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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Birmingham Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Birmingham Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The 2026 Supercross chase is ready to resume after riders enjoyed a short breather last weekend. On Saturday, they touch down in Birmingham, Alabama, to contest round 10 of the series. Hunter Lawrence leads the standings at the midway point, but he starts as the second favorite in the pre-event odds, just behind Eli Tomac. There is more reason to celebrate beyond the track, as we bring you holeshot odds for the first time. Lawrence and Jorge Prado reign supreme in this department, but can they lead the field into the first corner this time? Find out more in our event preview below.

Bets for the SX Birmingham can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.

In addition to traditional sports betting, the SMX Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Supercross enthusiasts in 33 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Birmingham

Spring is in the air, and a day out at the SMX Championship is the right way to see in the good weather. Riders line up at the Protective Stadium in Birmingham, Alabama, on Saturday, March 21, for a full day of competition. The 450SX class kicks off qualifying just after lunch, in preparation for the main event at 8:29 pm EST. Watch the first race of spring live on Peacock TV and find the latest results and race times on the dedicated event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets & Odds for SX Birmingham

Odds for Holeshot

Including the two Triple Crown rounds on the calendar, riders have contested 13 races in 2026. Out of those, two riders have contributed six holeshots. Hunter Lawrence and Jorge Prado lead the field with three apiece, and both riders collected one in the IndyTriple Crown two weeks ago. Prado offers the best value for money among his peers, starting at +500.

Next on the list are Eli Tomac and Cooper Webb, who’ve both led through the first apex on two occasions this year. Tomac’s latest success came in the second race in Indianapolis. Webb collected consecutive holeshots in Glendale and Arlington, but hasn’t replicated the achievement since. Ken Roczen, Jason Anderson, and Vince Friese are the only other riders to score a holeshot advantage this year.

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Rider
Holeshot
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+394
$98.80
Hunter Lawrence
+402
$100.40
Ken Roczen
+500
$120.00
Jorge Prado
+500
$120.00
Cooper Webb
+597
$139.40
Justin Cooper
+1107
$241.40
Malcolm Stewart
+1294
$278.80
Joey Savatgy
+1297
$279.40
Aaron Plessinger
+1321
$284.20
Shane McElrath
+2257
$471.40
Justin Hill
+3106
$641.20
Christian Craig
+3501
$720.20
Colt Nichols
+4556
$931.20
Jordon Smith
+4741
$968.20
Austin Forkner
+6929
$1,405.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+7138
$1,447.60
Vince Friese
+8603
$1,740.60
Mitchell Harrison
+10977
$2,215.40
Jeremy Hand
+12505
$2,521.00
Cade Clason
+13960
$2,812.00
Cole Thompson
+14523
$2,924.60
Freddie Noren
+14669
$2,953.80
John Short IV
+14669
$2,953.80
Justin Starling
+14669
$2,953.80
Kevin Moranz
+14669
$2,953.80
Grant Harlan
+14669
$2,953.80
Anthony Rodriguez
+14669
$2,953.80
Tristan Lane
+14669
$2,953.80
Scott Meshey
+14669
$2,953.80
Zack Williams
+14669
$2,953.80
Cheyenne Harmon
+14669
$2,953.80
Jared Lesher
+14669
$2,953.80
Logan Leitzel
+14669
$2,953.80
Josh Greco
+14669
$2,953.80
Austin Cozadd
+14669
$2,953.80
Cory Carsten
+14669
$2,953.80
Bobby Piazza
+14669
$2,953.80
Collin Allen
+14669
$2,953.80
Scotty Wennerstrom
+14669
$2,953.80
Charles Tolleson IV
+14669
$2,953.80
David Pulley
+14669
$2,953.80
Dayton Briggs
+14669
$2,953.80
Ronnie Orres
+14669
$2,953.80
Doc Smith
+14669
$2,953.80
Lane Shaw
+14669
$2,953.80
Preston Taylor
+14669
$2,953.80
Carter Biese
+14669
$2,953.80
Justin Aragaki
+14669
$2,953.80

Odds for Event Winner

Hunter Lawrence is carrying his family’s reputation with honor, holding a four-point lead in the standings after nine rounds. His brother Jett was the pre-season favorite, but Hunter is tearing up the dirt stateside with two trips inside Victory Lane in the last three rounds. He averages 2.22 across all rounds this year, outclassing his peers.

Eli Tomac lines up as the favorite, a familiar position for him, and deservedly so as the winningest rider in the Championship. He’s snatched the checkered flag four times this year, two of them coming in his last four appearances. Cooper Webb finds himself down the odds sheet at +642, with a single victory in the trunk this campaign. Despite his lack of wins, he’s only missed one rostrum in the previous six rounds.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+150
$50.00
Hunter Lawrence
+187
$57.40
Ken Roczen
+328
$85.60
Cooper Webb
+642
$148.40
Jorge Prado
+1386
$297.20
Justin Cooper
+2142
$448.40
Aaron Plessinger
+2632
$546.40
Joey Savatgy
+3256
$671.20
Malcolm Stewart
+3372
$694.40
Shane McElrath
+9074
$1,834.80
Justin Hill
+11264
$2,272.80
Jordon Smith
+20733
$4,166.60
Austin Forkner
+20733
$4,166.60
Colt Nichols
+22122
$4,444.40
Christian Craig
+22122
$4,444.40
Cole Thompson
+22122
$4,444.40
Vince Friese
+22122
$4,444.40
Jared Lesher
+23710
$4,762.00
Josh Greco
+23710
$4,762.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+23710
$4,762.00
Austin Cozadd
+23710
$4,762.00
Dayton Briggs
+23710
$4,762.00
Collin Allen
+23710
$4,762.00
Ronnie Orres
+23710
$4,762.00
Charles Tolleson IV
+23710
$4,762.00
Carter Biese
+23710
$4,762.00
Doc Smith
+23710
$4,762.00
Preston Taylor
+23710
$4,762.00
Lane Shaw
+23710
$4,762.00
Justin Starling
+24290
$4,878.00
Kevin Moranz
+24290
$4,878.00
John Short IV
+24290
$4,878.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+24290
$4,878.00
Jeremy Hand
+24290
$4,878.00
Cade Clason
+24290
$4,878.00
Mitchell Harrison
+24290
$4,878.00
Grant Harlan
+24290
$4,878.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+24290
$4,878.00
Freddie Noren
+24290
$4,878.00
Tristan Lane
+24290
$4,878.00
Scott Meshey
+24290
$4,878.00
Zack Williams
+24290
$4,878.00
Logan Leitzel
+24290
$4,878.00
Bobby Piazza
+24290
$4,878.00
Cory Carsten
+24290
$4,878.00
David Pulley
+24290
$4,878.00
Justin Aragaki
+24290
$4,878.00
Scotty Wennerstrom
+24290
$4,878.00
Expert Pick

Hunter Lawrence has proven his worth this year, and earned our confidence in the process. His 66.7% win rate in the last three races makes him a worthy candidate for glory in Alabama, and he’s priced at +187. Wagering $20.00 could payout $57.40 if the older Lawrence brother gets the job done.

Odds for a Podium

Eli Tomac and Hunter Lawrence lead the 2026 SX Championship for podiums, both registering top threes in 77.8% of the rounds this year. Despite their success, Cooper Webb enters round 10, favorably priced at +148 for a podium. Webb has stood on the rostrum five times this year. All of his top threes have arrived in the last six rounds.

Ken Roczen continues his strong campaign, fresh off his seventh top five of the year. The German-American has found himself on the rostrum in five events, averaging 4.33 across the term. Colt Nichols and Justin Cooper are the remaining riders to have earned a podium this series, Nichols’ runner-up in Seattle was the only race where he’s finished inside of the top 10. Cooper arrives after a fourth palce finish in the final round, taking his average over the last five races to 5.60.

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Rider
Podium Odds
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
-526
$23.80
Hunter Lawrence
-500
$24.00
Ken Roczen
-140
$34.29
Cooper Webb
+148
$49.60
Jorge Prado
+200
$60.00
Justin Cooper
+300
$80.00
Joey Savatgy
+400
$100.00
Aaron Plessinger
+620
$144.00
Malcolm Stewart
+857
$191.40
Shane McElrath
+1738
$367.60
Justin Hill
+3006
$621.20
Christian Craig
+4119
$843.80
Jordon Smith
+6611
$1,342.20
Colt Nichols
+8829
$1,785.80
Austin Forkner
+8829
$1,785.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+8829
$1,785.80
Grant Harlan
+8829
$1,785.80
Cory Carsten
+8829
$1,785.80
David Pulley
+8829
$1,785.80
Lane Shaw
+8829
$1,785.80
Preston Taylor
+8829
$1,785.80
Carter Biese
+8829
$1,785.80
Collin Allen
+8829
$1,785.80
Doc Smith
+8829
$1,785.80
Vince Friese
+8909
$1,801.80
Cole Thompson
+8909
$1,801.80
Justin Starling
+8909
$1,801.80
Jeremy Hand
+8909
$1,801.80
Mitchell Harrison
+8909
$1,801.80
Freddie Noren
+8909
$1,801.80
Kevin Moranz
+8909
$1,801.80
Cade Clason
+8909
$1,801.80
John Short IV
+8909
$1,801.80
Scott Meshey
+8909
$1,801.80
Logan Leitzel
+8909
$1,801.80
Zack Williams
+8909
$1,801.80
Josh Greco
+8909
$1,801.80
Cheyenne Harmon
+8909
$1,801.80
Austin Cozadd
+8909
$1,801.80
Bobby Piazza
+8909
$1,801.80
Dayton Briggs
+8909
$1,801.80
Ronnie Orres
+8909
$1,801.80
Scotty Wennerstrom
+8909
$1,801.80
Justin Aragaki
+8909
$1,801.80
Charles Tolleson IV
+8909
$1,801.80
Tristan Lane
+8991
$1,818.20
Anthony Rodriguez
+8991
$1,818.20
Jared Lesher
+8991
$1,818.20

H2H Odds

Hunter Lawrence enters his matchup with Eli Tomac as the underdog, carrying odds of -102. Lawrence has crossed the line ahead of Tomac in five races this season, compared to Tomac’s four, and holds a 2.22 finishing average, the best in the competition. Another rider offering serious value is Cooper Webb, priced at +135 in his clash with Ken Roczen. Webb has finished ahead of Roczen in five out of nine rounds, averaging 4.00  compared to his rival’s 4.33.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
-130
$35.38
Hunter Lawrence
-102
$39.61
Cooper Webb
+135
$47.00
Ken Roczen
-181
$31.05
Joey Savatgy
-130
$35.38
Malcolm Stewart
-102
$39.61
Aaron Plessinger
+120
$44.00
Justin Cooper
-160
$32.50
Cooper Webb
-175
$31.43
Jorge Prado
+131
$46.20

SX Birmingham DFS

Rider
Finishing Position
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Eli Tomac
2.5
Ken Roczen
3.5
Cooper Webb
3.5
Joey Savatgy
7.5
Jorge Prado
7.5
Justin Cooper
7.5
Aaron Plessinger
8.5
Malcolm Stewart
9.5
Shane McElrath
11.5

Where to Bet on Supercross

Bets for the Supercross Birmingham round can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
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