Best Bets: 2025 WSL Lexus Pipe Pro Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Schedule and How to Watch the 2025 Lexus Pipe Pro

The Lexus Pipe Pro kicks off the 2025 WSL Championship Tour season with a waiting period from January 27 to February 8 at the iconic Banzai Pipeline on Oahu’s North Shore. The contest will be broadcast live on WorldSurfLeague.com and the WSL app, with organizers looking to run on the best days of the waiting period when Pipeline is doing its thing

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for 2025 Lexus Pipe Pro – Men’s Division

Top Picks and Bets – Men’s Division

A standout at heavy reef breaks, Jack Robinson (+544) enters the Lexus Pipe Pro as a favorite for good reason. Known for his exceptional barrel-riding prowess, Robinson has repeatedly proven his mettle in challenging conditions. His 2024 season was a testament to his consistency, capped with a silver medal at the Olympics. Pipeline suits his ability to thread through impossibly deep barrels with precision, and his calm under pressure makes him a formidable competitor. Look for Robinson to dominate in heats where wave selection and technical mastery are paramount.

Filipe Toledo (+730), the back-to-back world champion of 2022 and 2023, is a master of small-wave performance, but his commitment to improving in heavier surf has paid dividends. While not historically dominant at Pipeline, Toledo’s evolving barrel-riding and strategic heat management make him a sleeper threat. His ability to post massive scores with high-risk maneuvers could turn the tide in his favor, especially if the conditions lean toward medium-sized surf at Backdoor.

Griffin Colapinto (+845) is coming into his own as one of the most versatile surfers on the CT. His polished rail work and explosive aerials are complemented by an increasing comfort in hollow waves. A dark horse in past Pipe events, Colapinto’s strategic acumen and ability to adapt to varying conditions make him a compelling pick. He’s the kind of surfer who can surprise even the top seeds, particularly if he can string together a combination of technical barrels and progressive maneuvers.

Outsider Picks – Men’s Division

Ethan Ewing’s (+918) fluid style and impeccable timing have drawn comparisons to surfing greats like Andy Irons. His second-place finish in the 2023 CT season underscored his potential to challenge for a world title. While his Pipeline record isn’t as decorated, Ewing’s ability to read waves and execute flawless carves could see him excel, especially if the swell provides open-faced walls.

Italo Ferreira’s (+942) electrifying energy and relentless wave-hunting strategy make him a perennial threat at any venue. As the inaugural Olympic gold medalist in surfing, Ferreira thrives under pressure and in conditions where creativity and aggression are rewarded. His powerful approach to Pipeline, combined with his fearless commitment, could spell trouble for opponents unprepared to match his intensity.

Yago Dora’s (+1477) stylish approach and innovative aerial game have cemented his reputation as a fan favorite. While his strengths lie in progressive surfing, Dora’s performance in barreling waves has improved significantly. At +1477, he represents tremendous value for those looking for an outsider capable of upsetting the favorites.

Expert Pick for Lexus Pipe Pro – Men’s Division

Pick: Yago Dora (+1477). Jack Robinson’s dominance at heavy reef breaks makes him the safest pick, but for bettors seeking higher returns, Yago Dora offers tremendous upside. His evolving confidence in barreling waves, combined with his stylish approach, could lead to a surprise victory at Pipeline. At these odds, his creative approach and growing confidence in hollow waves could make him the surprise breakout at Pipeline.

Head-to-Head Picks – Men’s Division

Opening Round Heats – Men’s Division

2025 WSL Futures – Men’s Division

Best Bets and Picks for the 2025 Lexus Pipe Pro – Women’s Division

Top Picks and Bets – Women’s Division

Caitlin Simmers (+403) is just 19 years old and already a world champion, making history in 2024 as the youngest ever to clinch the title. Her fearless approach and uncanny wave-reading set her apart, enabling her to dominate even the most challenging conditions. Last year, Simmers made waves with her performance at the Lexus Pipe Pro, showcasing technical precision and maturity beyond her years. With her natural talent and competitive poise, she has the tools to set a new standard for women’s surfing at Pipeline.

Caroline Marks (+459) is a 2023 world champion and Olympic gold medalist known for her powerful backhand and relentless competitive drive. Marks’ ability to adapt in high-stakes situations makes her a top contender at Pipeline. As a 2023 world champion and Olympic gold medalist, she has nothing left to prove but everything to gain. While Marks’ history at Pipeline has been mixed, her ability to adapt and deliver in high-stakes scenarios makes her a top contender.

Tatiana Weston-Webb (+708) delivered a breakthrough performance last season with a perfect 10 at Teahupo’o, solidifying her reputation as one of the most dangerous competitors in heavy waves. This achievement underscores her readiness to tackle Pipeline’s demanding conditions. Her progression in heavy waves and powerful style position her as a major contender at Pipeline. Her progression in heavy waves has been remarkable, and her powerful surfing style is well-suited for Pipeline’s demanding conditions. Weston-Webb’s resilience and strategic mind make her a serious threat to go deep in the draw.

Outsider Picks – Women’s Division

Brisa Hennessy (+818) had a breakout performance at the Shiseido Tahiti Pro, showcasing her growth and skill in challenging conditions. Her calculated approach and consistency make her a strong pick for Pipeline. Her calculated approach and competitive mindset have elevated her game, and Pipeline presents a perfect stage for her to demonstrate her growth. As an outsider, Hennessy’s consistency and adaptability offer significant value.

Molly Picklum (+865) earned headlines last year with the first-ever perfect 10 in women’s Pipeline history. Her aggressive style and powerful turns make her a standout in heavy conditions. Her powerful turns and aggressive approach make her a perfect fit for Pipe’s heavy barrels. With momentum from her standout 2024 season, Picklum is poised to contend for another historic performance.

Bettylou Sakura Johnson (+963) thrives in powerful reef breaks, with her runner-up finish at Sunset Beach proving her capability under pressure. Her familiarity with Pipeline makes her a strong outsider pick. Her familiarity with Pipeline and her fearless approach to challenging conditions make her a strong outsider pick to shake up the draw.

Expert Pick for the 2025 Lexus Pipe Pro – Women’s Division

Pick: Molly Picklum (+865). Caitlin Simmers may be the standout favorite, but Molly Picklum’s explosive style and recent history-making perfect 10 at Pipeline position her as an enticing pick. At these odds, her potential to upset the field is well worth the risk. Her aggressive style makes her a dark horse to secure the title.

Head-to-Head Picks – Women’s Division 

 Opening Round Heats – Women’s Division

2025 WSL Futures – Women’s Division