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Best Bets: WSL J-Bay Open Pre-Event Odds Analysis 2025

Best Bets: WSL J-Bay Open Pre-Event Odds Analysis 2025

Jordy Smith is the name on everybody’s lips this week as the Championship Tour touches down in South Africa. He wears the yellow jersey leading in his home event, and he holds the weight of 63 million compatriots on his shoulders. Smith starts as one of the favorites WSL J-Bay Open pre-event odds as the tour rolls into town for the first time since 2023. The venue, Supertubes Beach, is only 30 minutes up the coast from Cape St. Francis Bay, the home of the famed “Bruce’s Beauties Wave.”

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Schedule and How to Watch WSL J-Bay Open

The quaint resort town of Jeffreys Bay springs to life this July with the return of the Corona Cero Open. WSL skipped the venue last year in a compacted calendar to accommodate the Olympics. Nine days are reserved for surfing, starting on Friday, July 11, and running until Sunday, July 20. You can watch live on WSL.com or discover the latest results and matchups on the dedicated event page.

2025 WSL J-Bay Open Odds

Event Winner – Men’s

Jordy Smith grew up in the neighboring province of KwaZulu-Natal, but he’s well familiar with the Supertubes break, prevailing here in 2010 and 2011. The South African is enjoying his best season of the decade so far, registering two victories and entering the round of 16 or better in every event since Abu Dhabi. Griffin Colapinto has found his way onto our radar after contesting two finals in his previous three events, coming off second-best on both occasions.

Brazilian Filipe Toledo took top honors in this event in 2023 and is back to defend his crown, despite a tough campaign. He drops in with a single win under the board and consecutive round of 16 exits. His compatriot, Italo Ferreira, is another contestant to watch in the men’s bracket, as he starts as the second-highest ranked male in the Championship. However, his progress has slowed dramatically after a ferocious start to the season, which included two finals and a win in his first three events.

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Surfer
Odds
Payout on $20
Ethan Ewing
+531
$126.20
Italo Ferreira
+555
$131.00
Filipe Toledo
+593
$138.60
Jack Robinson
+611
$142.20
Jordy Smith
+639
$147.80
Yago Dora
+694
$158.80
Griffin Colapinto
+790
$178.00
Kanoa Igarashi
+1011
$222.20
Leonardo Fioravanti
+1078
$235.60
Joao Chianca
+1255
$271.00
Matthew McGillivray
+2363
$492.60
Barron Mamiya
+3497
$719.40
Connor O'Leary
+3688
$757.60
Cole Houshmand
+4032
$826.40
Crosby Colapinto
+4286
$877.20
Marco Mignot
+4662
$952.40
Rio Waida
+4900
$1000.00
Miguel Pupo
+6073
$1234.60
Seth Moniz
+6352
$1290.40
Jake Marshall
+7307
$1481.40
Alan Cleland
+7307
$1481.40
Alejo Muniz
+7307
$1481.40
Joel Vaughan
+7307
$1481.40
Luke Thompson
+7307
$1481.40

Expert Pick: Men

His current form, coupled with knowledge of this break and a home-crowd advantage, makes Jordy Smith the easy expert pick for J-Bay. The local starts at +639, possibly paying out $147.80 for a $20 bet.

Men’s H2H Odds

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Ethan Ewing
-119
$36.81
Italo Ferreira
-111
$38.02
Filipe Toledo
-118
$36.95
Jack Robinson
-113
$37.70
Jordy Smith
-124
$36.13
Yago Dora
-107
$38.69

Men’s Opening Round Heat Odds

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Heats
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Italo Ferreira
-154
$32.99
Seth Moniz
+277
$75.40
Jake Marshall
+338
$87.60
Joel Vaughan
+373
$94.60
Alejo Muniz
+287
$77.40
Kanoa Igarashi
-170
$31.76
Yago Dora
+105
$41.00
Connor O'Leary
+260
$72.00
Matthew McGillivray
+199
$59.80
Jordy Smith
-158
$32.66
Luke Thompson
+514
$122.80
Crosby Colapinto
+208
$61.60
Ethan Ewing
-130
$35.38
Marco Mignot
+246
$69.20
Cole Houshmand
+308
$81.60
Leonardo Fioravanti
+158
$51.60
Rio Waida
+301
$80.20
Griffin Colapinto
+116
$43.20
Jack Robinson
+100
$40.00
Miguel Pupo
+384
$96.80
Joao Chianca
+153
$50.60
Alan Cleland
+398
$99.60
Barron Mamiya
+234
$66.80
Filipe Toledo
-150
$33.33

Event Winner – Women’s

Lakey Peterson touches down in the Eastern Cape, searching for her first triumph since her last visit to the Rainbow Nation. She starts in her best form of the season, progressing beyond the round of 16 in her last three starts, with one semi-final appearance. Peterson beat Molly Picklum for the trophy here in 2023, but the Aussie is in far better form this year. She collected her maiden victory of the year in Rio at the back end of June and has remained consistent throughout 2025, making the semifinals or better in all but three events.

Gabriela Bryan wore the yellow jersey leading into Brazil, but a quarterfinal defeat to Arena Rodriguez dropped her into second. Despite the mishap, the Hawaiian is tied with her countryperson, Bettylou Sakura Johnson, for the most wins in the women’s Championship with two. Johnson also battled in Rio de Janeiro, but she’s in form, winning in 505 of her previous four appearances.

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Surfer
Odds
Payout on $20
Caitlin Simmers
+316
$83.20
Molly Picklum
+378
$95.60
Tyler Wright
+519
$123.80
Caroline Marks
+534
$126.80
Gabriela Bryan
+541
$128.20
Lakey Peterson
+853
$190.60
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
+1144
$248.80
Isabella Nichols
+2079
$435.80
Luana Silva
+2425
$505.00
Sarah Baum
+3590
$738.00
Francisca Veselko
+3590
$738.00
Expert Pick

Molly Picklum wins the race to wear our expert pick tag in J-Bay, after a consistent season. Her confidence is high after her win in South America, and she has unfinished business in J-Bay, after losing in the final her last time out. The Australian paddles out at +378, potentially paying out $95.60 if you wager $20.

Women’s H2H Odds

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Heats
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Caroline Marks
-115
$37.39
Gabriela Bryan
-115
$37.39
Molly Picklum
-143
$33.99
Tyler Wright
+108
$41.60

Women’s Opening Round Heat Odds

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Heats
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
-115
$37.39
Luana Silva
+274
$74.80
Isabella Nichols
+237
$67.40
Gabriela Bryan
+123
$44.60
Tyler Wright
+103
$40.60
Francisca Veselko
+527
$125.40
Lakey Peterson
+241
$68.20
Caitlin Simmers
+112
$42.40
Caroline Marks
+198
$59.60

Where to Bet on WSL

Jordy Smith is the in-form surfer on the men’s Championship Tour, but can he live up to the expectations set by his home crowd this weekend? Will we see the local win his third WSL title at Supertubes, or will the week end in heartbreak for the South African?

Place your bets with our partner sportsbooks and check out our WSL Betting Guide if you’re new to the tour.

And remember, bet smart, have fun, and enjoy every wave.

1
Fan Favorite
BET $5, GET $150
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
6369 other players have claimed this offer
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Offer Score

9.9
2
Hot & Trending
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IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY!
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.8
3
Hot & Trending
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.9
4
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON WSL, GET $150 IN BONUS BETS
WHEN YOUR FIRST BET SETTLES + 50 BONUS SPINS
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
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7749 other players have claimed this offer
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Offer Score

9.7
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Free To Play Game
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MAKE PICKS FOR A CHANCE TO WIN PRIZES
1224 other players have claimed this offer
18+ Terms & Conditions Apply.
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Offer Score

9.5

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Refer to your sportsbook’s eligibility requirements, terms, and conditions, or contact your state’s gaming commission to verify your state’s WSL betting legality. Most licensed betting platforms restrict access in prohibited states, saving you from the long confirmation process. 

For the best WSL betting experience, select reputable, regulated sportsbooks like FanduelDraftKingsCaesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM. Check event schedules and relevant offers ahead of every WSL competition. Use Underdog Fantasy for Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) gaming. 

The legal status of WSL betting differs from state to state. The lifting of the federal sports betting ban in 2018 (by the Supreme Court) gave states the independence to legalize sports betting. WSL betting is mostly legal in states with regulated sports betting and licensed sportsbooks like Colorado and New Jersey. Check your sportsbooks and state-specific regulations to confirm availability. 

Common WSL betting options include outright winner bets, head-to-head matchups, and futures bets (predicting season champions). Most platforms also allow prop bets—for example, you can predict the highest wave score in a competition. 

Yes. Betting platforms like FanDuel and BetMGM have live betting options. Their users can place bets during the WSL competition. For example, bettors can predict the next wave score, who will win the ongoing heat, or whether a competitor will achieve a given aggregate. Note that not all events may qualify for live betting. Check out your sportsbook live betting section for more. 

Consider Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) if your state does not allow sports betting. Unlike traditional betting, DFS falls under a different regulatory framework, making it legal in several jurisdictions. DFS platforms like Underground Fantasy and DraftKings DFS are common in states where sports betting is illegal.

Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER