The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article:Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooksto access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Pecco Bagnaia finally got another win over his teammate this season, but it was too little, too late, as Marc Marquez wrapped up the World Championship. Although the silverware is in the trophy cabinet, the show must go on, and this weekend riders set up shop in Lombok, and there are no surprises to see …
KTM has unveiled its 2026 MotoGP liveries and confirmed Red Bull title backing for both its factory team and Tech3 satellite outfit, while keeping the factory pairing of Pedro Acosta and Brad Binder and retaining Maverick Viñales and Enea Bastianini at Tech3.
Tech3 is under new ownership led by Guenther Steiner, with Richard Coleman appointed team boss. KTM also detailed key crew moves for 2026. Enea Bastianini will work with Andrés Madrid, Phil Marron will move into Brad Binder’s garage, and former Bastianini crew chief Alberto Giribuola has switched to Pramac.
The announcement followed a financially destabilising winter for KTM’s 2025 programme, which influenced personnel decisions and the early confirmations of lineups.
Looking back at 2025, KTM finished third in the Constructors’ standings and its factory entry was fourth in the Teams’ standings, becoming the highest-ranked non‑Ducati-powered team after overtaking Aprilia. Pedro Acosta emerged as the squad’s on-track leader, adopted setup elements from Maverick Viñales, took KTM’s first official podium of the year at Brno, and closed the year fourth in the world championship. He described the season as “a wasted year” despite personal progress. Brad Binder finished 11th overall without a podium. Tech3 endured a turbulent season. Viñales had a strong result in Qatar, chalked off for a tyre-pressure infringement, and was sidelined time with a serious shoulder injury at Sachsenring. Enea Bastianini scored a Grand Prix and Sprint podium midseason but faded after losing Giribuola, and substitute Pol Espargaró provided stability with four top-10s in five starts.
Contract positions and longer-term planning remain unresolved. Media reports say all four riders are out of contract at the end of the season, and Acosta has been linked with a potential move to a Ducati-run team. Coverage described KTM as weighing roster choices while preparing for the 2027 regulations and surveying the wider MotoGP market for options rather than relying on an obvious in-house successor. Some outlets named long-shot possibilities such as Francesco Bagnaia and Fabio Quartararo, but presented those as unlikely.
At the Sepang pre‑season test in early February, Yamaha’s new V4 YZR‑M1 program was disrupted by two incidents. Fabio Quartararo crashed late on the opening day at Turn 5, fracturing the middle finger of his right hand. In addition, his bike suffered an unexplained engine/electronics stoppage and was left dead on track, with engineers were unable to determine a definitive cause that evening.
With safety paramount, Yamaha closed its factory and Pramac garages and kept all six Yamaha machines, including those of Quartararo, Alex Rins, Jack Miller, Toprak Razgatlıoğlu, Augusto Fernández, and Andrea Dovizioso in the pits. This gave breathing room to the technical teams from Japan and Italy to carry out on‑site inspections and further factory diagnostics.
Technical director Max Bartolini and team management described the halt as a precaution while they sought confirmation from the factory. Paddock reporting said similar issues had been seen in earlier shakedowns, and some sources suggested overheating as a possible factor; others described the fault as an electronics stoppage, so accounts varied on the precise nature of the failure.
Overnight collaboration between Yamaha’s Italian and Japanese engineers produced a temporary fix that allowed the V4 machines to return to track on the final day of the Sepang test. The bikes were reported to be running with reduced power/RPM as a precaution. On the re‑entry morning Rins, Miller and Razgatlıoğlu completed a combined 74 laps, with Rins the quickest of the trio and 12th overall, 1.178 seconds off the morning pace set by Álex Márquez. Yamaha confirmed Quartararo would not ride again at Sepang and would return to Europe for medical checks. He is expected to target the next test in Buriram on February 21–22.
The interruption cost Yamaha valuable setup and development time on a completely redesigned V4 project introduced in 2025 and intended to run through the 2026 regulations year. Engineers stressed the importance of factory‑validated fixes before resuming full program activity. Team bosses including Paolo Pavesio and Massimo Meregalli said rider safety guided the decision to pause running, while the overnight fix underlined rapid mobilization between Yamaha’s bases to keep the V4 program on schedule. Although running resumed with mitigations, Yamaha’s Sepang test plan remained affected until diagnostics were completed and a clear, safe path forward was confirmed.
Francesco Bagnaia’s masterclass at Assen wasn’t just a double victory—it was a statement of intent. By matching Casey Stoner’s record of 23 premier class wins for Ducati and slashing Jorge Martin’s championship lead to a mere 10 points, Bagnaia has reignited a title fight that promises to be one for the ages. Now, as the …
Best Bets: MotoGP San Marino GP 2024 Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The MotoGP paddock has descended on the Adriatic coast for the Grand Premio Red Bull di San Marino e della Riviera di Rimini, set to electrify Misano World Circuit Marco Simoncelli from September 6-8. Buoyed by his mesmerizing Aragon victory, Marc Marquez carried that momentum into Friday practice, finishing second to championship leader Francesco Bagnaia. With qualifying looming and the title battle reaching fever pitch, we analyze the favorites, the dark horses, and the smart money ahead of Sunday’s showdown.
After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.
In addition to traditional sports betting on MotoGP, the San Marino GP has Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. MotoGP fans are allowed to legally make better/worse picks with real money gaming in 30 states, including California, Texas & Wisconsin where traditional sports betting is currently illegal.
Schedule and How to Watch MotoGP San Marino GP
The Misano action kicks off on Friday, September 6 with two free practice sessions. Saturday, September 7 features a final practice outing before the crucial qualifying head-to-head. Q1 begins at 10:50 local time (1:50 a.m. PST / 4:50 a.m. EST), with the top two riders advancing to Q2 at 11:15 local time to decide the grid. The 27-lap San Marino Grand Prix roars to life on Sunday, September 8 at 14:00 local time (5:00 a.m. PST / 8:00 a.m. EST).
For the complete schedule and updates, be sure to visit the official MotoGP website.
To catch every thrilling moment of the San Marino Grand Prix as it unfolds, check out MAX for live coverage, ensuring you don’t miss a single second of the drama. For the latest odds and previous results, be sure to check NXTbets.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the MotoGP San Marino GP
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Francesco Bagnaia
+100
$40.00
Marc Marquez
+250
$70.00
Jorge Martin
+250
$70.00
Francesco Bagnaia (+100): Championship leader Bagnaia threw down the gauntlet on Friday, topping the timesheets with a scorching 1:30.685 – nearly two tenths clear of the chasing pack. The Italian is determined to bounce back from his Aragon disappointment and reassert his title credentials at a venue he relishes. Bagnaia took dominant wins here in 2023 and 2021. He’s the bookies’ favorite for pole and victory.
Marc Marquez (+250): Marquez’s spectacular revival showed no signs of slowing at Misano. The eight-time world champion left it late to vault into second on the combined practice standings, just 0.185s behind Bagnaia. Marquez boasts a stellar record at Misano with three premier class wins, including that unforgettable comeback triumph in 2021. If he carries this pace into qualifying, a 66th career pole is very much in play.
Jorge Martin (+250): Points leader Martin completed a Ducati lockout of the top three on Friday, lapping within 0.281s of Bagnaia. The Pramac prodigy has been stellar on Saturdays with a series-leading four poles this season. He’ll be gunning for number five to put himself in prime position to extend his championship advantage. Martin is overdue a maiden MotoGP win at Misano.
Outsider Bets
Driver
Podium
$20 Payout
Enea Bastianini
+650
$150.00
Pedro Acosta
+2000
$420.00
Franco Morbidelli
+4000
$820.00
Enea Bastianini (+650): Dutiful wingman Bastianini flew somewhat under the radar in fifth on Friday while much attention focused on his world champion teammate. But ‘The Beast’ quietly got through a mountain of work, and his race pace was extremely encouraging. Bastianini memorably defeated Bagnaia in a last-lap duel here in 2020. With three podiums in the last five races, he could be poised to pounce.
Franco Morbidelli (+4000): Home favorite Morbidelli sprang one of the surprises of Friday, finishing a superb fourth, just 0.001s behind teammate Martin. The experienced Italian has always enjoyed Misano – he won here in Moto2, scored a MotoGP podium in 2020, and qualified on the front row last year. If Morbidelli can replicate his one-lap speed on Saturday, he could be an intriguing podium outsider.
Pedro Acosta (+2000): Rookie sensation Acosta was in the mix again on Friday, finishing sixth quickest despite a tumble at Turn 8. The reigning Moto2 champion has been a revelation in his debut MotoGP campaign, with three podium finishes already. Acosta’s teammate Augusto Fernandez won here last year in Moto2. With KTM’s recent resurgence, Acosta could spring a surprise on Sunday.
Expert Pick for MotoGP San Marino
Our expert pick for the San Marino Grand Prix is Marc Marquez. His resurgence in Aragon, coupled with a strong showing in Friday practice at Misano, suggests he’s hit his stride with the Ducati. Marquez’s ability to perform in challenging conditions could be crucial at Misano’s abrasive track. With renewed confidence and at odds of +250, he offers an appealing combination of winning potential and value, making him our top choice for victory this weekend.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP San Marino GP
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming San Marino GP. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
The San Marino GP is shaping up to be a season-defining event, with championship implications and potential for upset victories. As the riders gear up for battle at Misano, savvy fans and bettors alike have plenty to watch for. Don’t miss a moment of the action – this could be the race that reshapes the 2024 MotoGP landscape.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’s T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Pecco Bagnaia finally got another win over his teammate this season, but it was too little, too late, as Marc Marquez wrapped up the World Championship. Although the silverware is in the trophy cabinet, the show must go on, and this weekend riders set up shop in Lombok, and there are no surprises to see …
KTM Secures Red Bull Backing; Steiner-Led Tech3 Reboot
KTM has unveiled its 2026 MotoGP liveries and confirmed Red Bull title backing for both its factory team and Tech3 satellite outfit, while keeping the factory pairing of Pedro Acosta and Brad Binder and retaining Maverick Viñales and Enea Bastianini at Tech3.
Tech3 is under new ownership led by Guenther Steiner, with Richard Coleman appointed team boss. KTM also detailed key crew moves for 2026. Enea Bastianini will work with Andrés Madrid, Phil Marron will move into Brad Binder’s garage, and former Bastianini crew chief Alberto Giribuola has switched to Pramac.
The announcement followed a financially destabilising winter for KTM’s 2025 programme, which influenced personnel decisions and the early confirmations of lineups.
Looking back at 2025, KTM finished third in the Constructors’ standings and its factory entry was fourth in the Teams’ standings, becoming the highest-ranked non‑Ducati-powered team after overtaking Aprilia. Pedro Acosta emerged as the squad’s on-track leader, adopted setup elements from Maverick Viñales, took KTM’s first official podium of the year at Brno, and closed the year fourth in the world championship. He described the season as “a wasted year” despite personal progress. Brad Binder finished 11th overall without a podium. Tech3 endured a turbulent season. Viñales had a strong result in Qatar, chalked off for a tyre-pressure infringement, and was sidelined time with a serious shoulder injury at Sachsenring. Enea Bastianini scored a Grand Prix and Sprint podium midseason but faded after losing Giribuola, and substitute Pol Espargaró provided stability with four top-10s in five starts.
Contract positions and longer-term planning remain unresolved. Media reports say all four riders are out of contract at the end of the season, and Acosta has been linked with a potential move to a Ducati-run team. Coverage described KTM as weighing roster choices while preparing for the 2027 regulations and surveying the wider MotoGP market for options rather than relying on an obvious in-house successor. Some outlets named long-shot possibilities such as Francesco Bagnaia and Fabio Quartararo, but presented those as unlikely.
Yamaha Keeps Six Riders in Pits Amid Safety Probe
At the Sepang pre‑season test in early February, Yamaha’s new V4 YZR‑M1 program was disrupted by two incidents. Fabio Quartararo crashed late on the opening day at Turn 5, fracturing the middle finger of his right hand. In addition, his bike suffered an unexplained engine/electronics stoppage and was left dead on track, with engineers were unable to determine a definitive cause that evening.
With safety paramount, Yamaha closed its factory and Pramac garages and kept all six Yamaha machines, including those of Quartararo, Alex Rins, Jack Miller, Toprak Razgatlıoğlu, Augusto Fernández, and Andrea Dovizioso in the pits. This gave breathing room to the technical teams from Japan and Italy to carry out on‑site inspections and further factory diagnostics.
Technical director Max Bartolini and team management described the halt as a precaution while they sought confirmation from the factory. Paddock reporting said similar issues had been seen in earlier shakedowns, and some sources suggested overheating as a possible factor; others described the fault as an electronics stoppage, so accounts varied on the precise nature of the failure.
Overnight collaboration between Yamaha’s Italian and Japanese engineers produced a temporary fix that allowed the V4 machines to return to track on the final day of the Sepang test. The bikes were reported to be running with reduced power/RPM as a precaution. On the re‑entry morning Rins, Miller and Razgatlıoğlu completed a combined 74 laps, with Rins the quickest of the trio and 12th overall, 1.178 seconds off the morning pace set by Álex Márquez. Yamaha confirmed Quartararo would not ride again at Sepang and would return to Europe for medical checks. He is expected to target the next test in Buriram on February 21–22.
The interruption cost Yamaha valuable setup and development time on a completely redesigned V4 project introduced in 2025 and intended to run through the 2026 regulations year. Engineers stressed the importance of factory‑validated fixes before resuming full program activity. Team bosses including Paolo Pavesio and Massimo Meregalli said rider safety guided the decision to pause running, while the overnight fix underlined rapid mobilization between Yamaha’s bases to keep the V4 program on schedule. Although running resumed with mitigations, Yamaha’s Sepang test plan remained affected until diagnostics were completed and a clear, safe path forward was confirmed.
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Francesco Bagnaia’s masterclass at Assen wasn’t just a double victory—it was a statement of intent. By matching Casey Stoner’s record of 23 premier class wins for Ducati and slashing Jorge Martin’s championship lead to a mere 10 points, Bagnaia has reignited a title fight that promises to be one for the ages. Now, as the …