The 2024 MotoGP season is off to a dramatic start after a wild Portuguese Grand Prix that saw Pramac’s Jorge Martin dominate from start to finish while defending champion Francesco Bagnaia crashed out after colliding with Marc Marquez. Meanwhile, rookie sensation Pedro Acosta scored a stunning maiden MotoGP podium in just his second race.
With the shocking late cancellation of the Argentina Grand Prix due to the country’s economic crisis, all eyes now turn to the Grand Prix of the Americas in Austin, Texas from April 12-14. The iconic Circuit of the Americas is always a pivotal early season race, and this year’s edition is shaping up to be a real barnburner. Read on for an expert breakdown of the top betting favorites and juiciest outsider picks as the world’s best riders get set to duel in the Lone Star State.
Place your wagers for the Grand Prix of the Americas at our partner sportsbooks.
Schedule and How to Watch the Grand Prix of the Americas
The Grand Prix of the Americas runs from April 12th-14th at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas. Friday will feature two free practice sessions, followed by a final free practice and qualifying on Saturday. The 20-lap race gets underway at 2:00 pm local time (3:00 pm ET) on Sunday, April 14th. For a detailed view of the weekend’s events, refer to the official schedule.
For enthusiasts who can’t be at the venue in person, be sure to check the official MotoGP website for viewing options. (Note: While live broadcasts might be limited in certain regions, including the US, you can still catch comprehensive race highlights and updates on the website!) If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article:Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the Grand Prix of the Americas
Top Picks and Bets
The Grand Prix of the Americas always delivers high-octane thrills, and this year’s edition promises to be no different, with a trio of heavy hitters leading the betting odds and looking to stamp their authority on the championship chase at the spectacular Circuit of the Americas.
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Jorge Martin
+162
$52.40
Francesco Bagnaia
+162
$52.40
Marc Marquez
+400
$100.00
Jorge Martin (+162) is the man of the moment after his flawless performance in Portimão. The Pramac rider was untouchable all weekend, converting pole position into a dominant lights-to-flag victory. Holding an 18-point lead and brimming with confidence, Martin’s aggressive yet precise riding style is perfectly suited to COTA’s challenging layout. The Spaniard has to be considered the favorite to make it back-to-back wins and extend his championship advantage.
Francesco Bagnaia (+162) comes into the Grand Prix of the Americas with a point to prove after crashing out of the Portuguese round. The defending double champion will be fired up to reignite his title defense at a track where he has consistently performed well in the past. Armed with the formidable Ducati Desmosedici GP24, expect Pecco to be in the mix for victory as he seeks to close down championship leader Jorge Martin’s early advantage.
Marc Marquez (+400) shouldn’t be discounted despite his involvement in the Portuguese GP incident with Bagnaia. The Repsol Honda icon boasts a record seven victories at COTA and looked back to his best in the early stages in Portimão before the collision. With HRC bringing an upgraded RC213V to Texas and his unmatched bike control, Marquez will fancy his chances of fighting for the podium and kickstarting his 2024 campaign.
Outsider Picks
While the favorites grab the headlines, savvy MotoGP bettors know that the outsider picks often provide the best value, and this week’s group all have the potential to deliver big returns at the Grand Prix of the Americas.
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Enea Bastianini
+700
$160.00
Pedro Acosta
+900
$200.00
Brad Binder
+1100
$240.00
Enea Bastianini (+700)is looking like a shrewd bet after his impressive ride to 2nd place in Portugal. The Ducati factory team rider showed impressive pace all weekend and looks to be carrying his strong late-season form from 2023 into the new campaign. ‘The Beast’ will be hungry to claim his first victory of the year and cement his status as a championship contender. With his renowned late-race pace and the potent GP24 beneath him, Bastianini has the potential to challenge for the top step of the podium in Austin.
Pedro Acosta (+900) couldn’t have asked for a more impressive debut in his rookie MotoGP season. The 20-year-old sensation stormed to a stunning maiden podium in Portimão, announcing himself as a serious talent on the world stage. Acosta’s precocious poise and the competitive KTM package make him an intriguing dark horse pick in Texas, where his smooth riding style should be well suited to the flowing, technical layout. Don’t be surprised to see the young Spaniard challenging for the top six once again.
Brad Binder (+1100) leads KTM’s charge coming into the Grand Prix of the Americas after a solid ride to 4th in Portugal. The South African has made a habit of exceeding expectations on the RC16 and will be gunning for the podium at a track where his aggressive riding style and late-braking prowess can really shine. With KTM’s upgraded engine providing a welcome power boost, Binder has the tools to mix it with the front runners on Sunday.
Expert Pick for the Grand Prix of the Americas
Jorge Martin is the clear favorite heading into the Grand Prix of the Americas after his incredible start to the 2024 season. The Pramac rider was in a class of his own in Portugal, topping every session and converting pole position into a commanding victory. With an 18-point championship lead and the lightning-quick Ducati GP24 at his disposal, Martin will be full of confidence at a track that suits his attacking style. Barring mishaps, the Spaniard looks set to make it two wins in a row and stamp his authority on the early title race.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP Grand Prix of the Americas
Gear up for the 2024 MotoGP – Grand Prix of the Americas! Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets. Don’t forget to delve into NXTbets’ official MotoGP Betting Guidefor comprehensive insights and tips.
With a wide-open title fight, a stacked field of elite riders, and one of the most spectacular tracks on the planet, the 2024 Grand Prix of the Americas has all the ingredients of an instant classic. So make sure you tune in on April 14 to see who emerges victorious in MotoGP’s lone star showdown. These are the races that make legends.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Reports before the first official 2026 pre-season test at Sepang claimed Fabio Quartararo had signed a two-year deal to join Honda from 2027. However, the rider publicly denied a completed agreement, while confirming HRC remained one of the options he was considering. The Sepang test itself was disruptive. Quartararo crashed on day one, broke a finger, and missed the remainder of that session, then encountered an engine problem Yamaha could not fix during the test. Yamaha also missed running after an unexpected engine issue described by team management as something they had “never had” before, as Alex Rins posted Yamaha’s best finish (12th). Team sporting director Massimo Meregalli said the Sepang incident did not change decisions on Quartararo’s future and characterized the interruption as a delay that pushed parts of the negotiation and testing program toward the next test.
Yamaha acknowledged it had reduced engine revs as a protective measure while continuing the development of its new V4, and planned to complete unfinished work during the upcoming Buriram test. The manufacturer emphasized continuity of its V4 program and insisted contract talks over 2027 were proceeding despite the Sepang interruption. Quartararo himself denied reports he had already signed for Honda even as questions about Yamaha’s pace of development and testing reliability intensified. Media reports and team comments linked the technical setbacks at Yamaha with increased speculation over the rider market, rather than presenting any confirmed move.
Honda presented a contrasting picture of forward momentum at Sepang. Team manager Alberto Puig praised Quartararo as “fantastic,” highlighted steady technical progress at HRC, including a lighter bike and improved engine response. The former rider cautioned that immediate wins could not be guaranteed. Joan Mir set the fastest time on day two, in what was reported as the quickest Honda lap around Sepang, and described the current RC213V as the best bike he had ridden, adding weight to Honda’s on-track gains. Puig repeatedly denied that anything for 2027 had been decided, and said Honda would prioritize its current roster while seeking riders who were both fast and intelligent. He noted that Johann Zarco and Diogo Moreira were already locked in with LCR through 2027, leaving factory-team seats contested between Mir and Luca Marini. Puig framed the 2026 contract season as chaotic and said on-track results and the evolving rule environment would shape final decisions once the season got underway.
Marco Bezzecchi topped both Friday practice sessions at the Thai MotoGP in Buriram and produced a late lap that set a new record (one report put it at 1:28.526), finishing roughly 0.4 seconds clear of Marc Márquez. He credited his crew’s quick, last-minute reaction to looming storm conditions and praised improvements in Aprilia’s stability and weekend setup, but downplayed favorite status — “Marquez is the favorite, not me” and “I’ll be happy with a good start.” He declined to elaborate on aerodynamic rumours and warned that Ducati and Márquez will remain major obstacles going forward.
Márquez reached Q2 and was second fastest on Friday while still managing recovery from a shoulder injury that has limited his braking position and riding style. He rode with Ducati’s 2024-spec aerodynamic package to reduce strain on his right shoulder, said he was “not riding in an automatic way,” and reported feeling better on used tires than on new rubber. Starting the session on a medium rear tire was a calculated risk that nearly cost him a Q2 spot when light rain and a late pit call complicated track action; he called himself “lucky” to progress. He also acknowledged Bezzecchi and Aprilia looked a step ahead, in part because of their ability to exploit Michelin’s harder rear-tire construction.
Dark clouds, intermittent rain and strong winds repeatedly shaped the session, prompting teams to prioritize early banker laps and make rapid setup changes. Aprilia’s strong early running — at one point taking three of the top four places in practice — and Bezzecchi’s record lap gave the factory momentum into qualifying and the sprint, but riders and teams noted that Friday form, heavily influenced by weather and tire strategy, did not guarantee race-day performance.
Toprak Razgatlioglu, the 29-year-old three-time WorldSBK champion, began his MotoGP transition under a two-year Yamaha factory deal with Pramac and is scheduled to make his race debut on March 1 in Thailand. Yamaha has mobilized support to speed his learning, enlisting test rider Andrea Dovizioso and other resources at Sepang to smooth the switch from WorldSBK machinery and Pirelli rubber to MotoGP-spec bikes and Michelin tires. Team messages and Razgatlioglu’s own comments framed 2026 as a development year focused on setup work, track familiarization, and adapting his riding technique to the prototype environment.
During the Sepang shakedown, Razgatlioglu posted a 1:58.465 on Day 3 to finish 10th, ahead of teammate Jack Miller. The result came after he posted the slowest time on day one of testing, registering a gap of roughly 1.6–1.9 seconds to Marc Márquez and about 0.8–1.0 seconds to the fastest Yamaha ridden by Fabio Quartararo. He was within roughly half a second of Jack Miller and Alex Rins, establishing them as nearer-term benchmarks while the team focuses on data-gathering rather than outright lap times. Jack Miller publicly reacted to seeing Razgatlioglu on the Yamaha, noting visible differences in seating and aerodynamics tied to the Turkish rider’s height.
Technically, Razgatlioglu has been experimenting with a markedly different ergonomics package, including a lower seat, higher handlebars, and a rear tail that improved braking stability and rear control. The experiments gave Yamaha time to prepare an M1 set-up for his larger stature. His height (over six feet) limits the use of Yamaha’s seat aero without breaching MotoGP bike-height rules, a practical constraint that factors into fit and aero choices. On tires, he said Michelin rubber feels different to Pirelli. Braking is good, but acceleration requires a smoother approach, so his aggressive WorldSBK late-braking habits need modification to suit MotoGP-style corner entry and chassis behavior. The combined package of ergonomics, tire adaptation, and revised braking technique remains the immediate focus as he continues incremental adjustments ahead of the opening round.
The roar of engines and the thrill of competition reached a crescendo at the Malaysian Grand Prix, where Ducati’s Enea Bastianini seized a triumphant victory, marking his first win of the season. This victory was not just a testament to Bastianini’s resilience and skill, having overcome physical setbacks earlier in the season, but also a …
Best Bets: 2024 MotoGP Grand Prix of the Americas Pre-Event Odds Analysis
The 2024 MotoGP season is off to a dramatic start after a wild Portuguese Grand Prix that saw Pramac’s Jorge Martin dominate from start to finish while defending champion Francesco Bagnaia crashed out after colliding with Marc Marquez. Meanwhile, rookie sensation Pedro Acosta scored a stunning maiden MotoGP podium in just his second race.
With the shocking late cancellation of the Argentina Grand Prix due to the country’s economic crisis, all eyes now turn to the Grand Prix of the Americas in Austin, Texas from April 12-14. The iconic Circuit of the Americas is always a pivotal early season race, and this year’s edition is shaping up to be a real barnburner. Read on for an expert breakdown of the top betting favorites and juiciest outsider picks as the world’s best riders get set to duel in the Lone Star State.
Place your wagers for the Grand Prix of the Americas at our partner sportsbooks.
Schedule and How to Watch the Grand Prix of the Americas
The Grand Prix of the Americas runs from April 12th-14th at the Circuit of the Americas in Austin, Texas. Friday will feature two free practice sessions, followed by a final free practice and qualifying on Saturday. The 20-lap race gets underway at 2:00 pm local time (3:00 pm ET) on Sunday, April 14th. For a detailed view of the weekend’s events, refer to the official schedule.
For enthusiasts who can’t be at the venue in person, be sure to check the official MotoGP website for viewing options. (Note: While live broadcasts might be limited in certain regions, including the US, you can still catch comprehensive race highlights and updates on the website!) If betting is on your agenda, don’t forget to follow the live action and keep an eye on NXTbets for updates on odds and prices.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Picks for the Grand Prix of the Americas
Top Picks and Bets
The Grand Prix of the Americas always delivers high-octane thrills, and this year’s edition promises to be no different, with a trio of heavy hitters leading the betting odds and looking to stamp their authority on the championship chase at the spectacular Circuit of the Americas.
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Jorge Martin
+162
$52.40
Francesco Bagnaia
+162
$52.40
Marc Marquez
+400
$100.00
Jorge Martin (+162) is the man of the moment after his flawless performance in Portimão. The Pramac rider was untouchable all weekend, converting pole position into a dominant lights-to-flag victory. Holding an 18-point lead and brimming with confidence, Martin’s aggressive yet precise riding style is perfectly suited to COTA’s challenging layout. The Spaniard has to be considered the favorite to make it back-to-back wins and extend his championship advantage.
Francesco Bagnaia (+162) comes into the Grand Prix of the Americas with a point to prove after crashing out of the Portuguese round. The defending double champion will be fired up to reignite his title defense at a track where he has consistently performed well in the past. Armed with the formidable Ducati Desmosedici GP24, expect Pecco to be in the mix for victory as he seeks to close down championship leader Jorge Martin’s early advantage.
Marc Marquez (+400) shouldn’t be discounted despite his involvement in the Portuguese GP incident with Bagnaia. The Repsol Honda icon boasts a record seven victories at COTA and looked back to his best in the early stages in Portimão before the collision. With HRC bringing an upgraded RC213V to Texas and his unmatched bike control, Marquez will fancy his chances of fighting for the podium and kickstarting his 2024 campaign.
Outsider Picks
While the favorites grab the headlines, savvy MotoGP bettors know that the outsider picks often provide the best value, and this week’s group all have the potential to deliver big returns at the Grand Prix of the Americas.
Rider
Event Winner Odds
Payout on $20
Enea Bastianini
+700
$160.00
Pedro Acosta
+900
$200.00
Brad Binder
+1100
$240.00
Enea Bastianini (+700) is looking like a shrewd bet after his impressive ride to 2nd place in Portugal. The Ducati factory team rider showed impressive pace all weekend and looks to be carrying his strong late-season form from 2023 into the new campaign. ‘The Beast’ will be hungry to claim his first victory of the year and cement his status as a championship contender. With his renowned late-race pace and the potent GP24 beneath him, Bastianini has the potential to challenge for the top step of the podium in Austin.
Pedro Acosta (+900) couldn’t have asked for a more impressive debut in his rookie MotoGP season. The 20-year-old sensation stormed to a stunning maiden podium in Portimão, announcing himself as a serious talent on the world stage. Acosta’s precocious poise and the competitive KTM package make him an intriguing dark horse pick in Texas, where his smooth riding style should be well suited to the flowing, technical layout. Don’t be surprised to see the young Spaniard challenging for the top six once again.
Brad Binder (+1100) leads KTM’s charge coming into the Grand Prix of the Americas after a solid ride to 4th in Portugal. The South African has made a habit of exceeding expectations on the RC16 and will be gunning for the podium at a track where his aggressive riding style and late-braking prowess can really shine. With KTM’s upgraded engine providing a welcome power boost, Binder has the tools to mix it with the front runners on Sunday.
Expert Pick for the Grand Prix of the Americas
Jorge Martin is the clear favorite heading into the Grand Prix of the Americas after his incredible start to the 2024 season. The Pramac rider was in a class of his own in Portugal, topping every session and converting pole position into a commanding victory. With an 18-point championship lead and the lightning-quick Ducati GP24 at his disposal, Martin will be full of confidence at a track that suits his attacking style. Barring mishaps, the Spaniard looks set to make it two wins in a row and stamp his authority on the early title race.
Where to Bet on the 2024 MotoGP Grand Prix of the Americas
Gear up for the 2024 MotoGP – Grand Prix of the Americas! Get the latest odds and exclusive offers at our partnered sportsbooks to place your bets. Don’t forget to delve into NXTbets’ official MotoGP Betting Guide for comprehensive insights and tips.
With a wide-open title fight, a stacked field of elite riders, and one of the most spectacular tracks on the planet, the 2024 Grand Prix of the Americas has all the ingredients of an instant classic. So make sure you tune in on April 14 to see who emerges victorious in MotoGP’s lone star showdown. These are the races that make legends.
21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Related Posts
Quartararo Denies Honda Deal After Sepang Setbacks
Reports before the first official 2026 pre-season test at Sepang claimed Fabio Quartararo had signed a two-year deal to join Honda from 2027. However, the rider publicly denied a completed agreement, while confirming HRC remained one of the options he was considering. The Sepang test itself was disruptive. Quartararo crashed on day one, broke a finger, and missed the remainder of that session, then encountered an engine problem Yamaha could not fix during the test. Yamaha also missed running after an unexpected engine issue described by team management as something they had “never had” before, as Alex Rins posted Yamaha’s best finish (12th). Team sporting director Massimo Meregalli said the Sepang incident did not change decisions on Quartararo’s future and characterized the interruption as a delay that pushed parts of the negotiation and testing program toward the next test.
Yamaha acknowledged it had reduced engine revs as a protective measure while continuing the development of its new V4, and planned to complete unfinished work during the upcoming Buriram test. The manufacturer emphasized continuity of its V4 program and insisted contract talks over 2027 were proceeding despite the Sepang interruption. Quartararo himself denied reports he had already signed for Honda even as questions about Yamaha’s pace of development and testing reliability intensified. Media reports and team comments linked the technical setbacks at Yamaha with increased speculation over the rider market, rather than presenting any confirmed move.
Honda presented a contrasting picture of forward momentum at Sepang. Team manager Alberto Puig praised Quartararo as “fantastic,” highlighted steady technical progress at HRC, including a lighter bike and improved engine response. The former rider cautioned that immediate wins could not be guaranteed. Joan Mir set the fastest time on day two, in what was reported as the quickest Honda lap around Sepang, and described the current RC213V as the best bike he had ridden, adding weight to Honda’s on-track gains. Puig repeatedly denied that anything for 2027 had been decided, and said Honda would prioritize its current roster while seeking riders who were both fast and intelligent. He noted that Johann Zarco and Diogo Moreira were already locked in with LCR through 2027, leaving factory-team seats contested between Mir and Luca Marini. Puig framed the 2026 contract season as chaotic and said on-track results and the evolving rule environment would shape final decisions once the season got underway.
Bezzecchi leads as rain, wind and tire gambits hit Buriram
Marco Bezzecchi topped both Friday practice sessions at the Thai MotoGP in Buriram and produced a late lap that set a new record (one report put it at 1:28.526), finishing roughly 0.4 seconds clear of Marc Márquez. He credited his crew’s quick, last-minute reaction to looming storm conditions and praised improvements in Aprilia’s stability and weekend setup, but downplayed favorite status — “Marquez is the favorite, not me” and “I’ll be happy with a good start.” He declined to elaborate on aerodynamic rumours and warned that Ducati and Márquez will remain major obstacles going forward.
Márquez reached Q2 and was second fastest on Friday while still managing recovery from a shoulder injury that has limited his braking position and riding style. He rode with Ducati’s 2024-spec aerodynamic package to reduce strain on his right shoulder, said he was “not riding in an automatic way,” and reported feeling better on used tires than on new rubber. Starting the session on a medium rear tire was a calculated risk that nearly cost him a Q2 spot when light rain and a late pit call complicated track action; he called himself “lucky” to progress. He also acknowledged Bezzecchi and Aprilia looked a step ahead, in part because of their ability to exploit Michelin’s harder rear-tire construction.
Dark clouds, intermittent rain and strong winds repeatedly shaped the session, prompting teams to prioritize early banker laps and make rapid setup changes. Aprilia’s strong early running — at one point taking three of the top four places in practice — and Bezzecchi’s record lap gave the factory momentum into qualifying and the sprint, but riders and teams noted that Friday form, heavily influenced by weather and tire strategy, did not guarantee race-day performance.
Yamaha and Dovizioso Back Toprak Before Thailand Debut
Toprak Razgatlioglu, the 29-year-old three-time WorldSBK champion, began his MotoGP transition under a two-year Yamaha factory deal with Pramac and is scheduled to make his race debut on March 1 in Thailand. Yamaha has mobilized support to speed his learning, enlisting test rider Andrea Dovizioso and other resources at Sepang to smooth the switch from WorldSBK machinery and Pirelli rubber to MotoGP-spec bikes and Michelin tires. Team messages and Razgatlioglu’s own comments framed 2026 as a development year focused on setup work, track familiarization, and adapting his riding technique to the prototype environment.
During the Sepang shakedown, Razgatlioglu posted a 1:58.465 on Day 3 to finish 10th, ahead of teammate Jack Miller. The result came after he posted the slowest time on day one of testing, registering a gap of roughly 1.6–1.9 seconds to Marc Márquez and about 0.8–1.0 seconds to the fastest Yamaha ridden by Fabio Quartararo. He was within roughly half a second of Jack Miller and Alex Rins, establishing them as nearer-term benchmarks while the team focuses on data-gathering rather than outright lap times. Jack Miller publicly reacted to seeing Razgatlioglu on the Yamaha, noting visible differences in seating and aerodynamics tied to the Turkish rider’s height.
Technically, Razgatlioglu has been experimenting with a markedly different ergonomics package, including a lower seat, higher handlebars, and a rear tail that improved braking stability and rear control. The experiments gave Yamaha time to prepare an M1 set-up for his larger stature. His height (over six feet) limits the use of Yamaha’s seat aero without breaching MotoGP bike-height rules, a practical constraint that factors into fit and aero choices. On tires, he said Michelin rubber feels different to Pirelli. Braking is good, but acceleration requires a smoother approach, so his aggressive WorldSBK late-braking habits need modification to suit MotoGP-style corner entry and chassis behavior. The combined package of ergonomics, tire adaptation, and revised braking technique remains the immediate focus as he continues incremental adjustments ahead of the opening round.
Best Bets: 2023 MotoGP Grand Prix of Qatar Pre-Event Odds
The roar of engines and the thrill of competition reached a crescendo at the Malaysian Grand Prix, where Ducati’s Enea Bastianini seized a triumphant victory, marking his first win of the season. This victory was not just a testament to Bastianini’s resilience and skill, having overcome physical setbacks earlier in the season, but also a …