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Best Bets: F1 Monaco Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: F1 Monaco Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Imola ended an incredible run of three consecutive victories for Oscar Piastri, who settled for the final spot on the podium, behind Max Verstappen and Lando Norris. The Formula 1 roadshow moves to the French Riviera this weekend to undertake the iconic fixture around Monte Carlo. The McLaren drivers lead the F1 Monaco Grand Prix pre-event odds ahead of the Red Bull top dog, while Ferrari are looking to retain their crown in the historic race.

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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Monaco Grand Prix

Charles Leclerc returns home this weekend hoping to defend the title he claimed 12 months ago. The Monagasque driver hits his local track for the first time on Friday, May 23rd at 7:30 am ET for Practice #1. Qualifying shifts into gear on Saturday morning for those of us stateside, with the single-seaters departing the pits at 10 am on the East Coast.

The most glamorous Grand Prix on the calendar lines up on the grid on Sunday, May 25th at 9 am as Max Verstappen looks to win his third Grand Prix here in five years. Tune into ESPN 2 to see if the field can buck the trend of the fastest qualifier taking the checkered flag in the Principality.

F1 Monaco GP Odds

Event Winner Odds

Five consecutive podiums for Oscar Piastri leave him 13 points ahead of his teammate in the Drivers’ Championship. The Australian ended a three-win streak at the Emilia-Romagna Grand Prix, but has finished on the podium in every race this campaign, except for the season-opener. While his teammate captures the headlines, Lando Norris has quietly continued his campaign, notching up six podiums between Melbourne and Emilia-Romagna. 

“Last Lap Lando” travels to Monaco fresh off consecutive runner-up returns, taking his tally to four this year. The Briton lines up this weekend with the best finishing average on the grid with 2.29. The aggression shown by Max Verstappen in the opening turn at Imola is the reason he took the spoils, and Piastri settled for a place finish. The Red Bull senior lines up at this famed venue after podiuming three times in his previous four starts, including trips inside Victory Lane.

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Driver
Event Winner
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
+178
$55.60
Lando Norris
+200
$60.00
Max Verstappen
+390
$98.00
Charles Leclerc
+1175
$255.00
George Russell
+1318
$283.60
Lewis Hamilton
+1765
$373.00
Kimi Antonelli
+3276
$675.20
Yuki Tsunoda
+17102
$3,440.40
Carlos Sainz
+17691
$3,558.20
Alex Albon
+17691
$3,558.20
Fernando Alonso
+17691
$3,558.20
Isack Hadjar
+17691
$3,558.20
Liam Lawson
+17691
$3,558.20
Pierre Gasly
+17691
$3,558.20
Esteban Ocon
+17691
$3,558.20
Franco Colapinto
+17691
$3,558.20
Oliver Bearman
+17691
$3,558.20
Lance Stroll
+17691
$3,558.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+17778
$3,575.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+17778
$3,575.60
Oscar Piastri prepares for the race weekend, featured in Best Bets: F1 Monaco Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis.

Can Oscar Piastri secure his fifth win of the season in Monaco?

Podium Odds

Oscar Piastri, Lando Norris, and Max Verstappen top the podium odds after accumulating 16 top-three finishes between them. Piastri and Norris have only missed the podium in one Grand Prix each, while the Netherlander has skipped three podium celebrations this year. All three of these title contenders ended on the podium together at Suzuka and Imola.

George Russell disappointed in the last race after finishing outside of the top 6 for the first time this term. However, “Mr. Saturday” has remained largely consistent this season, greeting the stewards in a podium position in four races on the calendar. His ex-teammate Lewis Hamilton enjoyed the opposite fortune in Italy, coming the closest to a podium finish so far with Ferrari.

If Sir Lewis can qualify higher up on the grid than last weekend, he could threaten for a top-three finish on a circuit he is well familiar with. Local Charles Leclerc can’t be ruled out for a podium finish, given his knowledge of the layout, but he only has one podium to his name this year. Charles must be commended for his performance in Italy, finishing sixth after starting from 11th on the grid.

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Driver
Event Podium
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-323
$26.19
Lando Norris
-263
$27.60
Max Verstappen
-123
$36.26
George Russell
+213
$62.60
Charles Leclerc
+245
$69.00
Lewis Hamilton
+292
$78.40
Kimi Antonelli
+460
$112.00
Yuki Tsunoda
+1597
$339.40
Carlos Sainz
+2701
$560.20
Alex Albon
+5591
$1,138.20
Fernando Alonso
+9445
$1,909.90
Isack Hadjar
+9445
$1,909.90
Liam Lawson
+9445
$1,909.90
Pierre Gasly
+9445
$1,909.90
Esteban Ocon
+9445
$1,909.90
Franco Colapinto
+9445
$1,909.90
Oliver Bearman
+9445
$1,909.90
Lance Stroll
+9445
$1,909.90
Nico Hulkenberg
+9445
$1,909.90
Gabriel Bortoleto
+9445
$1,909.90
ando Norris wearing a helmet and lifting his hand to the crowd in celebration, showcasing his excitement amid the Monaco Grand Prix betting odds buzz."

Can Lando Norris land the second podium of his career at the 2025 F1 Monaco GP?

Odds for the Top 6

The top two finishers in last weekend’s race, Verstappen and Norris, are the only two drivers on the grid to have finished every Grand Prix inside the top six this season. The Red Bull driver finished on the cusp in Bahrain, while Lando drove his worst race in Saudi Arabia, crossing the line in fourth place.

Russell and Piastri missed the cut line in one race each, but have otherwise enjoyed a consistent run inside the top six. The Mercedes number one averages 4.00 across all races this season, while Piastri is sitting on 2.71, well within the top six. Williams continued to impress this season as Alex Albon was fighting for a podium spot for the majority of the Emilia-Romagna race, but he closed out the day in fifth, his third top six in seven races.

Wunderkind, Kimi Antonelli, ended his homecoming in heartbreak as his car suffered challenges with the throttle and a loss of power, forcing him to retire. It’s only the second race in 2025 where the Italian has missed out on a top-six return. Local Leclerc is another to watch for a top-six result, which he has secured on four occasions this season, and in his last three starts in this Grand Prix.

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Driver
Event Top 6
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-652
$23.07
Lando Norris
-577
$23.47
Max Verstappen
-367
$25.45
George Russell
-196
$30.20
Charles Leclerc
-167
$31.98
Lewis Hamilton
-151
$33.25
Kimi Antonelli
-112
$37.86
Yuki Tsunoda
+221
$64.20
Carlos Sainz
+333
$86.60
Alexander Albon
+445
$109.00
Isack Hadjar
+1110
$242.00
Pierre Gasly
+1239
$267.80
Liam Lawson
+2184
$456.80
Fernando Alonso
+2589
$537.80
Oliver Bearman
+2761
$572.20
Esteban Ocon
+3310
$682.00
Lance Stroll
+6836
$1,387.20
Nico Hulkenberg
+7221
$1,464.20
Gabriel Bortoleto
+10117
$2,043.40
Franco Colapinto
+10117
$2,043.40

Odds for a Top 10 Finish

Driver Championship contenders Piastri, Norris, and Russell are tipped to earn their eighth consecutive top 10 of the year, on the French Riviera. The Ferraris just miss out on the invite to the “All Top 10 Club” after Leclerc and Hamilton were both disqualified in Shanghai. Hamilton has crossed the line inside the top 10 in his last five starts here, while Leclerc has a perfect record in his previous three races.

Carlos Sainz is starting to find his rhythm in the Williams and begins the extravagant affair fresh off three straight top 10s. Yuki Tsunoda offers fine value for money in this area, with three top 10s between Bahrain and Emilia-Romagna. Finally, the young Frenchman Isack Hadjar consistently challenges for a top 10 spot, earning his third of the season last weekend.

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Driver
Event Top 10
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
-1085
$21.84
Lando Norris
-1040
$21.92
Max Verstappen
-844
$22.37
George Russell
-554
$23.61
Charles Leclerc
-479
$24.18
Lewis Hamilton
-457
$24.38
Kimi Antonelli
-387
$25.17
Yuki Tsunoda
-180
$31.11
Carlos Sainz
-135
$34.81
Alexander Albon
-113
$37.70
Isack Hadjar
+160
$52.00
Pierre Gasly
+175
$55.00
Liam Lawson
+251
$70.20
Fernando Alonso
+269
$73.80
Oliver Bearman
+294
$78.80
Esteban Ocon
+320
$84.00
Lance Stroll
+507
$121.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+575
$135.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+1081
$236.20
Franco Colapinto
+1822
$384.40
Charles Leclerc celebrating with his helmet on after winning the Monaco Grand Prix last year, his first Formula 1 victory in front of his home crowd.

Charles Leclerc has only missed out on a top 10 spot once this season. can he repeat his 2024 success in front of his home crowd?

H2H of Interest

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Alexander Albon
+311
$82.20
Lewis Hamilton
-311
$26.43
Lando Norris
-147
$33.61
Max Verstappen
+147
$49.40
Isack Hadjar
+209
$61.80
Yuki Tsunoda
-209
$29.57
Franco Colapinto
+221
$64.20
Oliver Bearman
-221
$29.05
Charles Leclerc
+110
$42.00
George Russell
-110
$38.18

Qualifying Winner Odds

Piastri and Verstappen get their weekend underway tied for the most pole positions on the grid in 2025. The McLaren and Red Bull rivals have racked up three fastest qualifiers each in seven races, with Norris, the only other driver to enjoy pole position in a Grand Prix this season. Oscar has taken top honors in two of the races where he started from the front, compared to Verstappen’s solo wire-to-wire victory in Japan.

The importance of qualifying in Monaco is elevated, as there is a trend of the fastest qualifiers taking the checkered flag. Just ask Verstappen, who has achieved the feat in 50% of his previous four appearances on the street circuit. Charles won from pole last year, and Lewis did it in 2019.

Sergio Perez is the only driver in the last five editions to triumph without starting from the first row. Checo’s former team, Red Bull Racing, carries an impressive record into Monte Carlo, winning three of the previous five Grands Prix hosted in the Principality.

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Driver
Qualifying Winner
$20 Payout
Oscar Piastri
+258
$71.60
Lando Norris
+377
$95.40
Max Verstappen
+513
$122.60
Charles Leclerc
+824
$184.80
George Russell
+1112
$242.40
Lewis Hamilton
+1973
$414.60
Kimi Antonelli
+2723
$564.60
Carlos Sainz
+6201
$1,260.20
Yuki Tsunoda
+15127
$3,045.40
Alexander Albon
+21187
$4,257.40
Fernando Alonso
+21187
$4,257.40
Pierre Gasly
+21187
$4,257.40
Esteban Ocon
+21187
$4,257.40
Franco Colapinto
+21187
$4,257.40
Gabriel Bortoleto
+21187
$4,257.40
Isack Hadjar
+21187
$4,257.40
Lance Stroll
+21187
$4,257.40
Liam Lawson
+21187
$4,257.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+21187
$4,257.40
Oliver Bearman
+21187
$4,257.40

Odds for the Constructor Winner

Austria and Germany have dominated the Monte Carlo circuit in the last 10 races at this track, prevailing in four apiece. Red Bull holds the edge in recent years, winning four of the previous six Grand Prix de Monaco Constructor trophies. Max handed the team the most recent triumph when he took the 2023 edition.

Mercedes enjoyed their success in the pre-COVID era, last tasting success in 2019, courtesy of Lewis Hamilton. The Germans dominated this race between 2014 and 2019, winning four times in that period. Ferrari are the most recent Constructor victors in Monaco thanks to Charles Leclerc’s brilliance in 2024.

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Constructor
Constructor Winner
$20 Payout
McLaren
-135
$34.81
Red Bull
+472
$114.40
Ferrari
+806
$181.20
Mercedes
+1094
$238.80
Williams
+10648
$2,149.60
Alpine
+10648
$2,149.60
Racing Bulls
+10648
$2,149.60
Aston Martin
+10648
$2,149.60
Haas
+10648
$2,149.60
Sauber
+10648
$2,149.60

Monaco GP WO Winner Odds

Williams’ crowd favorite, Alex Albon, has made the mid-field competition his own after seven rounds, consistently entering the top 10. The Thai native only finished outside of the top 10 in Bahrain, and starts fresh off consecutive top-five returns. Albon finds himself in eighth on the Driver Championship standings and lines up at the same circuit where he finished ninth last time out.

“Albono’s” teammate Carlos Sainz is one of his closest challengers in the midfield race, after securing three straight top 10s. Esteban Ocon sits in ninth in the Championship, but he’s been erratic, crossing the line outside of the top 10 in four races, and he failed to finish in Italy. Lance Stroll joins Ocon and Albon as the only mid-field drivers to earn a top 6 finish this term.

Isack Hadjar deserves a mention after earning his third top 10 of the year last weekend, continuing a relatively consistent season. The Racing Bulls rookie crashed out in the season opener, but since then has not finished worse than 13th position. Alpine senior Pierre Gasly enjoys this circuit, proven by his three top 10 performances in four prior starts.

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Driver
Qualifying Winner
$20 Payout
Carlos Sainz
+247
$69.40
Alexander Albon
+338
$87.60
Isack Hadjar
+781
$176.20
Pierre Gasly
+915
$203.00
Liam Lawson
+1459
$311.80
Fernando Alonso
+1678
$355.60
Oliver Bearman
+1859
$391.80
Esteban Ocon
+2132
$446.40
Lance Stroll
+4213
$862.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+4748
$969.60
Gabriel Bortoleto
+13093
$2,638.60
Franco Colapinto
+20155
$4,051.00

Where to Bet on the Monaco Grand Prix

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the F1 Monaco Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

Max Verstappen added to the excitement in the Drivers’ Championship by winning his second Grand Prix of the year. Can the Netherlander earn his third title at this track come Sunday, or will Oscar Piastri find himself at the top of the podium for the fifth time in 2025? 

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