It’s Finals weekend, but it feels like only yesterday we were gearing up for the season opener at Fox Raceway. Fast forward 10 rounds, and we find ourselves in Mechanicsville for the last razzle. As per usual, Jett Lawrence takes the favorite tag in the Pro Motocross Championship Budds Creek National pre-event odds, followed by …
Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Houston Pre-Event Odds Analysis
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The 2026 Supercross Championship has departed California and is moving on to Texas. On Saturday night, riders lineup on the start hill for the first Triple Crown of the year down in Houston, and Eli Tomac and Chase Sexton are leading the pre-event odds. Tomac still leads the standings, but Sexton’s triumph at Anaheim 2 highlights his threat to the silverware. Hunter Lawrence continues his form, fresh off a second consecutive podium, and is one to consider for a repeat performance this weekend.
Bets for the SX Houston can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.
In addition to traditional sports betting, the SMX World Championship offers a Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) option for the series, available exclusively on Underdog. DFS offers a new way for fans to engage with the sport, allowing them to make real money picks in a thrilling Pick’Em format. This expanding category within legal sports wagering enables Supercross enthusiasts in 30 states, including California, Utah, and Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently prohibited, to participate in the action.
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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Houston
The gate is ready to drop on the first race outside of California this year, as the Championship moves to Houston, Texas, this weekend. Riders report for duty at NRG Stadium on Saturday, January 31, for round four of this year’s series. Qualifying sets off at 11:30 am CT, with the main event scheduled for a 6:00 pm start to decide the winner. Find out if Chase Sexton can go back-to-back live on Peacock TV, and find the latest times on the dedicated event page.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets & Odds for Supercross Houston
Odds for the Event Winner
We have a tie at the top of the odds table with Eli Tomac and Chase Sexton arriving as +130 pre-event favorites. Sexton is on a high after bagging his maiden triumph of the campaign in Anaheim last weekend, and he’s now improved in every race, after starting the season with an eighth and fourth place finish respectively.
Tomac endured his worst performance of the year so far at Angel Stadium, still finishing third. The standings leader averages 1.67 across three rounds with two victories and a rostrum. Flying the Australian flag, Hunter Lawrence backed up his San Diego podium with another in Anaheim, to move him into second in the Championship standings.
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Expert Pick
Eli Tomac arrives with the best record on the start hill in 2026, yet to finish a race off the podium. He also enjoys the added boost of defending his title at this venue. While that might be enough to convince most of his worthiness, we’re eyeing Chase Sexton in the Triple Crown (TC) leg. He claimed two of the three TC rounds in 2025, and we’re confident he can ride to glory in the “Lone Star State.”
Odds for a Podium
After consecutive podiums, Hunter Lawrence lines up in Houston at -170 to finish inside the top three. The Australian averages 2.67 leading into round four, the second best in the field behind Eli Tomac. Ken Roczen is another rider with two podiums to his name this year, but he battled at Anaheim 2, returning home in eighth. The Suzuki rider now finds himself in fourth in the standings, one point shy of Chase Sexton.
Roczen’s teammate, Jason Anderson, offers the best value for money for the visit to NRG Stadium. Sportsbooks have him at +2497, despite registering two top fives in the first three rounds of the campaign. Reigning Supercross Champion, Cooper Webb, delivered his maiden top five of the series last weekend and is back at the venue where he ended fifth in 2023.
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H2H Odds
The top of the standings clash between Chase Sexton and Eli Tomac presents an opportunity, with the latter starting at -110. Tomac lost to Sexton last time out, but he’s snatched two checkered flags already in 2026 and won in Houston when the Championship last visited in 2023. Looking at recent form, Tomac arrives with a 1.67 average in the first three rounds, compared to his rival’s 4.33. However, Chase Sexton is a beast in Triple Crown events, conquering two of three last year.
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2026 SMX Futures
Despite losing out to Chase Sexton in round three, Eli Tomac starts the opening Triple Crown leg at the top of the standings. The KTM racer sits on 70 points, eight clear of second-placed Hunter Lawrence, and 13 ahead of Sexton. It’s still early days in the race to the title, but Tomac has so far looked consistent, and he’s reasonably priced at -120. However, Chase Sexton is priced attractively at +150 after improving in every start this season.
Leading into round four, Hunter Lawrence is worth a look as an outside pick. Sportsbooks have him at +600, potentially paying out $140.00 when you wager $20.00. The Aussie is a reliable competitor, but he’s yet take top honors this year, and will need a few wins if he is to challenge the frontrunners for the title.
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SX Houston DFS
Where to Bet on Supercross
Bets for the Supercross Houston can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.
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