside his native land in 2024. Although Marc can’t win the rider’s championship, he needs to fend off Enea Bastianini, who is one point behind him in 4th.

Outsider Bets

Driver

Event Winner

$20 Payout

Enea Bastianini

+1100

$240.00

Pedro Acosta

+2200

$460.00

Brad Binder

+5000

$1,020.00

Enea Bastianini (+1100): 

Ducati rider Enea Bastianini has enjoyed a relatively consistent season. He’s won twice and landed on the podium 9 times this season, highlighting his constant threat. His biggest priority this weekend is to overtake Marquez on the track and in the drivers championship.

Pedro Acosta (+2200):

Young Murciano Pedro Acosta has found himself in a tussle for 5th place in the championship with Brad Binder. The Spaniard has produced a relatively tame season but still stood on the podium 5 times. He leads Binder by 3 points and will need a strong weekend to hold onto fifth.

Brad Binder (+5000):

The season started promisingly for Brad Binder, placing second in the opening race of the year. That would be the last time he felt the material of a podium in 2024, but somehow, he keeps himself in with a shot of closing out the year in the top 5. He is an outsider this weekend, but his big-match temperament always makes him a contender.

Expert Pick for the MotoGP Barcelona

Our expert pick for Barcelona is Marc Marquez to win, at +350. His odds are more favorable than the dominant duo of Martin and Bagnaia,and the Spaniard seems to produce his best in front of the fans who have made him a MotoGP legend. Home track advantage aside, Marquez has 3 wins under his helmet in 2024 and 9 podium finishes.

Riders’ Championship Odds for Barcelona

There are some interesting battles to watch this finale weekend, with the standings far from finalized. In the middle of the table, there is a 5-way battle for 8th place between Di Giannantonio, Morbidelli, Alex Marquez, Espargaro, and Bezzechi. 

 

Further up the table, Brad Binder is chasing down Acosta in fifth, while Marc Marquez and Bastianini compete for third place. There is much to follow this weekend, but most eyes will be on the top spot.

 

Jorge Martin leads the Riders Championship by 24 points and only needs 2 points more than Francesco in the Sprint on Saturday. If Jorge can finish one position higher than the Italian in the short race, he will claim the title before the lights turn green in the finale on Sunday.

Where to Bet on MotoGP

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Malaysian GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

The Motul Solidarity Grand Prix of Barcelona promises intense battles to finalize the Drivers Championship. Bagnaia is the only rider close enough to catch Martin, but the Spaniard could win the title in the Sprint on Saturday. Fans and bettors should prepare for an electrifying race weekend as MotoGP’s best bring their all to this marquee showdown.

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