The summer break has concluded, and the world’s best surfers are South Pacific bound to resume the 2026 Championship Tour. Gabriel Medina and Molly Picklum lead the WSL Tahiti Pro pre-event odds in the men’s and women’s brackets respectively, despite both failing to collect a trophy this term. Men’s rankings leader Leonardo Fioravanti drops in as the best value for money pick, starting at +1207 for top honors. Jump into the odds markets and best picks ahead of round seven of the campaign in our event preview below.
Go beyond just supporting the WSL Outerknown Tahiti Pro – check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your WSL bets. Whether you are backing your favorite surfer or looking for an underdog, our partners offer competitive odds, special playing boosts, and promos designed for surfing fans.
Surfing’s finest talents touch down in French Polynesia this week for the seventh round of the 2026 WSL Championship Tour. The Outerknown Tahiti Pro is scheduled to last 10 days, starting on Saturday, August 8 and running through to Tuesday, August 18. Surfers are scheduled to drop in from 7:00 am TAHT daily, weather permitting. You can catch the heats and elimination rounds live from Teahupoʻo on WSL.com. You can also track the heat matchups, results, and schedule on the dedicated Tahiti Pro page.
Live WSL Odds
2026 WSL Tahiti Pro Odds
Event Winner - Men's
The 50th edition of the WSL will go down as “the year of Brazil.” After six rounds, the South Americans have registered 50% of the victories in the men’s bracket this term. In addition, five of the top six ranked surfers hail from the Latin American nation. Gabriel Medina leads the pre-event odds for the Tahiti Pro with only one final appearance in the bag this term. On that occasion, the Brazilian settled for runner-up behind outsider George Pittar.
Sticking with the Latinos, the momentum is behind Italo Ferreira. “The People’s Champion” has surfed his way into two of the last three finals. He captured the inaugural New Zealand Pro in May. Ferreira sits 85 points adrift of the top of the rankings table, and is well placed to leapfrog the leader if he thrives in French Polynesia. Yago Dora is fresh off his maiden triumph of the campaign and has featured in two finals in 2026. Capping off our event winner contenders is the Championship leader Leonardo Fioravanti, who has progressed to consecutive finals leading into round seven. The Italian prevailed in El Salvador and finished runner-up down in Brazil. Despite his results, he’s an outsider for victory at +1207.
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Surfer
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Gabriel Medina
+571
$134.20
Italo Ferreira
+628
$145.60
Griffin Colapinto
+635
$147.00
Ethan Ewing
+640
$148.00
Filipe Toledo
+702
$160.40
Yago Dora
+839
$187.80
Jack Robinson
+1172
$254.40
Leonardo Fioravanti
+1207
$261.40
Kauli Vaast
+1443
$308.60
Kelly Slater
+1595
$339.00
Kanoa Igarashi
+2369
$493.80
Cole Houshmand
+2749
$569.80
Miguel Pupo
+2850
$590.00
Connor O'Leary
+2859
$591.80
Barron Mamiya
+3025
$625.00
Crosby Colapinto
+3746
$769.20
Jake Marshall
+3965
$813.00
Samuel Pupo
+3965
$813.00
Joao Chianca
+4731
$966.20
Joel Vaughan
+6436
$1,307.20
Rio Waida
+6992
$1,418.40
Alan Cleland
+8521
$1,724.20
Mateus Herdy
+11394
$2,298.80
Marco Mignot
+11394
$2,298.80
Ramzi Boukhiam
+11394
$2,298.80
Morgan Cibilic
+11394
$2,298.80
Liam O'Brien
+11394
$2,298.80
George Pittar
+11394
$2,298.80
Alejo Muniz
+11394
$2,298.80
Seth Moniz
+11394
$2,298.80
Matthew McGillivray
+11394
$2,298.80
Luke Thompson
+11394
$2,298.80
Callum Robson
+11394
$2,298.80
Eimeo Czermak
+11394
$2,298.80
Eli Hanneman
+11394
$2,298.80
Oscar Berry
+11394
$2,298.80
Expert Pick
Jack Robinson snags our expert pick tag for the Tahiti Pro, given his strong returns on this wave in recent years. The Australian is a two-time Champion on this wave; his last success arrived in 2025, making him the defending champ for this event. He also bagged the silver medal in Tahiti at the Olympics in 2024, finishing second behind local Kauli Vaast on that occasion. Sportsbooks price Robinson at +1172 to bag the title, potentially paying out $254.40 for a $20.00 wager.
Round 1 Heats - Men's
The greatest male surfer ever to hit the waves takes center stage in the opening heat, gracing the Tour with his presence. Kelly Slater paddles out in the final heat of the first round as the favorite to down Eli Hanneman. The underdog has failed to advance beyond the second round in five of the six events this term, while Slater makes his Championship Tour debut in 2026.
The other heat that captures our attention is the South African derby between Matthew McGillivray and Luke Thompson. McGillivray is the marginal favorite after securing a third-round berth in Brazil. He undertakes his third competition of the season, after earning a wildcard invitation to El Salvador, following the withdrawal of Jordy Smith.
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Surfer
Heat Odds
Payout on $20
Ramzi Boukhiam
-594
$23.37
Oscar Berry
+367
$93.40
Matthew McGillivray
-128
$35.63
Luke Thompson
-104
$39.23
Seth Moniz
-249
$28.03
Eimeo Czermak
+180
$56.00
Kelly Slater
-300
$26.67
Eli Hanneman
+213
$62.60
Round 2 Heats - Men's
Tahitian Kauli Vaast features in the pick of our round two heats against Crosby Colapinto. The duo found themselves eliminated in round two of the season opener, but since then, Vaast has finished higher than his Californian opponent in three of the opening six rounds. Colapinto has progressed to one quarterfinal this term, his best return. However, the local has reached the third round in three of his last four events.
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Surfer
Heat Odds
Payout on $20
Kauli Vaast
-175
$31.43
Crosby Colapinto
+131
$46.20
Samuel Pupo
-280
$27.14
Alan Cleland
+200
$60.00
Barron Mamiya
-136
$34.71
Marco Mignot
+103
$40.60
Filipe Toledo
-235
$28.51
Connor O'Leary
+171
$54.20
Jake Marshall
-197
$30.15
Liam O'Brien
+146
$49.20
Ethan Ewing
-386
$25.18
Joel Vaughan
+263
$72.60
Joao Chianca
-220
$29.09
Morgan Cibilic
+162
$52.40
Kanoa Igarashi
-582
$23.44
Alejo Muniz
+362
$92.40
Cole Houshmand
-225
$28.89
George Pittar
+164
$52.80
Jack Robinson
-552
$23.62
Callum Robson
+348
$89.60
Griffin Colapinto
-507
$23.94
Rio Waida
+326
$85.20
Miguel Pupo
-366
$25.46
Mateus Herdy
+251
$70.20
H2H - Men's
Reigning WSL Men’s Champion Yago Dora stands out as the value pick in Tahiti Pro matchups. The Brazilian takes on his compatriot, Filipe Toledo, who has outperformed in five of the opening six events in 2026. Dora is fresh off his maiden triumph of the year and has featured in two finals this campaign, elevating him to third on the rankings. In stark contrast, Toledo has battled for consistency this term, registering a best return of a semifinal appearance.
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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Gabriel Medina
-125
$36.00
Italo Ferreira
-106
$38.87
Griffin Colapinto
-115
$37.39
Ethan Ewing
-115
$37.39
Filipe Toledo
-136
$34.71
Yago Dora
+103
$40.60
Jack Robinson
-118
$36.95
Leonardo Fioravanti
-113
$37.70
Event Winner - Women's
Rewind 12 months and Molly Picklum was the in-form surfer who was near impossible to defeat. She walked away from Tahiti as the women’s victor in 2025, he second of three triumphs that season. However, this term the Australian has battled to replicate her form, featuring in only one final, which she lost to the second favorite, Gabriela Bryan. The season opener was the only time Bryan found herself in a final this year, and she made the most of it, bagging top honors at Bells Beach. Despite her lack of finals, the Hawaiian has remained consistent and sits at the head of the rankings.
Her compatriot Carissa Moore provides the superb bang for buck in the ladies contest, starting at +742. Moore has surged to victory in two of her last three starts. Sticking with in-form competitors, Sawyer Lindblad paddles out after securing her maiden trophy of the year. The American has progressed to a semifinal or better in four of her last five events, winning once and claiming a runner-up in New Zealand. Stephanie Gilmore and Lakey Peterson complete the list of victors this season, but outside of their victories have struggled to remain competitive.
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Surfer
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Molly Picklum
+364
$92.80
Gabriela Bryan
+390
$98.00
Caroline Marks
+618
$143.60
Vahine Fierro
+673
$154.60
Carissa Moore
+742
$168.40
Caitlin Simmers
+798
$179.60
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
+973
$214.60
Luana Silva
+1022
$224.40
Tyler Wright
+1465
$313.00
Lakey Peterson
+1686
$357.20
Brisa Hennessy
+1794
$378.80
Sawyer Lindblad
+2183
$456.60
Erin Brooks
+2733
$566.60
Stephanie Gilmore
+2940
$608.00
Sally Fitzgibbons
+4229
$865.80
Yolanda Hopkins
+7363
$1,492.60
Isabella Nichols
+7476
$1,515.20
Bella Kenworthy
+7476
$1,515.20
Francisca Veselko
+7476
$1,515.20
Alyssa Spencer
+7476
$1,515.20
Anat Lelior
+7476
$1,515.20
Nadia Erostarbe
+7476
$1,515.20
Expert Pick
Sawyer Lindblad arrives in French Polynesia off the back of a stellar campaign. The Californian has made her way into the final in two of the past three events. She has also only missed the semifinals or better in two rounds. Sportsbooks have Lindblad at +2183 for top honors, paying out a potential $456.60 for a $20.00 stake.
Round 1 Heats - Women's
The 2026 women’s Gold Coast Pro Champion, Stephanie Gilmore, meets Yolanda Hopkins in the pick of our round one heats. Both surfers have beaten each other in two rounds this campaign and drawn in a further two rounds, making Hopkins’ odds highly attractive. The Portuguese surfer has progressed beyond the first round in three of the six events, while Gilmore has only done it twice. The big difference is that the Australian has collected silverware once, while Hopkins is yet to pass the second round of heats.
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Surfer
Heat Odds
Payout on $20
Sally Fitzgibbons
-298
$26.71
Anat Lelior
+211
$62.20
Vahine Fierro
-386
$25.18
Isabella Nichols
+263
$72.60
Stephanie Gilmore
-472
$24.24
Yolanda Hopkins
+308
$81.60
Bella Kenworthy
-247
$28.10
Alyssa Spencer
+179
$55.80
Bettylou Sakura Johnson
-163
$32.27
Brisa Hennessy
+122
$44.40
Francisca Veselko
-477
$24.19
Nadia Erostarbe
+311
$82.20
H2H - Women's
Youth meets experience in the standout clash of our ladies’ matchups in Tahiti. Caitlin Simmers is tipped to see off the challenge of Carissa Moore, but the veteran is in sensational form. The Hawaiian has won two events in her last three starts, while Simmers is winless in 2026. One factor in the youngster’s favor is that Simmers has progressed further than Moore in three competitions. The markets appear to be focusing on that stat, but Moore is a five-time WSL World Champion who is delivering her best results since 2023.
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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Molly Picklum
-121
$36.53
Gabriela Bryan
-109
$38.35
Caroline Marks
-124
$36.13
Vahine Fierro
-107
$38.69
Carissa Moore
-123
$36.26
Caitlin Simmers
-108
$38.52
Where to Bet on WSL
Break time is over, and the surfers are itching to drop in to the waves of Teahupoʻo. Leonardo Fioravanti and Gabriela Bryan lead the rankings in the men’s and women’s brackets, but the markets appear to favor their rivals in French Polynesia. Can the Championship leaders prove the sportsbooks wrong and solidify their place at the top? Or will Tahiti belong to the pre-event favorites?
How Can I Verify if WSL Betting is Legal in My State?
Refer to your sportsbook’s eligibility requirements, terms, and conditions, or contact your state’s gaming commission to verify your state’s WSL betting legality. Most licensed betting platforms restrict access in prohibited states, saving you from the long confirmation process.
Which Sportsbooks Offer WSL Betting?
For the best WSL betting experience, select reputable, regulated sportsbooks like Fanduel, DraftKings, CaesarsSportsbook, and BetMGM. Check event schedules and relevant offers ahead of every WSL competition. Use Underdog Fantasy for Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) gaming.
What is the Current Legal Status of Betting on the World Surf League in the US?
The legal status of WSL betting differs from state to state. The lifting of the federal sports betting ban in 2018 (by the Supreme Court) gave states the independence to legalize sports betting. WSL betting is mostly legal in states with regulated sports betting and licensed sportsbooks like Colorado and New Jersey. Check your sportsbooks and state-specific regulations to confirm availability.
What Are the Most Popular Types of Bets for WSL Events?
Common WSL betting options include outright winner bets, head-to-head matchups, and futures bets (predicting season champions). Most platforms also allow prop bets—for example, you can predict the highest wave score in a competition.
Do Sportsbooks Offer Live Betting for WSL?
Yes. Betting platforms like FanDuel and BetMGM have live betting options. Their users can place bets during the WSL competition. For example, bettors can predict the next wave score, who will win the ongoing heat, or whether a competitor will achieve a given aggregate. Note that not all events may qualify for live betting. Check out your sportsbook live betting section for more.
Can I Bet on WSL Events Even If My State Doesn’t Allow Sports Betting?
Consider Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) if your state does not allow sports betting. Unlike traditional betting, DFS falls under a different regulatory framework, making it legal in several jurisdictions. DFS platforms like Underground Fantasy and DraftKings DFS are common in states where sports betting is illegal.
Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Best Bets: WSL Tahiti Pro Pre-Event Odds Analysis 2026
The summer break has concluded, and the world’s best surfers are South Pacific bound to resume the 2026 Championship Tour. Gabriel Medina and Molly Picklum lead the WSL Tahiti Pro pre-event odds in the men’s and women’s brackets respectively, despite both failing to collect a trophy this term. Men’s rankings leader Leonardo Fioravanti drops in as the best value for money pick, starting at +1207 for top honors. Jump into the odds markets and best picks ahead of round seven of the campaign in our event preview below.
Go beyond just supporting the WSL Outerknown Tahiti Pro – check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your WSL bets. Whether you are backing your favorite surfer or looking for an underdog, our partners offer competitive odds, special playing boosts, and promos designed for surfing fans.
Schedule and How to Watch WSL Tahiti Pro 2026
Surfing’s finest talents touch down in French Polynesia this week for the seventh round of the 2026 WSL Championship Tour. The Outerknown Tahiti Pro is scheduled to last 10 days, starting on Saturday, August 8 and running through to Tuesday, August 18. Surfers are scheduled to drop in from 7:00 am TAHT daily, weather permitting. You can catch the heats and elimination rounds live from Teahupoʻo on WSL.com. You can also track the heat matchups, results, and schedule on the dedicated Tahiti Pro page.
Live WSL Odds
2026 WSL Tahiti Pro Odds
Event Winner - Men's
The 50th edition of the WSL will go down as “the year of Brazil.” After six rounds, the South Americans have registered 50% of the victories in the men’s bracket this term. In addition, five of the top six ranked surfers hail from the Latin American nation. Gabriel Medina leads the pre-event odds for the Tahiti Pro with only one final appearance in the bag this term. On that occasion, the Brazilian settled for runner-up behind outsider George Pittar.
Sticking with the Latinos, the momentum is behind Italo Ferreira. “The People’s Champion” has surfed his way into two of the last three finals. He captured the inaugural New Zealand Pro in May. Ferreira sits 85 points adrift of the top of the rankings table, and is well placed to leapfrog the leader if he thrives in French Polynesia. Yago Dora is fresh off his maiden triumph of the campaign and has featured in two finals in 2026. Capping off our event winner contenders is the Championship leader Leonardo Fioravanti, who has progressed to consecutive finals leading into round seven. The Italian prevailed in El Salvador and finished runner-up down in Brazil. Despite his results, he’s an outsider for victory at +1207.
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Expert Pick
Jack Robinson snags our expert pick tag for the Tahiti Pro, given his strong returns on this wave in recent years. The Australian is a two-time Champion on this wave; his last success arrived in 2025, making him the defending champ for this event. He also bagged the silver medal in Tahiti at the Olympics in 2024, finishing second behind local Kauli Vaast on that occasion. Sportsbooks price Robinson at +1172 to bag the title, potentially paying out $254.40 for a $20.00 wager.
Round 1 Heats - Men's
The greatest male surfer ever to hit the waves takes center stage in the opening heat, gracing the Tour with his presence. Kelly Slater paddles out in the final heat of the first round as the favorite to down Eli Hanneman. The underdog has failed to advance beyond the second round in five of the six events this term, while Slater makes his Championship Tour debut in 2026.
The other heat that captures our attention is the South African derby between Matthew McGillivray and Luke Thompson. McGillivray is the marginal favorite after securing a third-round berth in Brazil. He undertakes his third competition of the season, after earning a wildcard invitation to El Salvador, following the withdrawal of Jordy Smith.
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Round 2 Heats - Men's
Tahitian Kauli Vaast features in the pick of our round two heats against Crosby Colapinto. The duo found themselves eliminated in round two of the season opener, but since then, Vaast has finished higher than his Californian opponent in three of the opening six rounds. Colapinto has progressed to one quarterfinal this term, his best return. However, the local has reached the third round in three of his last four events.
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H2H - Men's
Reigning WSL Men’s Champion Yago Dora stands out as the value pick in Tahiti Pro matchups. The Brazilian takes on his compatriot, Filipe Toledo, who has outperformed in five of the opening six events in 2026. Dora is fresh off his maiden triumph of the year and has featured in two finals this campaign, elevating him to third on the rankings. In stark contrast, Toledo has battled for consistency this term, registering a best return of a semifinal appearance.
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Event Winner - Women's
Rewind 12 months and Molly Picklum was the in-form surfer who was near impossible to defeat. She walked away from Tahiti as the women’s victor in 2025, he second of three triumphs that season. However, this term the Australian has battled to replicate her form, featuring in only one final, which she lost to the second favorite, Gabriela Bryan. The season opener was the only time Bryan found herself in a final this year, and she made the most of it, bagging top honors at Bells Beach. Despite her lack of finals, the Hawaiian has remained consistent and sits at the head of the rankings.
Her compatriot Carissa Moore provides the superb bang for buck in the ladies contest, starting at +742. Moore has surged to victory in two of her last three starts. Sticking with in-form competitors, Sawyer Lindblad paddles out after securing her maiden trophy of the year. The American has progressed to a semifinal or better in four of her last five events, winning once and claiming a runner-up in New Zealand. Stephanie Gilmore and Lakey Peterson complete the list of victors this season, but outside of their victories have struggled to remain competitive.
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Expert Pick
Sawyer Lindblad arrives in French Polynesia off the back of a stellar campaign. The Californian has made her way into the final in two of the past three events. She has also only missed the semifinals or better in two rounds. Sportsbooks have Lindblad at +2183 for top honors, paying out a potential $456.60 for a $20.00 stake.
Round 1 Heats - Women's
The 2026 women’s Gold Coast Pro Champion, Stephanie Gilmore, meets Yolanda Hopkins in the pick of our round one heats. Both surfers have beaten each other in two rounds this campaign and drawn in a further two rounds, making Hopkins’ odds highly attractive. The Portuguese surfer has progressed beyond the first round in three of the six events, while Gilmore has only done it twice. The big difference is that the Australian has collected silverware once, while Hopkins is yet to pass the second round of heats.
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H2H - Women's
Youth meets experience in the standout clash of our ladies’ matchups in Tahiti. Caitlin Simmers is tipped to see off the challenge of Carissa Moore, but the veteran is in sensational form. The Hawaiian has won two events in her last three starts, while Simmers is winless in 2026. One factor in the youngster’s favor is that Simmers has progressed further than Moore in three competitions. The markets appear to be focusing on that stat, but Moore is a five-time WSL World Champion who is delivering her best results since 2023.
swipe to see more
Where to Bet on WSL
Break time is over, and the surfers are itching to drop in to the waves of Teahupoʻo. Leonardo Fioravanti and Gabriela Bryan lead the rankings in the men’s and women’s brackets, but the markets appear to favor their rivals in French Polynesia. Can the Championship leaders prove the sportsbooks wrong and solidify their place at the top? Or will Tahiti belong to the pre-event favorites?
Place your bets with our partner sportsbooks and check out our WSL Betting Guide if you’re new to the tour.
And remember, bet smart, have fun, and enjoy every wave.
Odds subject to change by sportsbook.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Refer to your sportsbook’s eligibility requirements, terms, and conditions, or contact your state’s gaming commission to verify your state’s WSL betting legality. Most licensed betting platforms restrict access in prohibited states, saving you from the long confirmation process.
For the best WSL betting experience, select reputable, regulated sportsbooks like Fanduel, DraftKings, Caesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM. Check event schedules and relevant offers ahead of every WSL competition. Use Underdog Fantasy for Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) gaming.
The legal status of WSL betting differs from state to state. The lifting of the federal sports betting ban in 2018 (by the Supreme Court) gave states the independence to legalize sports betting. WSL betting is mostly legal in states with regulated sports betting and licensed sportsbooks like Colorado and New Jersey. Check your sportsbooks and state-specific regulations to confirm availability.
Common WSL betting options include outright winner bets, head-to-head matchups, and futures bets (predicting season champions). Most platforms also allow prop bets—for example, you can predict the highest wave score in a competition.
Yes. Betting platforms like FanDuel and BetMGM have live betting options. Their users can place bets during the WSL competition. For example, bettors can predict the next wave score, who will win the ongoing heat, or whether a competitor will achieve a given aggregate. Note that not all events may qualify for live betting. Check out your sportsbook live betting section for more.
Consider Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) if your state does not allow sports betting. Unlike traditional betting, DFS falls under a different regulatory framework, making it legal in several jurisdictions. DFS platforms like Underground Fantasy and DraftKings DFS are common in states where sports betting is illegal.
Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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