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Best Bets: BKFC 86 Mohegan Sun Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: BKFC 86 Mohegan Sun Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Bare knuckle fighting prepares for a knockout year, starting with a visit to the Mohegan Sun on Saturday night. A title is on the line in BKFC 86, as Julian Lane prepares to defend his welterweight belt from legendary combatant Dustin Pague. The latter arrives as the pre-event odds favorite by a whisker from the title-holder. Over in the co-main event, Jamel Herring carries the shortest odds of the night in his tussle with Matt Guymon. Discover the best bets and picks for the first meetup of the year in our analysis below.

To bet on BKFC 86 Mohegan Sun, Lane vs Pague, check out our partner sportsbooks.

1
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Offer Score

9.8
2
Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON BKFC, GET $300
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Offer Score

9.9
3
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON BKFC, GET $200 IN BONUS BETS
Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater.
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7
4
Hot & Trending
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.9
5
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Bet and Get up to $1000 No Sweat Bets
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4920 other players have claimed this offer
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Offer Score

9.8
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Fan Favorite
Use Code BKFC20X and Bet $1, Double Your Winnings
On Your Next 20 Wagers, Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.7

Schedule and How to Watch BKFC 86 Mohegan Sun

Fists are ready to fly in Connecticut on Saturday, January 17, in the inaugural BKFC tussle of 2026. The promotion is wasting no time this year, presenting a title fight in the main event at the Mohegan Sun. Bare knuckle fighting is set to hit your screens from 6:00 pm EST, and proceedings will run later into the night when the highly anticipated meeting of Pague and Lane takes place. Catch every punch and knockout from Uncasville live on FUBO, and discover the latest odds and analysis here on NXTbets.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Odds for BKFC 86 Mohegan Sun: Lane vs Pague

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Dustin Pague
-120
$36.67
Julian Lane
-110
$38.18
Matt Guymon
+522
$124.40
Jamel Herring
-1000
$22.00
Ramiro Figueroa
-120
$36.67
Dalvin Blair
-110
$38.18
Rico Disciullo
-934
$22.14
Ashton Caniglia
+500
$120.00
Guilherme Viana
-588
$23.40
Juan Figuerva
+364
$92.80
Ras Hylton
+148
$49.60
Branko Busick
-200
$30.00
Trey Martin
+491
$118.20
Nate Ghareeb
-909
$22.20
Kurtis Ellis
+140
$48.00
Joey Gambino
-189
$30.58
Brandon Meneses
-303
$26.60
Zach Pannell
+214
$62.80
Jair Roberto
+148
$49.60
Elijah Harris
-200
$30.00
Chachi Versace
+166
$53.20
Jared Lennon
-227
$28.81

Julian "Let Me Bang" Lane vs Dustin "The Disciple" Pague - Welterweight Championship Bout

Julian Lane arrives in Uncasville with the welterweight belt, but bettors suggest that he could leave without it. The Champion faces Dustin Pague, who is a well-versed combatant, having plied his trade in the biggest leagues in combat sports. However, Lane has produced the goods in recent years, carrying a five-fight winning streak into this matchup. We have to rewind to BKFC 25 to find the last brawl where Lane tasted defeat, and on that occassion he came off second best to the reigning Middleweight Champion, David Mundell. Former UFC fighter, “The Disciple” starts this challenge with five victories in his previous six encounters, last crashing to Carlos Trinidad-Snake in 2024.

Jamel "Semper Fi" Herring vs Matt "The Silencer" Guymon- Bantamweight Co-Main Event

BKFC debutant, Jamel Herring arrives in the promotion with great hype surrounding his name. Fighting out of Cinncinati, he’s conjured up an 82.75% career win record, and now takes the gloves off to see how he fairs. “Semper Fi” faces Matt Guymon who arrives with a 50% success rate in two BKFC appearances, which explains his longshot odds against the debutant. Guymon lost via majority decision to Ryan Reber in May last year, and although he lost, he dsiplayed a strong chin in the encounter. One of the biggest disadvantages for Herring is his lack of time in Squared Circle, last contesting a professional bout in April 2024.

Dalvin "Hippy Disciple" Blair vs Ramiro Figueroa - Welterweight Featured Fight

After a successful debut year in the promotion, Dalvin Blair returns to the Squared Circle for his third BKFC tussle. He arrives as the underdog, despite carrying a 100% win rate, where he hasn’t gone beyond the first round. However, he faces his toughest outing to date against Ramiro Figueroa, who has only lost once in four matchups. All three of Figueroa’s triumphs have come by way of TKO inside of the first two rounds. These are two fighters who look to finish their battles quickly, and it could be an early night for the loser.

Expert Pick

Julian Lane arrives to defend his welterweight belt as the underdog against Dustin Pague. However, we fancy his chances of defending the title, given his current win streak, where he’s won three out of the current five via TKO. Lane enters the Squared Circle at -110 for the win, offering a possible payout of $38.18 when you wager $20.00.

Where to Bet on BKFC 86 Mohegan Sun

Now that you’re armed with the latest odds and expert picks for BKFC 86 Lane vs Pague, it’s time to place your bets. NXTbets has partnered with several reputable sportsbooks to ensure that you have a seamless betting experience. To bet or make picks on BKFC fights, check out partnered sportsbooks. Simply follow the links to register an account, deposit funds, and start betting. For those venturing into bare-knuckle-fighting championship betting for the first time, we highly advise perusing our Official BKFC Betting Guide for valuable insights and tips.

1
Hot & Trending
BET $5 ON BKFC, GET $300 IN BONUS BETS
IF YOUR BET WINS
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
2
Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON BKFC, GET $300
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
3
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON BKFC, GET $200 IN BONUS BETS
Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 or greater.
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.7
4
Hot & Trending
GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
5
Fan Favorite
Bet and Get up to $1000 No Sweat Bets
New Player Offer
4920 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
6
Fan Favorite
Use Code BKFC20X and Bet $1, Double Your Winnings
On Your Next 20 Wagers, Up to $25 Max Bet Per Boost
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.7
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