The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article:Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooksto access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
MotoGP, in coordination with the FIM (Federation Internationale de Motocyclisme), the promoter and Qatari authorities, has postponed the Qatar Grand Prix from its original April slot and rescheduled the Lusail round for Nov 8. MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta said the move was made with “great care,” with rider and public safety and wellbeing the priority. The Qatar Motor & Motorcycle Federation (QMMF) and Lusail International Circuit backed staging the race during the Nov 6–8 weekend, FIM president Jorge Viegas voiced support, and ticket holders will be able to transfer or roll over their tickets to the new date.
The rescheduling followed a recent escalation of regional hostilities, including reported Iranian drone strikes on Hamad International Airport and other buildings in Doha, which prompted several weeks of contingency planning and a review of the April dates. Organizers explored alternatives, including moving the race to early December or relocating the round, but concluded a December slot was impractical because F1 is scheduled to race at Lusail on Nov 27–29 and the tight turnaround, plus significant curb and gravel-trap work needed for F1, would not allow adequate time for circuit modifications.
As part of the late-season reshuffle, the Portuguese Grand Prix in Portimão was moved to Nov 22 and the season finale in Valencia to Nov 29; MotoGP said all other 2026 rounds remain unchanged. MotoGP and partners said the calendar adjustments aim to preserve the integrity and quality of the championship while responding to regional security concerns.
Francesco “Pecco” Bagnaia’s Brazilian weekend was defined by two crashes and a DNF. A Q2 crash early in the weekend left him with a lower-grip backup Ducati and a compromised starting position (he qualified and started 11th).
In the shortened 23-lap Goiânia GP he crashed again on lap 11 while trailing Fermin Aldeguer at Turn 1 — the second crash of the weekend and his first DNF of the season.
After the race he said, “I was just trying to hang on; I couldn’t stay on the bike,” that he had been “trying to survive,” and that he felt “at the mercy of what the bike was doing.”
The Grand Prix Commission has banned wildcard entries in the MotoGP class from the 2027 season, removing a development route teams had used to race prototypes and test new materials during Grand Prix weekends. The ban is intended to tighten on-track development pathways and harmonize restrictions across manufacturers, and it carries technical and competitive implications for manufacturers and lower-ranked teams that benefited from the A-D concessions system.
The restriction applies to all manufacturers regardless of concession rank, and the Commission said that from 2027 test riders may race only when replacing injured full-time riders. Wildcards will remain permitted in Moto2 and Moto3. The Commission also ruled that wildcards entered in 2026 may not run 2027-spec 850cc machinery, effective immediately; Ducati is unaffected because it already could not field wildcards under its existing A concession. The decision followed recent wildcard outings, including Augusto Fernández and Lorenzo Savadori at the Spanish Grand Prix, and Yamaha’s late 2025 wildcard program to develop its V4-powered M1, with Fernández debuting that bike at Misano in 2025.
The package included technical, operational and safety tweaks. The tire pressure monitoring system will be retained for 2027, and race-procedure changes increase the warm-up lap countdown after a Start Delayed from a three-minute board to a five-minute board. The Commission approved optional heart-rate monitors for Moto2 and Moto3 and issued clarifications on post-injury testing and IMU electronics homologation. These rulings were adopted in Grand Prix Commission meetings earlier this year; some measures take effect immediately, while others will be implemented before or during the 2027 season.
Joel Esteban took pole in Moto3 qualifying at the Brazilian Grand Prix in Goiânia, posting a 1:26.241 on his Level Up MTA KTM to head the 25-rider field. The session, run on Pirelli control tyres, produced extremely tight times up front: Valentin Perrone was only 0.206 seconds back in 1:26.447 and Hakim Danish a further 0.001 behind in 1:26.448, with Veda Pratama (1:26.506), Marco Morelli (1:26.560) and Brian Uriarte (1:26.835) completing the top six. Several factory-supported KTM entries filled the top positions and the front row was separated by mere hundredths of a second.
The weekend’s practice running had pointed to a highly competitive grid. Brian Uriarte led Free Practice One on Friday morning with a 1:32.812 for Red Bull KTM Ajo, while David Almansa dominated later sessions — topping Friday afternoon practice with a 1:30.260 (edging Cormac Buchanan by 0.003) and leading Saturday’s FP2 with a 1:27.308 on his Liqui Moly Dynavolt Intact GP KTM. Joel Kelso (1:27.365) and Perrone (1:27.466) were closest to Almansa in FP2.
Friday’s running also underlined the depth of rookie talent — six rookies finished inside the top 10 that day — and produced tight margins across the board, with Guido Pini recovering from a last-minute high-side to finish 11th and Max Quiles narrowly securing a spot in Q2 from 14th.
Best Bets: MotoGP San Marino GP 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
Schedule and How to Watch MotoGP San Marino GP
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Related Posts
MotoGP reschedules Qatar to Nov 8; Portimão, Valencia moved
MotoGP, in coordination with the FIM (Federation Internationale de Motocyclisme), the promoter and Qatari authorities, has postponed the Qatar Grand Prix from its original April slot and rescheduled the Lusail round for Nov 8. MotoGP CEO Carmelo Ezpeleta said the move was made with “great care,” with rider and public safety and wellbeing the priority. The Qatar Motor & Motorcycle Federation (QMMF) and Lusail International Circuit backed staging the race during the Nov 6–8 weekend, FIM president Jorge Viegas voiced support, and ticket holders will be able to transfer or roll over their tickets to the new date.
The rescheduling followed a recent escalation of regional hostilities, including reported Iranian drone strikes on Hamad International Airport and other buildings in Doha, which prompted several weeks of contingency planning and a review of the April dates. Organizers explored alternatives, including moving the race to early December or relocating the round, but concluded a December slot was impractical because F1 is scheduled to race at Lusail on Nov 27–29 and the tight turnaround, plus significant curb and gravel-trap work needed for F1, would not allow adequate time for circuit modifications.
As part of the late-season reshuffle, the Portuguese Grand Prix in Portimão was moved to Nov 22 and the season finale in Valencia to Nov 29; MotoGP said all other 2026 rounds remain unchanged. MotoGP and partners said the calendar adjustments aim to preserve the integrity and quality of the championship while responding to regional security concerns.
Trailing Aldeguer at Turn 1, Bagnaia crashes out on lap 11
Francesco “Pecco” Bagnaia’s Brazilian weekend was defined by two crashes and a DNF. A Q2 crash early in the weekend left him with a lower-grip backup Ducati and a compromised starting position (he qualified and started 11th).
In the shortened 23-lap Goiânia GP he crashed again on lap 11 while trailing Fermin Aldeguer at Turn 1 — the second crash of the weekend and his first DNF of the season.
After the race he said, “I was just trying to hang on; I couldn’t stay on the bike,” that he had been “trying to survive,” and that he felt “at the mercy of what the bike was doing.”
Grand Prix Commission bans MotoGP wildcards from 2027
The Grand Prix Commission has banned wildcard entries in the MotoGP class from the 2027 season, removing a development route teams had used to race prototypes and test new materials during Grand Prix weekends. The ban is intended to tighten on-track development pathways and harmonize restrictions across manufacturers, and it carries technical and competitive implications for manufacturers and lower-ranked teams that benefited from the A-D concessions system.
The restriction applies to all manufacturers regardless of concession rank, and the Commission said that from 2027 test riders may race only when replacing injured full-time riders. Wildcards will remain permitted in Moto2 and Moto3. The Commission also ruled that wildcards entered in 2026 may not run 2027-spec 850cc machinery, effective immediately; Ducati is unaffected because it already could not field wildcards under its existing A concession. The decision followed recent wildcard outings, including Augusto Fernández and Lorenzo Savadori at the Spanish Grand Prix, and Yamaha’s late 2025 wildcard program to develop its V4-powered M1, with Fernández debuting that bike at Misano in 2025.
The package included technical, operational and safety tweaks. The tire pressure monitoring system will be retained for 2027, and race-procedure changes increase the warm-up lap countdown after a Start Delayed from a three-minute board to a five-minute board. The Commission approved optional heart-rate monitors for Moto2 and Moto3 and issued clarifications on post-injury testing and IMU electronics homologation. These rulings were adopted in Grand Prix Commission meetings earlier this year; some measures take effect immediately, while others will be implemented before or during the 2027 season.
Joel Esteban secures pole for Level Up MTA KTM in Goiânia
Joel Esteban took pole in Moto3 qualifying at the Brazilian Grand Prix in Goiânia, posting a 1:26.241 on his Level Up MTA KTM to head the 25-rider field. The session, run on Pirelli control tyres, produced extremely tight times up front: Valentin Perrone was only 0.206 seconds back in 1:26.447 and Hakim Danish a further 0.001 behind in 1:26.448, with Veda Pratama (1:26.506), Marco Morelli (1:26.560) and Brian Uriarte (1:26.835) completing the top six. Several factory-supported KTM entries filled the top positions and the front row was separated by mere hundredths of a second.
The weekend’s practice running had pointed to a highly competitive grid. Brian Uriarte led Free Practice One on Friday morning with a 1:32.812 for Red Bull KTM Ajo, while David Almansa dominated later sessions — topping Friday afternoon practice with a 1:30.260 (edging Cormac Buchanan by 0.003) and leading Saturday’s FP2 with a 1:27.308 on his Liqui Moly Dynavolt Intact GP KTM. Joel Kelso (1:27.365) and Perrone (1:27.466) were closest to Almansa in FP2.
Friday’s running also underlined the depth of rookie talent — six rookies finished inside the top 10 that day — and produced tight margins across the board, with Guido Pini recovering from a last-minute high-side to finish 11th and Max Quiles narrowly securing a spot in Q2 from 14th.