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Best Bets: MotoAmerica Superbikes At Barber Pre-Event Odds Analysis

 

The road to the 2024 MotoAmerica Superbike crown shifted into high gear in Road Atlanta last weekend, with Jake Gagne and Cameron Beaubier putting on an absolute masterclass. In an instant classic brawl, Gagne outlasted his rival by the slimmest of margins, taking race two and a share of the championship lead in the process. Now the stage is set for another pivotal showdown as the series roars into the majestic sweeps of Barber Motorsports Park. With the title race already red hot, all eyes will be on Gagne and Beaubier as they look to gain a crucial edge. But don’t overlook the field of hungry contenders nipping at their heels, eager to disrupt the favorites and launch their own championship charges. 

As always, we’ve scoured the odds, crunched the numbers, and peered into our crystal ball to bring you the sharpest insights and betting analysis to navigate what promises to be another spellbinding weekend of speed.

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Schedule and How to Watch MotoAmerica Alabama 2024

The 15-turn, 2.38 mile Barber Motorsports Park circuit outside Birmingham, Alabama plays host to round three of the 2024 MotoAmerica championship on May 17-19. The Superbike class headlines the action with races on Saturday and Sunday. Both will be aired live on FS1 as part of MotoAmerica’s comprehensive broadcast package, so you can catch every pulse-pounding moment from the comfort of home.

 

If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for MotoAmerica Alabama 2024

Top Picks and Bets – Superbike

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Jake Gagne

-135

$34.81

Cameron Beaubier

+155

$51.00

Josh Herrin

+579

$135.80

Jake Gagne (-135): Gagne proved he remains the man to beat with a tenacious victory in race two at Road Atlanta. The three-time defending champ demonstrated all his trademark versatility, overcoming tricky wet conditions and a hounding pack behind him. Gagne continues to wield the psychological edge over the field and consistently seems to find that extra spark when it matters most. He’s the odds-on favorite at Barber for good reason.

Cameron Beaubier (+155): The fact that Beaubier is already going toe-to-toe with Gagne for wins so early in his MotoAmerica return speaks volumes. Five races into his comeback, he looks like he never left. The five-time champ seems to have quickly found his groove on the Tytlers BMW, pushing Gagne to the limit in both Road Atlanta contests. While he ultimately fell just short in race two, all signs point to Beaubier being firmly in the title picture. He’ll no doubt be hungrier than ever at Barber.

Josh Herrin (+579): Of the riders looking to crash the Gagne/Beaubier party, Herrin might be best positioned. The Warhorse HSBK Racing Ducati pilot was in the thick of the fray all weekend in Atlanta, snagging a podium with 3rd in race one.  While an off-track excursion kept him off the box in race two, Herrin still managed a fighting 4th. Consistently quick in varying conditions, the 2013 champ has the experience and machinery to vie for wins on any given weekend. At these odds, he’s well worth a look.

 

Outsider Picks – Superbike

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Bobby Fong

+10,001

$2020.20

JD Beach

+13,985

$2817.00

Brandon Paasch

+13,985

$2817.00

Bobby Fong (+10,001): After a strong start in qualifying and race one at Road Atlanta, Fong’s luck soured with a crash in race two. But don’t be deceived by that DNF or these long odds. Fong was flying on the Wrench Yamaha, capturing a front-row start and fighting for the podium throughout race one.  He clearly has the pace to run up front and the aggressive, hard-charging style to pressure the favorites. If he can keep the rubber side down, an upset could be brewing.

JD Beach (+13,985): Beach’s speed was on full display at Road Atlanta, authoring a stirring race two comeback. After running off track early battling for the lead, Beach stormed back from dead last to snag 4th at the checkered flag, showcasing the never-say-die attitude that’s made him a fan favorite. He has a real affinity for the undulating Barber circuit too, claiming pole and a race win there in 2022. Barber could prove the perfect spot for Beach to recapture that winning form.

Brandon Paasch (+13,985): A bit of a forgotten man after an early mechanical DNF in Atlanta race one, don’t sleep on Paasch. The Suzuki rider turned heads throughout 2023 with his raw speed and aggression. And after enduring a year of bad luck and injury woes, he’s overdue for a breakout. A return to the Barber track where he snagged his first career MotoAmerica podium in 2022 could provide just the spark. At these odds, Paasch is well worth a flyer.

Top Picks and Bets – Supersport

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

PJ Jacobsen

+207

$61.40

Mathew Scholtz

+1125

$245.00

Tyler Scott

+1150

$250.00

PJ Jacobsen (+207): The biggest story of the Supersport season so far is undoubtedly the immediate emergence of the Rahal Ducati squad as a powerhouse team. With two wins at Road Atlanta, PJ Jacobsen appears the cream of that crop. The former World Superbike pilot made it look easy in the wet on Sunday, controlling the race from start to finish. After early season teething issues in Daytona, Jacobsen and the team have clearly found their footing. More success seems imminent.

Mathew Scholtz (+1125): Former Superbike star Mathew Scholtz has made an immediate impact in his return to the middleweight ranks, scoring an impressive 3rd place in Atlanta race one. Despite having to overcome both mechanical gremlins and a lowly 11th place starting position, the South African sliced through the field in a hurry. Back to full strength and armed with one of the fastest Yamahas on the grid, Scholtz looms as a serious victory contender heading into Barber.

Tyler Scott (+1150): The early Supersport title leader, 17-year-old phenom Tyler Scott showed no signs of slowing down in Atlanta. He very nearly made it two victories in a row, pushing Xavi Fores to the limit in a thrilling race one duel. While he ultimately fell just short, Scott has firmly established himself as a weekly victory threat. The Vision Wheel M4 ECSTAR Suzuki rider also finished a strong 4th in Atlanta race two, again displaying his prodigious wet weather skills. Barber could prove prime hunting ground for his second win of 2024.

Outsider Picks – Supersport

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Jake Lewis

+1441

$308.20

Teagg Hobbs

+1453

$310.60

Stefano Mesa

+1780

$376.00

Jake Lewis (+1441): After a trying 2023 campaign marred by injury and mechanical DNFs, Jake Lewis showed promising form at Road Atlanta with a spirited ride to 3rd in soaking wet race two conditions. The Altus Motorsports rider looked particularly racy in the tricky conditions, perhaps a harbinger of better things to come. Lewis is a proven race winner in the class and now back to full fitness. At these odds, he could be a live dog.

Teagg Hobbs (+1453): Following a solid 6th in the Atlanta race one thriller, Vision Wheel M4 ECSTAR Suzuki’s Teagg Hobbs continues to demonstrate the outright speed to run near the front. The second-year Supersport rider made real strides as his rookie campaign progressed, ultimately scoring four top-5s and claiming a career-best 4th in the final standings. That upward trajectory seems to be continuing into 2024 where a maiden podium – or more – could be on the cards at Barber.

Stefano Mesa (+1780): After a lackluster debut with the Tytlers squad at Daytona, Mesa bounced back in a big way at Road Atlanta. The veteran scored a strong runner-up result in race two, finishing hot on the heels of the victorious Jacobsen. That podium vaulted Mesa all the way into a tie for 2nd in the early championship table. Now firmly up to speed on the team’s Kawasaki ZX-6R, Mesa has officially rejoined the list of weekly frontrunners. He’s finished on the Barber podium before and could be primed to do so again.

Expert Pick for MotoAmerica Alabama 2024

While it’s hard to pick against Gagne and Beaubier in the Superbike class, Josh Herrin looks poised to make some serious noise at Barber. The Warhorse HSBK Racing Ducati rider was in the thick of the lead battle all weekend in Atlanta, snagging a podium with 3rd in race one. Consistently quick and armed with a race-winning package, Herrin has all the tools to take the fight to the favorites. At +579 odds, he presents excellent value to finally break through and stand atop the box.

Baggers Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20

Troy Herfoss

-197

$30.15

Kyle Wyman

+116

$43.20

James Rispoli

+7199

$1459.80

Tyler O’Hara

+9074

$1834.80

Hayden Gillim

+13,414

$2702.80

The expert future-casters have Troy Herfoss installed as a heavy -197 favorite for the 2024 Mission King Of The Baggers crown on the heels of double victories in Road Atlanta. And it’s no wonder, the Aussie looks in a class of his own on the back of four straight wins dating back to the Daytona opener. Kyle Wyman is still very much in the hunt sitting second at +116, but will need to recapture his early-season winning form to slow the Herfoss Express. The remaining contenders continue to see their odds lengthen as Herfoss threatens to make this a runaway.

Superbike Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20

Jake Gagne

-192

$30.42

Cameron Beaubier

+249

$69.80

Bobby Fong

+1427

$305.40

Josh Herrin

+1547

$329.40

JD Beach

+2546

$529.20

The oddsmakers still have reigning champion Jake Gagne as a strong -192 favorite to retain his MotoAmerica Superbike title, but that price has drifted a bit after his narrow defeat to Cameron Beaubier in the thrilling Road Atlanta opener. Beaubier’s odds have shortened to +249 following his spectacular return to form, firmly establishing the two Yamaha stars as the men to beat in 2024.

Of the dark horse contenders, Josh Herrin made the biggest splash at Road Atlanta with a fighting podium in Race 1. His odds have tumbled to +1547, making him an intriguing pick to break the Gagne/Beaubier stranglehold. Fellow Yamaha ace Bobby Fong is still searching for consistency, reflected in his longer +1427 price, but the speed is undoubtedly there. And don’t forget about JD Beach at +2546 – the two-time Barber winner is never short on grit and determination. If he can put it all together, Beach is more than capable of shaking up the championship picture.

Supersport Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20

PJ Jacobsen

-114

$37.54

Mathew Scholtz

+685

$157.00

Corey Alexander

+751

$170.20

Jake Lewis

+862

$192.40

Maximiliano Gerardo

+2204

$460.80

With two wins in his first two Supersport starts, PJ Jacobsen has quickly established himself as the championship favorite at -114. The ex-World Superbike star looks right at home on the Rahal Ducati, and if he maintains this blistering form, he’ll be tough to beat. But the competition is fierce, with former Superbike ace Mathew Scholtz finding his footing in his return to the middleweight class. After a fighting podium at Road Atlanta, the South African’s odds have plummeted to +685 – he could be the main threat to Jacobsen’s title aspirations.

Road Atlanta also saw the other Rahal Ducati of Corey Alexander announce himself as a contender with a runner-up result in Race 2. His odds of +751 look mighty tempting if he can build on that performance. The likes of Jake Lewis (+862) and Maximiliano Gerardo (+2204) are solid each-way plays if they can recapture past Supersport glories – both are proven race winners in the class. But as it stands, Jacobsen is in the driver’s seat. The real question is: who, if anyone, can mount a season-long challenge to the Ducati star?

Where to Bet on MotoAm Alabama 2024

Elevate your MotoAmerica viewing experience by placing bets on your favorite riders and teams. We’re excited to announce our new partnership with Underdog Fantasy, a leading daily fantasy sports platform that offers unique betting opportunities in 30 states. With Underdog Fantasy, you can place real money better/worse picks on rider performances, adding an extra layer of excitement to the racing action.

Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets. Don’t forget to delve into NXTbets’ official MotoAmerica Betting Guide for comprehensive insights and tips. 

The stage is set for another captivating weekend of MotoAmerica action as the championship heads to the picturesque Barber Motorsports Park. With razor-thin margins separating the superstars in both Superbike and Supersport, every point gained or lost could prove pivotal in the title chases. The betting lines reflect the wide-open nature of the competition, with juicy odds available on a variety of potential winners. So study the numbers, lock in those bets, and get ready for a weekend packed with twists, turns, and adrenaline-fueled excitement.

 

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