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Russell title hopes fade as Antonelli surges in Mercedes duel

NXTbets Pro | Published On: September 18, 2026

Russell title chase

George Russell gave Mercedes the first major surge of the 2026 Formula 1 season with a dominant win in Australia, but Andrea Kimi Antonelli has taken over the title race since then. Antonelli won five straight races after Russell’s breakthrough, opened an 81-point lead with nine races remaining and has outperformed Russell at Mercedes this season. His run has included a win at Monza despite a grid penalty and another victory at the Madring, where he picked up his eighth Grand Prix win of the year. Antonelli has won eight of his first 40 Grands Prix at Mercedes, a pace that has turned the championship fight into a steep climb for Russell. The early edge Russell built in Australia has disappeared. Antonelli has turned each strong weekend into more separation at the top, and Mercedes has spent the season watching its other driver set the tone.

Rosberg sees doubt

Nico Rosberg thinks Russell is feeling the weight of that shift. Rosberg said Russell’s 2026 title hopes are continuing to fade and suggested self-doubt may be part of the picture. He also praised Russell for working on his mental game, but said the Mercedes driver appears to be struggling to understand why his form has dropped. A disappointing weekend in Madrid only deepened the problem. Russell has since added two more victories, yet the broader pattern still belongs to Antonelli. The pairing has become a study in momentum. Antonelli has been sharper across a longer run, and Russell has been left to explain a slide that began after a promising opening in Australia. Rosberg’s comments put the focus on the mental side of the chase, which has become as important as outright pace in Russell’s bid to recover.

Baku, Singapore chance

Russell still has two clear chances to answer back in Baku and Singapore, two tracks where he has performed well before. Those races give him a stage to reset the championship conversation and show whether his recent results can still change the shape of the season. Russell said the current cars and tires suit Antonelli’s driving style better than his own, which helps explain why the Mercedes battle has tilted so firmly in Antonelli’s favor. Russell has seven career Formula 1 wins. The next step is execution. Baku and Singapore offer circuits that fit his history, and they arrive at a time when he needs every point he can find. If Russell can convert those strengths into wins, he can still make the second half of the campaign more competitive. If he cannot, Antonelli’s lead will keep growing and Russell’s opening victory in Australia will look more like a brief interruption than the start of a title run.