The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article:Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooksto access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Would you like to watch some of the world’s best motorcycle riders compete using powerful, advanced bikes? MotoGP is an excellent choice. You can further heighten your experience by betting on MotoGP races and events. We recommend using relevant promos and bonuses to maximize your bets. At NXTbets, we are committed to helping you enjoy …
Marc Márquez crashed three times during the final pre‑season test at Buriram, visiting the medical center after each fall and failing to complete a race simulation. He said a stomach bug left him tired and briefly lacking concentration, and he acknowledged that a prior shoulder injury had not recovered as well as expected — some outlets describe that damage as a coracoid fracture with right‑shoulder ligament injury that required surgery and sidelined him for the final four rounds of 2025, while others refer to a broken collarbone.
Despite the setbacks, Márquez posted the third‑fastest time at Buriram overall; his Sepang outing before Buriram was described as broadly successful, but he was unable to reproduce a full race run in Thailand. Teammates Alex Márquez and Pecco Bagnaia completed stronger race‑simulation laps in testing; Bagnaia posted the fourth‑fastest time at Buriram and abandoned a final‑day simulation after a technical issue.
Reactions were mixed: Ducati team boss Davide Tardozzi said the crashes should not influence Márquez’s performance at the Thai GP and that Ducati expects him to be a championship contender from the first race. Stefan Bradl framed the incidents as part of Márquez’s process of relearning his limits and suggested the rider could be “very dangerous” once he rediscovers them. By contrast, Ducati adviser Peter Bom called the first crash “really, really silly,” said Márquez no longer bounces back as he used to and is more vulnerable with a shoulder that has not fully recovered, warning there is a serious chance he might not dominate or win the 2026 title despite remaining among the pre‑race favourites. The converging facts — three crashes with medical checks after each, illness and lingering injury concerns — leave uncertainty over how quickly Márquez can rebuild fitness and confidence ahead of the opening rounds.
Fabio Di Giannantonio, 27, confirmed he will join KTM’s factory MotoGP team for the 2027 season and will race alongside Alex Marquez. He finalized the deal Saturday night in the Le Mans paddock. He had set a Friday deadline during the French Grand Prix weekend for Ducati and VR46 to meet his financial demands, and accepted KTM’s offer when they requested more time.
The signing fills KTM’s two factory seats for 2027 as the team concentrates on developing its 850cc prototype and gives KTM a settled pairing ahead of the regulation change. Multiple outlets, including Sky Italia and MotoGP journalist Rosario Triolo, reported the transfer, and reports said Di Giannantonio beat late advances from Honda. KTM’s need for riders was underlined by reports that Pedro Acosta is due to join Marc Marquez at the official Ducati team.
Di Giannantonio’s departure opens a VR46 vacancy that incoming Fermin Aldeguer is expected to occupy, leaving VR46 to name a teammate. Nicolo Bulega and Luca Marini have been identified as the main candidates. Bulega is a Ducati WorldSBK factory rider and a MotoGP test rider with a promised promotion to MotoGP. Marini’s situation at Honda is described as unsettled, and reports differ on who would cover salaries, with one account saying VR46 would need to cover Marini’s salary and pay Ducati for a full bike and another saying Ducati covers VR46 riders’ salaries. Official 2027 rider announcements remain on hold as manufacturers negotiate with MotoGP’s commercial rights holder SEG.
Ducati’s hopes at the Thai MotoGP in Buriram were derailed by mechanical problems and an unexpectedly poor team showing that left the factory without a podium. The result ended a long run of Ducati podiums — reported as an 88-race streak that began in 2021 — though sources differ on the precise race it began (reports cite the 2021 British GP and Aragon 2021). Aprilia dominated the opener, turning what had been a pre-race expectation of Ducati strength into a difficult weekend for the Italian marque.
The most dramatic failure came when Marc Márquez, who had begun the race on the front row and was contesting a podium, ran over the Turn 4 curb on lap 21 and suffered a deformed rear rim that caused an immediate loss of tire pressure and forced his retirement with six laps remaining. Ducati team boss Davide Tardozzi said “the rim exploded,” and technical lead Piero Taramasso said rim damage had been visible all weekend amid extreme heat and an aggressive curb design. Márquez called the failure “very strange” and “unlucky,” said he did not believe Michelin or the track surface were to blame, and insisted there was “no panic” at Ducati. Tardozzi added the failure likely cost Márquez at least a third-place finish and warned it complicates his championship bid.
Other Ducati riders also suffered setbacks. Fabio di Giannantonio, the top Ducati finisher, recovered to sixth after a mysterious technical fault on lap six that he said produced overheating, reduced his pace and forced him to back off; he ruled out a direct tire failure but declined to specify the issue and said he believed he could have challenged for a podium. Franco Morbidelli finished eighth and Francesco Bagnaia ninth after a weekend of struggles; Alex Márquez and Marc Márquez both retired, Michele Pirro finished last as a replacement rider, and team members were left searching for explanations as engineers tried to understand why the bikes felt different from testing. With Ducati stunned and Aprilia celebrating a dominant day, team figures urged calm while investigations into the wheel and bike issues continued.
Best Bets: MotoGP San Marino GP 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
Schedule and How to Watch MotoGP San Marino GP
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Related Posts
MotoGP Betting Promos and Bonuses
Would you like to watch some of the world’s best motorcycle riders compete using powerful, advanced bikes? MotoGP is an excellent choice. You can further heighten your experience by betting on MotoGP races and events. We recommend using relevant promos and bonuses to maximize your bets. At NXTbets, we are committed to helping you enjoy …
Crashes, illness and shoulder surgery cloud Márquez’s 2026
Marc Márquez crashed three times during the final pre‑season test at Buriram, visiting the medical center after each fall and failing to complete a race simulation. He said a stomach bug left him tired and briefly lacking concentration, and he acknowledged that a prior shoulder injury had not recovered as well as expected — some outlets describe that damage as a coracoid fracture with right‑shoulder ligament injury that required surgery and sidelined him for the final four rounds of 2025, while others refer to a broken collarbone.
Despite the setbacks, Márquez posted the third‑fastest time at Buriram overall; his Sepang outing before Buriram was described as broadly successful, but he was unable to reproduce a full race run in Thailand. Teammates Alex Márquez and Pecco Bagnaia completed stronger race‑simulation laps in testing; Bagnaia posted the fourth‑fastest time at Buriram and abandoned a final‑day simulation after a technical issue.
Reactions were mixed: Ducati team boss Davide Tardozzi said the crashes should not influence Márquez’s performance at the Thai GP and that Ducati expects him to be a championship contender from the first race. Stefan Bradl framed the incidents as part of Márquez’s process of relearning his limits and suggested the rider could be “very dangerous” once he rediscovers them. By contrast, Ducati adviser Peter Bom called the first crash “really, really silly,” said Márquez no longer bounces back as he used to and is more vulnerable with a shoulder that has not fully recovered, warning there is a serious chance he might not dominate or win the 2026 title despite remaining among the pre‑race favourites. The converging facts — three crashes with medical checks after each, illness and lingering injury concerns — leave uncertainty over how quickly Márquez can rebuild fitness and confidence ahead of the opening rounds.
KTM locks in 2027 factory pair Di Giannantonio, Marquez
Fabio Di Giannantonio, 27, confirmed he will join KTM’s factory MotoGP team for the 2027 season and will race alongside Alex Marquez. He finalized the deal Saturday night in the Le Mans paddock. He had set a Friday deadline during the French Grand Prix weekend for Ducati and VR46 to meet his financial demands, and accepted KTM’s offer when they requested more time.
The signing fills KTM’s two factory seats for 2027 as the team concentrates on developing its 850cc prototype and gives KTM a settled pairing ahead of the regulation change. Multiple outlets, including Sky Italia and MotoGP journalist Rosario Triolo, reported the transfer, and reports said Di Giannantonio beat late advances from Honda. KTM’s need for riders was underlined by reports that Pedro Acosta is due to join Marc Marquez at the official Ducati team.
Di Giannantonio’s departure opens a VR46 vacancy that incoming Fermin Aldeguer is expected to occupy, leaving VR46 to name a teammate. Nicolo Bulega and Luca Marini have been identified as the main candidates. Bulega is a Ducati WorldSBK factory rider and a MotoGP test rider with a promised promotion to MotoGP. Marini’s situation at Honda is described as unsettled, and reports differ on who would cover salaries, with one account saying VR46 would need to cover Marini’s salary and pay Ducati for a full bike and another saying Ducati covers VR46 riders’ salaries. Official 2027 rider announcements remain on hold as manufacturers negotiate with MotoGP’s commercial rights holder SEG.
Rim failure likely cost Márquez podium, harms Ducati bid
Ducati’s hopes at the Thai MotoGP in Buriram were derailed by mechanical problems and an unexpectedly poor team showing that left the factory without a podium. The result ended a long run of Ducati podiums — reported as an 88-race streak that began in 2021 — though sources differ on the precise race it began (reports cite the 2021 British GP and Aragon 2021). Aprilia dominated the opener, turning what had been a pre-race expectation of Ducati strength into a difficult weekend for the Italian marque.
The most dramatic failure came when Marc Márquez, who had begun the race on the front row and was contesting a podium, ran over the Turn 4 curb on lap 21 and suffered a deformed rear rim that caused an immediate loss of tire pressure and forced his retirement with six laps remaining. Ducati team boss Davide Tardozzi said “the rim exploded,” and technical lead Piero Taramasso said rim damage had been visible all weekend amid extreme heat and an aggressive curb design. Márquez called the failure “very strange” and “unlucky,” said he did not believe Michelin or the track surface were to blame, and insisted there was “no panic” at Ducati. Tardozzi added the failure likely cost Márquez at least a third-place finish and warned it complicates his championship bid.
Other Ducati riders also suffered setbacks. Fabio di Giannantonio, the top Ducati finisher, recovered to sixth after a mysterious technical fault on lap six that he said produced overheating, reduced his pace and forced him to back off; he ruled out a direct tire failure but declined to specify the issue and said he believed he could have challenged for a podium. Franco Morbidelli finished eighth and Francesco Bagnaia ninth after a weekend of struggles; Alex Márquez and Marc Márquez both retired, Michele Pirro finished last as a replacement rider, and team members were left searching for explanations as engineers tried to understand why the bikes felt different from testing. With Ducati stunned and Aprilia celebrating a dominant day, team figures urged calm while investigations into the wheel and bike issues continued.