The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article:Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooksto access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Brad Binder’s 2027 MotoGP future remains unsettled after KTM confirmed he will not ride for its factory team that season and moved to a new lineup featuring Alex Marquez and Fabio di Giannantonio. Binder said his plans are “a little bit up in the air,” and added that he expected more clarity in the coming weeks while his manager explores options. He has spent his entire MotoGP career with KTM, but the reshuffle leaves his next move unclear, with World Superbike still a possible alternative if he does not land a MotoGP seat.
Pedro Acosta offered public support for Binder, saying he would “definitely” give him his bike and praising Binder’s work ethic and commitment even though the results have not matched the effort. Acosta said Binder “definitely” deserves a ride for 2027. Acosta is also leaving KTM after 2026 to join Ducati’s factory team alongside Marc Marquez, and said he was comfortable with KTM bringing in “new blood” for its future plans.
Tech3 is the only team reported to still lack a finalized 2027 lineup, but Binder is not viewed as a leading candidate for one of its seats and has also been removed from Tech3’s shortlist, according to reports. Neil Hodgson said Tech3 owner Guenther Steiner should reconsider leaving Binder out, especially as the team is expected to weigh pairing a rookie with a more experienced rider. Binder’s options are narrowing quickly as the rider market takes shape, with his next MotoGP move likely to become clearer within weeks.
With only two races left in the 2024 season, MotoGP heads to Malaysia, where the title race between Jorge Martin and Francesco Bagnaia reaches a critical juncture. Bagnaia’s skillful wet-weather win in Thailand has narrowed Martin’s championship lead to just 17 points. As the riders prepare for the fast-paced Sepang International Circuit, all eyes are …
LCR Honda became the first Honda-supported team to unveil its 2026 liveries as it builds momentum ahead of Sepang testing. Johann Zarco will retain a Castrol-themed design, red, white, and green with new black and blue accents, while Diogo Moreira’s fairing switches to Pro Honda, ending LCR’s long association with Idemitsu on that bike.
Zarco, 35, arrives at Sepang under a multi-year LCR deal that runs through 2027 and guarantees parity of technical spec and updates with the factory team. He will start his on-track program at the official Sepang test on February 3–5. Moreira, 21, the reigning Moto2 champion, signed a multi-year deal with HRC to race an RC213V in MotoGP and will carry Pro Honda as his title partner. Unlike predecessor Somkiat Chantra, Moreira will have access to factory-spec machinery, and LCR confirmed his full Pro Honda livery will appear on track at Sepang after an initial shakedown run in black.
At the Sepang shakedown, Moreira showed encouraging pace, improving through the session and posting a late best lap of 1:58.338. That time put him ahead of Toprak Razgatlioglu, with KTM test rider Dani Pedrosa splitting them; one account placed Moreira sixth overall while another listed him eighth. Zarco’s new Castrol livery is also due to appear during the Sepang test. The preseason will finish with a final Buriram test on Feb 21–22, ahead of the Thai season opener on Feb 27–Mar 1. The combined sponsorship updates, visual rebrand, and early running data will help shape LCR Honda’s preparations as official testing gets underway.
Dunlop has been named the official tire supplier and technical partner for the inaugural 2026 Harley‑Davidson Bagger World Cup, a new MotoGP support series. The appointment marks Dunlop’s return to the MotoGP paddock after supplying Moto2 and Moto3 until 2024, and builds on the company’s bagger‑racing work with the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet program in MotoAmerica, which secured the 2025 riders’ and teams’ titles. Dunlop will supply dedicated racing tires and provide full technical and trackside support across the series.
The World Cup will run six double‑header rounds (12 races) on selected MotoGP weekends: Circuit of the Americas (Mar 27–29), Mugello (May 29–31), Assen (Jun 26–28), Silverstone (Aug 7–9), MotorLand Aragón (Aug 28–30) and the Red Bull Ring (Sep 18–20). Dorna confirmed the championship in mid‑2025 following a strategic partnership between MotoGP and Harley‑Davidson in late 2024. The new series takes the calendar slot of the MotoE World Championship, which is shelved for 2026. No teams or riders have been named yet.
Competitors will race identical Harley‑Davidson Road Glide machines prepared by the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet Factory Race Team, powered by Screamin’ Eagle Milwaukee‑Eight 131 crate engines. The bikes are specified at roughly 280 kg, produce more than 200 hp, and can exceed 300 km/h. Dunlop will supply specific tire sizes (front 120/75 R17 and rear 200/65 R17), provide full on‑track tire service at each round, and administer a US$250,000 contingency prize fund with progressive payouts to the top ten finishers of each race plus a US$25,000 end‑of‑season champion bonus. Together, the factory‑prepared spec machines, integrated tire support, and substantial contingency program position the Bagger World Cup as a factory‑backed, high‑performance spec‑bike championship designed to showcase bagger racing on major international race weekends.
Best Bets: MotoGP San Marino GP 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
Schedule and How to Watch MotoGP San Marino GP
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Related Posts
Binder’s 2027 MotoGP future hangs after KTM reshuffle
Brad Binder’s 2027 MotoGP future remains unsettled after KTM confirmed he will not ride for its factory team that season and moved to a new lineup featuring Alex Marquez and Fabio di Giannantonio. Binder said his plans are “a little bit up in the air,” and added that he expected more clarity in the coming weeks while his manager explores options. He has spent his entire MotoGP career with KTM, but the reshuffle leaves his next move unclear, with World Superbike still a possible alternative if he does not land a MotoGP seat.
Pedro Acosta offered public support for Binder, saying he would “definitely” give him his bike and praising Binder’s work ethic and commitment even though the results have not matched the effort. Acosta said Binder “definitely” deserves a ride for 2027. Acosta is also leaving KTM after 2026 to join Ducati’s factory team alongside Marc Marquez, and said he was comfortable with KTM bringing in “new blood” for its future plans.
Tech3 is the only team reported to still lack a finalized 2027 lineup, but Binder is not viewed as a leading candidate for one of its seats and has also been removed from Tech3’s shortlist, according to reports. Neil Hodgson said Tech3 owner Guenther Steiner should reconsider leaving Binder out, especially as the team is expected to weigh pairing a rookie with a more experienced rider. Binder’s options are narrowing quickly as the rider market takes shape, with his next MotoGP move likely to become clearer within weeks.
Best Bets: MotoGP Malaysian GP 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis
With only two races left in the 2024 season, MotoGP heads to Malaysia, where the title race between Jorge Martin and Francesco Bagnaia reaches a critical juncture. Bagnaia’s skillful wet-weather win in Thailand has narrowed Martin’s championship lead to just 17 points. As the riders prepare for the fast-paced Sepang International Circuit, all eyes are …
LCR Honda Unveils 2026 Castrol and Pro Honda Liveries
LCR Honda became the first Honda-supported team to unveil its 2026 liveries as it builds momentum ahead of Sepang testing. Johann Zarco will retain a Castrol-themed design, red, white, and green with new black and blue accents, while Diogo Moreira’s fairing switches to Pro Honda, ending LCR’s long association with Idemitsu on that bike.
Zarco, 35, arrives at Sepang under a multi-year LCR deal that runs through 2027 and guarantees parity of technical spec and updates with the factory team. He will start his on-track program at the official Sepang test on February 3–5. Moreira, 21, the reigning Moto2 champion, signed a multi-year deal with HRC to race an RC213V in MotoGP and will carry Pro Honda as his title partner. Unlike predecessor Somkiat Chantra, Moreira will have access to factory-spec machinery, and LCR confirmed his full Pro Honda livery will appear on track at Sepang after an initial shakedown run in black.
At the Sepang shakedown, Moreira showed encouraging pace, improving through the session and posting a late best lap of 1:58.338. That time put him ahead of Toprak Razgatlioglu, with KTM test rider Dani Pedrosa splitting them; one account placed Moreira sixth overall while another listed him eighth. Zarco’s new Castrol livery is also due to appear during the Sepang test. The preseason will finish with a final Buriram test on Feb 21–22, ahead of the Thai season opener on Feb 27–Mar 1. The combined sponsorship updates, visual rebrand, and early running data will help shape LCR Honda’s preparations as official testing gets underway.
Dunlop Named Official Tire Partner for 2026 Bagger World Cup
Dunlop has been named the official tire supplier and technical partner for the inaugural 2026 Harley‑Davidson Bagger World Cup, a new MotoGP support series. The appointment marks Dunlop’s return to the MotoGP paddock after supplying Moto2 and Moto3 until 2024, and builds on the company’s bagger‑racing work with the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet program in MotoAmerica, which secured the 2025 riders’ and teams’ titles. Dunlop will supply dedicated racing tires and provide full technical and trackside support across the series.
The World Cup will run six double‑header rounds (12 races) on selected MotoGP weekends: Circuit of the Americas (Mar 27–29), Mugello (May 29–31), Assen (Jun 26–28), Silverstone (Aug 7–9), MotorLand Aragón (Aug 28–30) and the Red Bull Ring (Sep 18–20). Dorna confirmed the championship in mid‑2025 following a strategic partnership between MotoGP and Harley‑Davidson in late 2024. The new series takes the calendar slot of the MotoE World Championship, which is shelved for 2026. No teams or riders have been named yet.
Competitors will race identical Harley‑Davidson Road Glide machines prepared by the Harley‑Davidson x Dynojet Factory Race Team, powered by Screamin’ Eagle Milwaukee‑Eight 131 crate engines. The bikes are specified at roughly 280 kg, produce more than 200 hp, and can exceed 300 km/h. Dunlop will supply specific tire sizes (front 120/75 R17 and rear 200/65 R17), provide full on‑track tire service at each round, and administer a US$250,000 contingency prize fund with progressive payouts to the top ten finishers of each race plus a US$25,000 end‑of‑season champion bonus. Together, the factory‑prepared spec machines, integrated tire support, and substantial contingency program position the Bagger World Cup as a factory‑backed, high‑performance spec‑bike championship designed to showcase bagger racing on major international race weekends.