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NXTbets Expert Pick Roundup: Weekend of September 5th

NXTbets Expert Pick Roundup: Weekend of September 5th

The next three days give sports fans a taste of what paradise looks like. McLaren takes on Monza in their quest for victory number 13 this season, while the Marc Marquez show continues in the Catalonia MotoGP. Here in the States, Jett Lawrence starts his SMX Championship defense in the first playoff round, and sprint car racing is coming at you from across the land. Discover the NXTbets expert pick roundup for the weekend of September 5th to help you with your strategy over the coming days. Let’s jump into it.

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Our Expert's Parlay

Make Your Picks Here

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Event
Expert Pick
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Formula 1: Italy
Oscar Piastri
+109
$41.80
MotoGP: Catalonia
Marc Marquez
-278
$27.19
Cycling: La Vuelta
Jonas Vingegaard
-700
$22.86
SMX: Playoff 1
Jett Lawrence
-285
$27.02
DGPT: Discraft Great Lakes Open- FPO
Silva Saarinen
+224
$64.80
HLR: Tuscarora 50
Rico Abreu
+138
$47.60
Super DIRTcar Series: R.D. Hutchinson Memorial
Mat Williamson
+185
$57.00
World of Outlaws Sprint Cars: Desert Showdown
David Gravel
+110
$42.00
USAC Sprint Cars: Tri-City Speedway
Kevin Thomas Jr.
+356
$91.20

Formula 1: Italian Grand Prix

When: September 5 – September 7, 2025
Where: Autodromo Nazionale Monza, Monza, Italy
Where to Watch: Live on ESPN and F1 TV Pro
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Ferrari kicked off their second home Grand Prix of the year in style, claiming a 1- 2 in Practice 1 on Friday. Sir Lewis Hamilton clocked the fastest time ahead of Charles Leclerc, but that might be as good as it gets for the septuple World Champion this weekend. He faces a five-place grid penalty on Sunday for a yellow flag infringement at Zandvoort. Oscar Piastri lines up at the Italian Grand Prix in high spirits after registering his seventh victory of the season last weekend, averaging 2.33 across all races.

Key Times (CEST):

Friday, September 5:
Practice #1: 1:30 p.m. – 2:30 p.m.
Practice #2: 5:00 p.m. – 6:00 p.m.

Saturday, September 6:
Practice #3: 12:30 p.m. – 1:30 p.m.
Qualifying: 4:00 p.m. – 5:00 p.m.

Sunday, September 7:
Race: 3:00 p.m.

Expert Pick

Oscar Piastri beats Lando Norris for our expert pick, off the back of five consecutive podiums, including two wins. He lines up for the Italian Grand Prix at +109 for the victory, potentially paying $41.80 for a $20 wager.

MotoGP: Catalan Grand Prix

When: September 5 – September 7, 2025
Where: Circuit de Barcelona-Catalunya, Barcelona, Spain
Where to Watch: Live on MotoGP VideoPass, FS1
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Every week, we keep asking ourselves if anyone can tame Marc Marquez, and the answer is becoming repetitive. No! “The Ant of Cervera” reports for duty in his homeland as the short odds favorite to bag his eighth consecutive triumph and 11th overall this season. However, he hasn’t entered Victory Lane at this circuit since 2019. His Ducati teammate Francesco Bagnaia has thrived in MotoGP races in Catalonia recently, winning both legs here in 2024.

Key Times (CEST):

Friday, September 5:
Free Practice #1: 10:45 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.
Practice: 3:00 p.m. – 4:00 p.m.

Saturday, September 6:
Free Practice #2: 10:10 a.m. – 10:40 a.m.
Qualifying: 10:50 a.m. – 11:30 a.m.
Tissot Sprint: 3:00 p.m.

Sunday, September 7:
Race: 2:00 p.m.

Expert Pick

Anything can happen in motor racing, but right now, the only thing happening is Marc Marquez standing on the top of the podium. We can’t bring ourselves to go against him at this stage, especially given his average of 2.4 across the last 10 rounds. His odds are short at -278, but it’s the smart bet, which potentially pays out $27.19 for a $20 stake.

Cycling: La Vuelta

When: August 23 – September 14, 2025
Where: Piemonte, Italy – Madrid, Spain
Where to Watch: Live on CNBC, Peacock 
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

Pre-race favorite in the 2025 La Vuelta, Jonas Vingegaard has climbed to the top of the General Classification, and his odds have further shortened to wear the red jersey into Madrid. He held a 50-second lead over Thiago Almeida heading into stage 13, and the duo left the peloton trailing to reach the Alto de L’Angliru in first and second on Friday. Almeida claimed the stage victory, but there was no change at the head of the GC. 

Key Times (EDT):

Daily: 6:30 a.m.

Expert Pick

The class, experience, and current form of Jonas Vingegaard make him an easy expert pick for La Vuelta glory. His work in the Tour de France was world-class and good enough to beat any rider, except for Pogi. The Dane starts stage 14 on Saturday as the heavy favorite at -700. A $20 bet offers the potential of a $22.86 payout if he holds his nerve all the way to Madrid.

SMX: Playoff 1

When: Saturday, September 6, 2025
Where: zMAX Dragway, Concord, NC
Where to Watch: Live on Super MotoCross Video Pass, Peacock
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The Supercross and Pro Motocross Championships are done and dusted, and now it’s time for the playoffs. Jett Lawrence arrives in Concord as the hunted. He’s the overwhelming favorite after obliterating his opponents in this year’s Pro Motocross series, fresh off a torn ACL injury. The Aussie is also the double SMX World Champion and is well poised to pull off the treble. But first, he must conquer the zMax Dragway and the first Supermotocross playoff round on Saturday.

Key Times (EDT):

Saturday, September 6:
450 Class Moto #1:
3:40 p.m.
450 Class Moto #2:
5:30 p.m.

Expert Pick

Jett Lawrence is the only rider to ever win the 450 class SuperMotocross World Championship. The Aussie is hunting his third consecutive triumph off the back of 10 victories between SX and MX. The younger Lawrence brother lines up on the start hill at -285, potentially paying out $27.02 for a $20 wager.

DGPT: Discraft Great Lakes Open

When: September 4 –  September 7, 2025
Where: Kensington Toboggan Course, Milford, MI
Where to Watch: Live on Disc Golf Network
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The DGPT regular season comes to an end in Milford, Michigan, this weekend with the Discraft Great Lakes Open. It’s the final chance for the MPO and FPO players hanging on the fringes to book their ticket into the playoffs. Gannon Buhr is the short odds favorite to prevail in the MPO class, but Silva Saarinen offers value for money in the FPO bracket. The Finn is a four-time winner this season, claiming two in her previous three appearances.

Key Times (EDT):

Thursday, September 4:
FPO: 9:30 a.m.
MPO: 
3:00 p.m.

Friday, September 5:
FPO: 9:30 a.m.
MPO: 
3:00 p.m.

Saturday, September 6:
FPO: 9:30 a.m.
MPO: 
3:00 p.m.

Sunday, September 7:
FPO: 9:30 a.m.
MPO: 
3:00 p.m.

Expert Pick

The FPO division is tough to call with a plethora of class players battling it out for supremacy. Our expert pick came down to Ohn Scoggins and Silva Saarinen, but the latter prevailed. Saarinen enters with a 57.14% win rate in her previous seven events, highlighting her constant ability to take top honors. The favorite starts at +224, potentially paying out $64.80 on a $20 bet.

HLR: Tuscarora 50

When: September 4 – September 6, 2025
Where: Port Royal Speedway, Port Royal, PA
Where to Watch: Live on FloRacing
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The High Rollers set up shop in Pennsylvania for the Tuscarora 50 from September 4 to September 6. Justin Peck starts as an outsider after snatching his eighth podium of the year in the previous race, but Rico Abreu is the driver to topple. The Californian entered Victory Lane in every Main at Skagit Speedway, and is the winningest driver in the series, with nine top honors.

Key Times Daily (EDT):

Pits Open: 4:00 p.m.
Hot Laps: 6:00 p.m.
Racing Starts: 7:00 p.m.

Expert Pick

Opening night of the 2025 Tuscarora 50 is looking positive for Rico Abreu. He arrives as the defending Champion and is fresh off three consecutive triumphs, which he notched up at the Skagit Nationals. Sportsbooks have Abreu at +138 to take top honors on Thursday, potentially paying out $47.60 on a $20 bet.

Super DIRTcar Series: R.D. Hutchinson Memorial

When: Friday, September 5, 2025
Where: Can Am Speedway, La Fargeville, NY
Where to Watch: Live on DIRTVision
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

The big blocks make their first appearance of September at the Can Am Speedway in La Fargeville on Friday night. Super DIRTcar driver standings leader Mat Williamson is the hot favorite to clinch the checkered flag, after stringing together a clean season, with 13 rostrums and two wins. The Canadian boasts the lowest finishing average on the grid with 3.77, and has stood on the podium in 10 out of his last 14 races.

Key Times – Daily (EDT)

Pit Gates Open: 4:00 p.m. 
Grandstand Opens: 5:00 p.m. 
Hot Laps: 6:00 p.m. (Racing to follow)

Expert Pick

Mat Williamson let us down last week, finishing fourth, but Mr. DIRT Track USA is a different race, featuring a contingent of infrequent competitors. He’ll face a strong challenge from Sheppard, but if he does get the job done at +185, a possible $57.00 payday is on the horizon for a $20 bet.

World of Outlaws: Desert Showdown

When: September 5 – September 6, 2025
Where: Vado Speedway Park, Vado, NM
Where to Watch: Live on DIRTVision
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

“The Greatest Show on Dirt” is back at Vado Speedway Park for the first time since 2022 for a double-header. As we’ve come to expect, David Gravel arrives at the Desert Showdown as the favorite, but this time he’s got competition. The series leader has prevailed in 20% of the last 10 races, while Carson Macedo has contributed 40% of the triumphs, and Michael Kofoid 30%. However, Gravel boasts the better finishing average of the three across the last 10 races, at 2.8.

Key Times – Daily (MDT)

Pit Gates Open: 2:00 p.m. 
Grandstand Opens: 5:00 p.m. 
Hot Laps: 6:30 p.m. (Racing to follow)

Expert Pick

Landing on an expert pick is challenging when three drivers are in sensational form, so we’re reverting to consistency. David Gravel is the most reliable driver in this field this year, averaging 3.49 across all races this year, and has taken the checkered flag on 12 occasions. His odds are short at +110, but a $20 wager potentially pays out $42.00.

USAC: Tri-City Speedway

When: Friday, September 5 
Where: Tri-City Speedway, Granite City, IL
Where to Watch: Live on FloRacing
Where to Bet: With our Partnered Sportsbooks

USAC sprint cars take on the Midwest this weekend, starting with a showdown at the Tri-City Speedway on Friday night. Championship top dog Kyle Cummins hits the dirt as the driver to beat with his impressive season average of 4.88, which factors in seven drives inside Victory Lane. Despite his brilliance, Kevin Thomas Jr. is starting to ruffle feathers in the standings, with a 3.7 average in his previous 10 appearances. He’s also found his way to the top of the podium twice in the last four events. 

Key Times (CDT)

Pits Open: 4:30 p.m. 
Hot Laps: 6:30 p.m. (Racing to follow)

Expert Pick

The tight contest between the USAC sprint car drivers makes it tough to select an expert pick, but we value consistency. Therefore, Kevin Thomas Jr. wins the race, with his impressive average of 3.0 in the last five starts. A $20 bet on Thomas Jr. to prevail at the Tri-City Speedway, possibly pays out $91.20.

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Offer Score

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Offer Score

9.8
3
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Offer Score

9.7
4
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GET UP TO $1,500 PAID BACK IN BONUS BETS
FIRST BET OFFER
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Offer Score

9.9
5
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Offer Score

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6
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Offer Score

9.7