The thrilling conclusion of the Australian MotoGP at Phillip Island is still fresh in the minds of racing fans. Johann Zarco’s long-awaited debut victory, combined with Jorge Martin’s dramatic tire strategy misfire and Francesco Bagnaia’s tactical prowess to amplify his championship lead, left audiences worldwide on the edge of their seats.
As the MotoGP caravan moves to the high-speed straights and intricate corners of Thailand’s Chang International Circuit, the excitement is palpable. Historically, the Thailand GP has served up unexpected twists, making it a tantalizing prospect for betting enthusiasts in search of high-value bets.
Will Bagnaia continue his dominant streak? Can Zarco harness his newfound momentum for back-to-back wins? Or will another rider rise to the occasion in the unpredictable world of MotoGP? As we dive into our comprehensive odds analysis for the upcoming race, gear up for expert insights, foresighted predictions, and a deep dive into the potential outcomes in Thailand. Get ready – as the championship heats up, every race becomes a pivotal chapter!
Place your wagers for the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix at our partner sportsbooks.
Schedule and How to Watch the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix
The esteemed Chang International Circuit is gearing up to showcase the MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix from October 26th to 29th. With anticipation building, teams, riders, and aficionados eagerly await the crescendo of preliminary events culminating in the grand race finale. For a detailed view of the weekend’s events, refer to the official schedule. For enthusiasts who can’t be at the venue in person, be sure to check the official MotoGP website for viewing options. (Note: While live broadcasts might be limited in certain regions, including the US, you can still catch comprehensive race highlights and updates on the website!) If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.
Best Bets and Picks for the 2023 MotoGP Indonesian Grand Prix
With a range of betting options available, from Event Winner to Head-to-Head bets, bettors are presented with a wide spectrum of wagering opportunities. Here are our top picks and dark horse selections for this event:
Top Picks and Bets
Driver
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Francesco Bagnaia
+279
$75.80
Jorge Martin
+481
$116.20
Johann Zarco
+755
$171.00
The current championship leader, Francesco Bagnaia, showcased remarkable tactical insight at Phillip Island. His ability to keep a level head under pressure and capitalize on the mistakes of his rivals speaks volumes about his championship-caliber racing acumen. With the Ducati known for its top-end speed, the straights at the Chang Circuit could play into Bagnaia’s hands. Despite the relatively short odds, a bet on Bagnaia seems like a solid choice, especially considering his consistent season and drive to extend his championship lead.
Jorge Martin has showcased his raw speed this season, but his strategy in Australia ultimately led to a missed opportunity. However, lessons learned from Phillip Island might make him more measured in his approach at the Chang Circuit. Martin’s pole-setting capabilities and aggressive start, combined with the speed of the Ducati, can position him as a strong contender for the Thai GP. At these odds, a bet on Martin offers a tantalizing blend of risk and reward.
Finally, fresh off his maiden MotoGP victory in Australia, Johann Zarco comes into the Thai GP with momentum on his side. Historically, a win can significantly boost a rider’s confidence, making Zarco a potentially dangerous contender for the front pack. While his long odds reflect the surprise nature of his Australian win, it’s worth noting that Zarco has been steadily inching closer to the front throughout the season. As a dark horse bet, Zarco might just have the perfect blend of skill, bike, and newfound confidence to repeat or land a podium in Thailand.
Outsider Picks
The outsider picks for the upcoming Thailand Grand Prix present a tantalizing mix of talent, experience, and unpredictable flair that could potentially upset the established order.
Driver
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Brad Binder
+1373
$294.60
Marco Bezzecchi
+1404
$300.80
Maverick Vinales
+1492
$318.40
Brad Binder showcased commendable mettle in Australia, finishing just shy of a podium spot. Binder’s assertive racing style, coupled with the versatility of the Red Bull KTM, might just find a sweet spot on the sweeping curves and straights of Chang. Remembering his breakthrough victories and numerous top-tier finishes in the past, Binder’s potential to upset the predicted order can’t be underestimated. Betting on him might be considered audacious, but the returns could be monumental if the South African finds his rhythm.
Marco Bezzecchi performed well at Phillip Island, finishing solidly in the top ten. The Mooney VR46 Ducati rider has been steadily making his presence felt in the premier class. While Bezzecchi hasn’t yet clinched that elusive MotoGP podium, the Thai GP might offer a golden opportunity. Given the Ducati’s impressive performance on tracks with significant straights, Bezzecchi is a tempting outsider bet, especially for those willing to back an emerging talent.
Maverick Vinales, with odds of +1492, remains an enigma of sorts. Once touted as the next big thing in MotoGP, Vinales’ journey has been filled with highs and lows. His recent performance at Phillip Island, although not podium-worthy, indicates a rider still hungry for success. Riding the Aprilia Racing machine, Vinales has been instrumental in pushing the team’s development forward. The Chang International Circuit, with its balanced mix of straights and corners, might align well with Vinales’ smooth riding style. As an outsider bet, Vinales offers an interesting proposition for those willing to back experience blended with a dash of unpredictability.
Head-To-Head Picks
The Chang International Circuit is primed for the Thailand Grand Prix, taking place from October 26th to 29th. As the racers gear up for this anticipated event, head-to-head matchups are drawing significant attention. The track’s distinct features, combined with the riders’ recent performances, are shaping the odds and determining the favorites for these exhilarating showdowns.
Matchup (Favorite in Bold)
Augusto Fernandez (-136) v. Takaaki Nakagami (+136)
Alex Marquez (+131) v. Jack Miller (-131)
Jorge Martin (-109) v. Brad Binder (+109)
Aleix Espargaro (-116) v. Marc Marquez (+116)
Alex Marquez (-113) v. Luca Marini (+113)
Luca Marini (+104) v. Jack Miller (-104)
Maverick Vinales (-113) v. Enea Bastianini (+113)
Miguel Oliveira (+126) v. Jack Miller (-126)
Raul Fernandez (+147) v. Franco Morbidelli (-147)
Fabio Di Giannantonio (-111) v. Franco Morbidelli (+111)
Maverick Vinales (+134) v. Johann Zarco (-134)
Johann Zarco (-128) v. Brad Binder (+128)
Maverick Vinales (+107) v. Brad Binder (-107)
Expert Pick for the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix
Johann Zarco at +755
Fresh off a triumphant win at the Australian MotoGP, Zarco’s momentum is undeniable. While his odds place him behind Bagnaia and Martin, his recent performance at Phillip Island demonstrates a racer in peak form, ready to capitalize on any opportunity. The Chang International Circuit, with its straightaways and sweeping corners, could play into Zarco’s strengths. Betting on Zarco at +755 not only rides the wave of his recent success but also presents significant value for punters.
Where to Bet on the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix
Gear up for the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix! Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets. Don’t forget to delve into NXTbets’ official MotoGP Betting Guide for comprehensive insights and tips. Anticipation builds as we approach the thrilling Chang International Circuit, a magnet for both racing aficionados and bettors alike. Decide whether to support seasoned racers or venture a punt on the dark horses, with both avenues promising an electrifying experience. As the racers navigate the dynamic turns and stretches of Chang International, a wealth of betting prospects emerge, making every twist and turn as captivating for the viewers as for those placing bets. Dive into the spectacle where premier racing converges with pulse-pounding betting chances!
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Honda is reportedly in talks to bring Faenza-based Gresini Racing into its MotoGP fold as a Honda satellite team for the 2027 season. If finalized, the move would see Honda take over the Italian team and field a new rider lineup; multiple outlets say Honda is actively pursuing Gresini. Gresini is run by Nadia Padovani and has been backed by Ducati since 2022 (one outlet has suggested the partnership dates to 2021).
Coverage highlights Gresini’s strong recent results with Ducati — notably Álex Márquez’s runner-up finish in 2025 (the team’s best prototype-era result since Marco Melandri in 2005) and Enea Bastianini’s third place in 2021 — and reports that financial strains related to buying Ducati prototypes have been a factor behind the talks. Media reports have named possible rider targets if a Honda satellite deal proceeds: Motosan identified Enea Bastianini and 19-year-old Moto2 rider and ex-Moto3 world champion David Alonso as candidates for the two seats.
Outlets caution any moves would depend on the satellite agreement and would take effect for 2027; MotorsportWeek adds that a switch would likely require Gresini to part ways with current riders such as Marc Márquez and Fermín Aldeguer. The speculation has drawn pushback: Ducati MotoGP director Davide Tardozzi told Sky Italia after the Brazilian Grand Prix that Gresini “want to stay” with Ducati and that Ducati would “do everything possible to keep Gresini.” Observers also point to expiring satellite-team contracts in 2026 and a wider 2027 regulation overhaul as context. Until teams or manufacturers make formal announcements, the situation remains developing and disputed.
Jorge Lorenzo has signed on as Maverick Vinales’ performance coach in a full-time return to the MotoGP paddock for the 2026 season, a role the three-time world champion called the “perfect job.” Lorenzo said working seven to nine hours a day with Vinales was “not heavy, it’s a pleasure,” and that the position lets him apply roughly 30 years of motorcycle experience without the on-track risk. Since retiring at the end of 2019, he has hosted a MotoGP podcast, raced in the Porsche Supercup, and worked as a DAZN pundit, and he will accompany Vinales to pre-season tests and through the opening rounds of 2026.
Lorenzo has overseen an intensive winter program designed to rebuild Vinales’ form, beginning at the Sepang test and overhauling the rider’s preparation to push him beyond previous limits. The regimen included road-bike testing at Jerez, figure-of-eight drills and dirt riding in Valencia, deliberate work in wet and slippery conditions, and technical refinements such as throttle control and braking technique. Lorenzo shifted Vinales’ routine away from a fitness-only focus toward tougher practice scenarios and more focused technical work to restore race-to-race consistency.
The intervention responds to a difficult 2025 for Vinales, who rehabbed a shoulder injury sustained at the German Grand Prix, struggled for consistency, and finished 18th in the championship despite having 10 Grand Prix wins and 35 career podiums. Lorenzo said he aims to help Vinales regain the “killer” mentality he remembered from the rider’s youth, arguing that Vinales needs greater mental strength but that physical preparation and mindset improvements could turn him into a genuine contender. Lorenzo has publicly bet with Albert Valera, manager of Pedro Acosta, that Vinales will outscore Acosta across 2026. Acosta finished fourth overall with 12 podiums in 2025. Vinales is out of contract at the end of 2026, and Lorenzo warned the next two to three years could be a final window for a championship push as his renewed form will be watched closely amid rumours of KTM factory-seat reshuffles involving Acosta and Alex Marquez.
Senna Agius won the Moto2 Spanish Grand Prix at the Circuito de Jerez, Ángel Nieto, recording his second consecutive victory of the season. He started fourth, set a new all-time Jerez lap record on Friday and rode a Dynavolt Intact GP Kalex fitted with Pirelli control tyres. Agius made the decisive pass for the lead on lap 14 of 21 and crossed the line 0.885 seconds ahead of teammate Manuel Gonzalez to give Liqui Moly Dynavolt Intact GP a one-two. He said he had to manage severe front-tyre wear early and deliberately waited to push in the closing laps, and he thanked his team.
Collin Veijer took pole in Saturday qualifying with a 1:39.101 on his Red Bull KTM Ajo Kalex. Alex Escrig and Manuel Gonzalez completed the front row and Agius started fourth. Veijer led much of the race but faded in the closing laps with arm pump and finished third, 1.107 seconds behind Agius. David Alonso recovered from a poor start to finish fourth, Celestino Vietti was fifth, and Dani Muñoz, Izan Guevara, Tony Arbolino, Alex Escrig and Iván Ortolá completed the top ten. American Joe Roberts, who had qualified 20th, finished 15th.
At round four of the Moto2 season the result tightened the early championship picture. Manuel Gonzalez leads on 59.5 points, Agius is second on 50 and Izan Guevara third on 45, leaving Gonzalez 9.5 points clear of Agius. Intact GP manager Jurgen Lingg praised Agius’s performance and warned that the upcoming Le Mans round will present a fresh challenge.
Moto3 practice at the Circuit of the Americas produced a rapid succession of record laps, with Máximo Quiles opening the run on Friday by setting a new all-time Moto3 lap record of 2:13.757 on a Pirelli-shod CFMOTO Valresa Aspar Team KTM, breaking Matteo Bertelle’s 2025 benchmark of 2:13.939. Álvaro Carpe then lowered that mark to 2:13.190 in Saturday morning practice aboard his Pirelli-shod Red Bull KTM Ajo machine; Quiles’s 2:13.757 session also featured Guido Pini second fastest on a Leopard Racing Honda with a 2:13.929.
Carpe had earlier topped Friday morning Free Practice One with a 2:14.209 for Red Bull KTM Ajo before finishing third in Friday’s faster session with a 2:14.202.
Friday’s timing sheets showed a cluster of leading Moto3 riders in the 2:14s — Matteo Bertelle (2:14.293), Valentín Perrone (2:14.309) and Joel Esteban among them — while Saturday morning produced a tight top three of Carpe (2:13.190), Perrone (2:13.280) and Esteban (2:13.349). The practice sessions ran around the 3.43-mile (5.51 km) Circuit of the Americas with a 25-rider field, Pirelli control tires prominent among the front-runners and KTM machinery occupying many of the top positions. Final grid places will be decided in subsequent practice and qualifying sessions.
Best Bets: 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds
Schedule and How to Watch the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix
Best Bets and Picks for the 2023 MotoGP Indonesian Grand Prix
Top Picks and Bets
Outsider Picks
Head-To-Head Picks
Expert Pick for the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix
Where to Bet on the 2023 MotoGP Thailand Grand Prix
Related Posts
Ducati vows to keep Gresini as Honda pursues team
Honda is reportedly in talks to bring Faenza-based Gresini Racing into its MotoGP fold as a Honda satellite team for the 2027 season. If finalized, the move would see Honda take over the Italian team and field a new rider lineup; multiple outlets say Honda is actively pursuing Gresini. Gresini is run by Nadia Padovani and has been backed by Ducati since 2022 (one outlet has suggested the partnership dates to 2021).
Coverage highlights Gresini’s strong recent results with Ducati — notably Álex Márquez’s runner-up finish in 2025 (the team’s best prototype-era result since Marco Melandri in 2005) and Enea Bastianini’s third place in 2021 — and reports that financial strains related to buying Ducati prototypes have been a factor behind the talks. Media reports have named possible rider targets if a Honda satellite deal proceeds: Motosan identified Enea Bastianini and 19-year-old Moto2 rider and ex-Moto3 world champion David Alonso as candidates for the two seats.
Outlets caution any moves would depend on the satellite agreement and would take effect for 2027; MotorsportWeek adds that a switch would likely require Gresini to part ways with current riders such as Marc Márquez and Fermín Aldeguer. The speculation has drawn pushback: Ducati MotoGP director Davide Tardozzi told Sky Italia after the Brazilian Grand Prix that Gresini “want to stay” with Ducati and that Ducati would “do everything possible to keep Gresini.” Observers also point to expiring satellite-team contracts in 2026 and a wider 2027 regulation overhaul as context. Until teams or manufacturers make formal announcements, the situation remains developing and disputed.
Lorenzo Returns as Vinales’ Full-time Coach for 2026 Tests
Jorge Lorenzo has signed on as Maverick Vinales’ performance coach in a full-time return to the MotoGP paddock for the 2026 season, a role the three-time world champion called the “perfect job.” Lorenzo said working seven to nine hours a day with Vinales was “not heavy, it’s a pleasure,” and that the position lets him apply roughly 30 years of motorcycle experience without the on-track risk. Since retiring at the end of 2019, he has hosted a MotoGP podcast, raced in the Porsche Supercup, and worked as a DAZN pundit, and he will accompany Vinales to pre-season tests and through the opening rounds of 2026.
Lorenzo has overseen an intensive winter program designed to rebuild Vinales’ form, beginning at the Sepang test and overhauling the rider’s preparation to push him beyond previous limits. The regimen included road-bike testing at Jerez, figure-of-eight drills and dirt riding in Valencia, deliberate work in wet and slippery conditions, and technical refinements such as throttle control and braking technique. Lorenzo shifted Vinales’ routine away from a fitness-only focus toward tougher practice scenarios and more focused technical work to restore race-to-race consistency.
The intervention responds to a difficult 2025 for Vinales, who rehabbed a shoulder injury sustained at the German Grand Prix, struggled for consistency, and finished 18th in the championship despite having 10 Grand Prix wins and 35 career podiums. Lorenzo said he aims to help Vinales regain the “killer” mentality he remembered from the rider’s youth, arguing that Vinales needs greater mental strength but that physical preparation and mindset improvements could turn him into a genuine contender. Lorenzo has publicly bet with Albert Valera, manager of Pedro Acosta, that Vinales will outscore Acosta across 2026. Acosta finished fourth overall with 12 podiums in 2025. Vinales is out of contract at the end of 2026, and Lorenzo warned the next two to three years could be a final window for a championship push as his renewed form will be watched closely amid rumours of KTM factory-seat reshuffles involving Acosta and Alex Marquez.
Senna Agius wins Moto2 at Jerez; Intact GP secures 1-2
Senna Agius won the Moto2 Spanish Grand Prix at the Circuito de Jerez, Ángel Nieto, recording his second consecutive victory of the season. He started fourth, set a new all-time Jerez lap record on Friday and rode a Dynavolt Intact GP Kalex fitted with Pirelli control tyres. Agius made the decisive pass for the lead on lap 14 of 21 and crossed the line 0.885 seconds ahead of teammate Manuel Gonzalez to give Liqui Moly Dynavolt Intact GP a one-two. He said he had to manage severe front-tyre wear early and deliberately waited to push in the closing laps, and he thanked his team.
Collin Veijer took pole in Saturday qualifying with a 1:39.101 on his Red Bull KTM Ajo Kalex. Alex Escrig and Manuel Gonzalez completed the front row and Agius started fourth. Veijer led much of the race but faded in the closing laps with arm pump and finished third, 1.107 seconds behind Agius. David Alonso recovered from a poor start to finish fourth, Celestino Vietti was fifth, and Dani Muñoz, Izan Guevara, Tony Arbolino, Alex Escrig and Iván Ortolá completed the top ten. American Joe Roberts, who had qualified 20th, finished 15th.
At round four of the Moto2 season the result tightened the early championship picture. Manuel Gonzalez leads on 59.5 points, Agius is second on 50 and Izan Guevara third on 45, leaving Gonzalez 9.5 points clear of Agius. Intact GP manager Jurgen Lingg praised Agius’s performance and warned that the upcoming Le Mans round will present a fresh challenge.
Álvaro Carpe lowers Moto3 lap record at COTA to 2:13.190
Moto3 practice at the Circuit of the Americas produced a rapid succession of record laps, with Máximo Quiles opening the run on Friday by setting a new all-time Moto3 lap record of 2:13.757 on a Pirelli-shod CFMOTO Valresa Aspar Team KTM, breaking Matteo Bertelle’s 2025 benchmark of 2:13.939. Álvaro Carpe then lowered that mark to 2:13.190 in Saturday morning practice aboard his Pirelli-shod Red Bull KTM Ajo machine; Quiles’s 2:13.757 session also featured Guido Pini second fastest on a Leopard Racing Honda with a 2:13.929.
Carpe had earlier topped Friday morning Free Practice One with a 2:14.209 for Red Bull KTM Ajo before finishing third in Friday’s faster session with a 2:14.202.
Friday’s timing sheets showed a cluster of leading Moto3 riders in the 2:14s — Matteo Bertelle (2:14.293), Valentín Perrone (2:14.309) and Joel Esteban among them — while Saturday morning produced a tight top three of Carpe (2:13.190), Perrone (2:13.280) and Esteban (2:13.349). The practice sessions ran around the 3.43-mile (5.51 km) Circuit of the Americas with a 25-rider field, Pirelli control tires prominent among the front-runners and KTM machinery occupying many of the top positions. Final grid places will be decided in subsequent practice and qualifying sessions.