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NXTbets Expert Pick Roundup: Weekend of July 11th

NXTbets Expert Pick Roundup: Weekend of July 11th

The week is at an end. It’s time to unwind and prepare yourself for three knockout days of motorsports, surfing, disc golf, and BKFC. We’ve compiled the NXTbets Expert Pick Round: Weekend, July 11th, to help you identify the best picks for the races, games, and tournaments to come. The Tour de France enters its second week, while MotoGP tackles the Sachsenring. All these details and more in our preview below.

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Our Expert's Parlay

Make Your Picks Here

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Event
Expert Pick
Moneyline
Payout on $20
MotoGP: German Grand Prix
Marc Marquez
-333
$26.01
Tour de France
Tadej Pogačar
-250
$28.00
AMA Pro Motocross: Spring Creek National
Jett Lawrence
-800
$22.50
DGPT: Krokhol Open - MPO
Gannon Buhr
+334
$86.80
WSL: Corona Cero Open J-Bay - Men
Jordy Smith
+639
$147.80
MotoAmerica: Monterey - Superbike
Josh Herrin
+257
$71.40
BKFC 78: Perdomo vs. Adams
Leonardo Perdomo
-535
$23.74
USAC Midget Cars: Jefferson County Speedway
Jacob Denney
+605
$141.00
WoO Late Models: Battle at the Border
Nick Hoffman
+399
$99.80
HLR: Florence Speedway
Aaron Reutzel
+349
$89.80

MotoGP: German Grand Prix

When: July 11 – July 13, 2025
Where: Sachsenring, Hohenstein-Ernstthal, Germany
Where to Watch: Live on MotoGP VideoPass, FS
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Marc Marquez is tearing the 2025 MotoGP Riders’ Championship, carrying a 68-point lead into Germany. The Spaniard has won 60% of the first 10 Sunday races this campaign, and returns to a familiar circuit this weekend. He’s the winningest rider at Sachsenring with eight to his name, last taking top honors in 2021. 

Key Times (CEST):

Friday, July 11:
Free Practice #1: 10:45 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.
Practice: 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m.

Saturday, July 12:
Free Practice #2: 10:10 a.m. – 10:40 a.m.
Qualifying: 10:50 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.
Tissot Sprint: 3:00 p.m.

Sunday, July 13:
Race: 2:00 p.m.

Expert Pick

It’s hard to bet against a legendary rider when they’re the in-form competitor and the winningest rider in an event. Marc Marquez takes the race for our expert pick and starts after winning 72.73% of the last 11 Sunday races on this circuit. The sportsbooks have the favorite at -333, potentially paying out $26.01 when you wager $20.

Tour de France: 2025 (Week 2)

When: July 5 – July 27, 2025
Where: Lille – Paris, France
Where to Watch: Live on Peacock
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

A week into the 2025 Tour de France, and we’ve been treated to a spectacle, with Tadej Pogačar and Mathieu van der Poel trading the yellow jersey. This weekend, the contingent races south, with a mixture of flat, hilly, and one mountain stage. Pre-race favorite “Pogi” is only one second behind yellow jersey leader van der Poel starting stage seven on Friday. All going well, we expect the Slovenian in pole position by the end of the weekend.

Key Times (EDT):

Daily Coverage: 6:30 a.m.

Expert Pick

Three-time Champion Tadej Pogačar is looking like the rider to beat coming into the Grand Tour. He’s fresh off a win in South-Eastern France, where he toppled his closest challenger, Vingegaard. Pogi carries short odds into this edition at -250, offering a potential payout of $28.00 if you wager $20.

AMA Pro Motocross Championship: Spring Creek National

When: Saturday, July 12, 2025
Where: Spring Creek MX Park, Millville, MN
Where to Watch: Live on Super MotoCross Video Pass
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Jett Lawrence remains the dominant force in Pro Motocross this season with a 100% win rate in six rounds. His short odds speak for themself, but it’s hard to pick another rider in the field that can topple the Aussie. Chase Sexton starts as the defending Champion at Spring Creek, but he’s just coming back from an injury and starts after a fifth-place finish last weekend.

Key Times (ET):

Saturday, July 12:
450 Class Moto #1: 1:15 p.m.
450 Class Moto #2: 4:15 p.m.

Expert Pick

Championship leader Jett Lawrence is the obvious expert pick for the Spring Creek National. He averages 1.00 after six rounds and has proven unbeatable so far. The Australian carries short odds of -800, potentially paying out $22.50 for a $20 wager.

DGPT: Krokhol Open

When: July 11 – July 13, 2025
Where: Krokhol Disc Golf Course, Siggerud, Norway
Where to Watch: Live on Disc Golf Network
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Gannon Buhr joins the European disc golf fraternity in Norway from July 11 to July 13 to contest the Krokhol Open. The MPO DGPT World Standings leader enters with three wins to his name, two of them coming in his previous four starts. The FPO bracket is too close to call, with the top three ladies all teeing off in Siggerud, but Kristin Lätt is the favorite to take the title at +128. The Estonian starts with an astounding record of eight top twos in nine events.

Key Times (CEST):

Friday, July 11:
FPO:
9:40 a.m.
MPO: 3:40 p.m.

Saturday, July 12:
FPO: 9:40 a.m.
MPO: 3:40 p.m.

Sunday, July 13:
FPO: 9:40 a.m.
MPO: 3:40 p.m.

Expert Pick

Gannon Buhr earns our confidence for the showdown in the suburbs of Oslo, boasting a 50% win record in his last four starts. He carries favorable odds for an in-form player, starting at +334 and offering a potential payout of $86.80 for a $20 bet..

Expert Pick

WSL: Corona Cero Open J-Bay

When: July 11 – July 20, 2025
Where: Jeffreys Bay, Eastern Cape, South Africa
Where to Watch: Live on World Surf League
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Professional surfing drops in at Jeffrey’s Bay this week, starting on Friday, July 11th. Men’s yellow jersey leader Jordy Smith offers the best value in the Corona Cero Open J-Bay at +639. The South African leads into his home event off the back of two victories in his previous six events, and has made the round of 16 or better in every contest since Abu Dhabi. In the ladies’ bracket, we have our eye on Molly Picklum, who won her first title of the season in Brazil in her third final.

Key Times (SAST):

First Call:
Friday, July 11: 7:15 a.m.

Expert Pick

His current form, coupled with knowledge of this break and a home-crowd advantage, makes Jordy Smith the easy expert pick for J-Bay. The local starts at +639, possibly paying out $147.80 for a $20 bet.

MotoAmerica: Monterey

When: July 11 – July 13, 2025
Where: WeatherTech Raceway Laguna Seca, Monterey, CA
Where to Watch: Live on MotoAmerica Live+ 
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Supersport, Superbike, and King of the Baggers riders report for MotoAmerica duty in California this weekend, but we are zooming in on Josh Herrin. He’s operated with a 100% win record in his previous four races, and he now leads the Superbike standings. Mathew Scholtz is favored to take top honors in the Supersport class, but his odds are short, while KOTB leader Kyle Wyman is priced favorably.

Key Times (PDT):

Saturday, July 12 (Race Schedule):
Supersport: 2:10 p.m.
Superbike: 3:12 p.m.
King of the Baggers: 4:05 p.m.

Sunday, July 13 (Race Schedule):
Supersport: 2:10 p.m.
Superbike: 3:12 p.m.
King of the Baggers: 4:05 p.m.

Expert Pick

Josh Herrin is on a roll, and he has momentum on his side coming into California. His current form makes him an easy expert pick for this weekend’s proceedings. Herrin is a value for money pick at +257, potentially paying out $71.40 when you wager $20.

BKFC 78 Hollywood: Perdomo vs. Adams

When: July 12, 2025
Where: Hard Rock Live Arena, Hollywood, FL
Where to Watch: Live on BKFC
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

BKFC visits Hollywood, Florida, for the second time this year and brings Cuban Leonardo Perdomo into the squared circle. “El Zambo” has prevailed in every battle so far, never progressing beyond the first round. The man is powerful and wants to finish his fights early, evidenced by his 53-second fight average. His opponent, Arnold Adams, is no slouch either, with a 70% win record, but “Bomaye” is on a two-match losing streak.

Key Times (EDT):

Fights Start: 7:00 p.m.

Expert Pick

Leonardo Perdomo wins the battle for our expert pick heading into Hollywood. The Cuban is on a seven-game win streak and is undefeated in the squared circle. “El Zambo” carries short odds with him to Florida at -535, potentially paying out $23.74 when you wager $20.

USAC Midget Cars: Jefferson County Speedway

When: Friday, July 11, 2025
Where: Jefferson County Speedway, Fairbury, NE
Where to Watch: Live on FloRacing
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

USAC Midget Cars continue their tour of the Midwest when they pull into Jefferson County Speedway on Friday. Drake Edwards lines up after bagging his maiden victory of the year, while Cannon McIntosh starts with two wins in the last three encounters. Despite their work, Jacob Denney stands out as a driver to take seriously, after registering his fifth podium in 2025 earlier this week. Denney is tied with McIntosh and Justin Grant for the most wins this campaign.

Key Times (CT):

Friday, July 11:
Cars on Track: 6:00 p.m.

Expert Pick

Jacob Denney has been struck by some inconsistency this season, but he also has three wins, including two in a row last month. At +605 odds, Denney is a good underdog pick to beat out McIntosh, Grant, and Pursley for the victory at the Jefferson County Speedway.

World of Outlaws Late Models: Battle at the Border

When: Friday, July 11 – Saturday, July 12, 2025
Where: Sharon Speedway, Hartford, OH
Where to Watch: Live on DIRTVision
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The race to chase down Bobby Pierce in the 2025 WoO Late Model series continues on Friday night when racers lineup for the Battle at the Border at Sharon Speedway. Nick Hoffman is leading the charge to catch the series leader, closing the gap to 50 points now, after winning the last Feature. He lines up with four podiums under the hood in his previous five races, including three trips inside Victory Lane.

Key Times (EDT):

Friday, July 11:
Hot Laps: 6:30 p.m.

Saturday, July 12:
Hot Laps: 6:30 p.m.

Expert Pick

Nick Hoffman is the in-form driver coming into Hartford, and we’re rewarding his work with the expert pick tag. Hoffman enters with two wins and a third-place finish in his last three starts, a better return than any of his peers. The North Carolina resident lines up at +399, potentially paying out $99.80 for a $20 wager.

HLR: Florence Speedway

When: Friday, July 11, 2025
Where: Florence Speedway, Walton, KY
Where to Watch: Live on FloRacing
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The High Rollers test their skills in Kentucky on Friday night when they congregate at the Florence Speedway. Aaron Reutzel enters as the Championship leader, nine points ahead of Brad Sweet, after notching up three podiums in his previous four races. He’s a consistent performer overall this term, and lines up seeking his 13th consecutive finish inside the top 10.

Key Times (EDT): TBD

Expert Pick

Aaron Reutzel is a good value at the Kentucky Sprint Nationals. He has four wins on the season and sits in the points lead, so +349 odds is a worthy shout for a driver who has shown a penchant for out-racing the others all season long.

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2
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BET $5, GET $150
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Offer Score

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3
Global Sportsbook
BET $5, GET $150 IN BONUS BETS
WHEN YOUR FIRST BET SETTLES + 50 BONUS SPINS
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
4
Hot & Trending
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
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Offer Score

9.9
5
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Offer Score

9.7