NXTbets Inc

Best Bets: PBR UTB Louisville Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: PBR UTB Louisville Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The 2024 PBR season is winding down, but the action is only heating up. Last weekend, PBR Unleash The Beast made history with the first-ever double-header event in Washington state. In Everett and Tacoma, it was Brazil’s Alan de Souza who stole the show, winning not one but both events in dominant 3-for-3 fashion. The veteran moved to No. 5 in the standings and put the rest of the field on notice that he’s a serious contender for the 2024 PBR World Championship.

As the tour heads to Louisville, Kentucky, for the regular-season finale, the world title race is as tight as ever. Can Cassio Dias hang on to the No. 1 ranking he’s held for 14 consecutive weeks? Will red-hot Alan de Souza continue his winning streak? Or will a dark horse emerge from the pack to shake things up before the PBR World Finals kick off on May 9 in Fort Worth, Texas? In this article, we’ll break down the odds and analyze the top contenders and outsiders to watch in Louisville.

Place your wagers for the PBR Louisville at our partner sportsbooks.

1
Great Odds
Our Rating 9.9

Sign Up Now!

Get Closer To The Action

21+ New Customers Only. Terms & Conditions Apply

2
Hot & Trending
Our Rating 9.3

First Bet Offer

$105 On Fred If Your First Wager Loses

21+ New Customers Only. Terms & Conditions Apply

3
Daily Fantasy Real Money Gaming
Our Rating 8.9

New User Sign Up Bonus

PBR Rivals Powered by StatHero
Play Up to $250 Risk Free to Start!

21+ New Customers Only. Terms & Conditions Apply

4
Free To Play Game
Our Rating 9.9

PBR Ride Or Wreck
Free to Play Game on the PBR App presented by Ariat

Schedule and How to Watch PBR UTB Louisville

The PBR returns to the Bluegrass State for the final regular-season Unleash The Beast event of 2024, as the tour makes its annual stop at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky. The Cooper Tires PBR Louisville, presented by Pneu-Dart, will take place on April 26-27, giving the sport’s top riders one last chance to jockey for position in the standings before the PBR World Finals kick off on May 9 in Fort Worth, Texas.

Round 1 action gets underway at 7:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 26, with Round 2 and the championship round to follow on Thursday, April 27. Want to be part of the action? RidePass on Pluto TV has got you covered with live broadcasts. For those keeping an eye on the odds, NXTbets will have analysis and updates throughout the series. Join the excitement of PBR Unleash The Beast, whether you’re cheering from the arena seats or the comfort of your own home.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for PBR UTB Louisville

Top Picks and Bets

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Cassio Dias

+265

$73.00

Dalton Kasel

+350

$90.00

Alan de Souza

+650

$150.00

Cassio Dias (+265): The current world No. 1 has been a dominant force throughout the 2024 season, racking up a tour-leading six event wins and eight Top 5 finishes. However, the 22-year-old Brazilian has hit a rough patch in recent weeks, going just 2-for-8 in his last three events and failing to place higher than 10th. This slump is particularly concerning given its timing, with the World Finals just around the corner. Despite his struggles, Dias still holds a commanding 494.5-point lead over No. 2 John Crimber, a testament to his incredible consistency throughout the year. His 66.67% riding percentage in championship rounds (10-for-15) is second only to Austin Richardson among riders with multiple finals appearances. While his recent form is cause for concern, Dias’ track record and overall body of work make him a deserving favorite in Louisville.

Dalton Kasel (+350): After sitting out the Everett event to rest some nagging injuries, Kasel made a statement in his return to action in Tacoma. The 25-year-old phenom from Muleshoe, Texas, won Round 1 with a massive 88.5-point ride aboard Pookie Holler and finished the event 2-for-3 to place third overall. Kasel’s unique blend of raw talent and technical prowess makes him a perennial contender, as evidenced by his eight Top 5 finishes (second only to Dias). Currently sitting fourth in the standings, just one point behind No. 3 Eduardo Aparecido, Kasel will be looking to make up ground on the leaders in Louisville. If he can stay healthy and draw well, the 2019 Rookie of the Year has the potential to steal the show at the KFC Yum! Center.

Alan de Souza (+650): The undisputed “King of the Cascade” after his back-to-back 3-for-3 sweeps in Everett and Tacoma, de Souza is riding a tidal wave of momentum into Louisville. The 30-year-old veteran has been a model of consistency in 2024, registering seven Top 5 finishes and climbing to No. 5 in the world standings. While he may not possess the same explosive athleticism as riders like Dias and Kasel, de Souza more than makes up for it with his unflappable composure and tactical riding style. He leads the PBR with 32 qualified rides on the season and has shown an uncanny ability to navigate even the rankest bulls. At +650, de Souza offers exceptional value for bettors looking to capitalize on the hottest hand in the sport.

Outsider Picks

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20

Eduardo Aparecido

+650

$150.00

John Crimber

+1200

$260.00

Joao Ricardo Vieira

+1400

$300.00

Eduardo Aparecido (+650): Don’t let his understated demeanor fool you — “Fast Eddy” Aparecido is a bona fide title contender in 2024. The 33-year-old from Gouvelandia, Brazil, sits third in the standings, 907 points behind Dias, and is coming off an impressive win at the UTB event in Billings two weeks ago. Aparecido’s riding style is a study in efficiency; he rarely scores in the 90s (his season-high is an 89.25), but he consistently puts up qualified rides, as evidenced by his 27 8-second efforts (third-most on tour). With five Top 5 finishes under his belt, including two wins, Aparecido has the experience and savvy to navigate the high-stakes atmosphere in Louisville. Don’t be surprised if “Fast Eddy” lives up to his nickname and makes a fast charge up the standings.

John Crimber (+1200): The 18-year-old from Decatur, Texas, has been the revelation of the 2024 season, taking the PBR by storm in his rookie campaign. Crimber sits second in the standings, 494.5 points behind Dias, and leads all newcomers with eight Top 10 finishes. His fearless riding style and unflappable poise under pressure belie his tender age; Crimber has shown time and again that he belongs among the PBR’s elite. In Tacoma last weekend, he won Round 1 with a massive 87.25-point ride aboard Kwik Lock, showcasing his ability to rise to the occasion on the biggest stages. While his inexperience may be seen as a liability by some, Crimber’s precocious talent and unshakable self-belief make him a tempting value pick at +1200.

João Ricardo Vieira (+1400): In a sport where youth is often prized above all else, João Ricardo Vieira continues to defy Father Time. The 38-year-old from Itatiba, Brazil, is currently eighth in the world standings and shows no signs of slowing down in his 16th PBR season. Vieira’s wealth of experience is an invaluable asset in the pressure-cooker environment of a late-season UTB event; he knows how to manage his emotions, conserve his energy, and pick his spots. While his 38.95% riding percentage may not jump off the page, Vieira has a knack for making his rides count — his 89-point trip aboard Dirty Sancho in Little Rock is tied for the fourth-highest marked ride of 2024. With the title race tightening and tensions mounting, don’t be surprised if the wily veteran makes some noise in Louisville.

Expert Pick for PBR UTB Louisville

When the dust settles at the KFC Yum! Center, we expect Alan de Souza to complete the three-peat and earn his third consecutive event win. The 30-year-old has been on an absolute tear and shows no signs of slowing down. Dias remains the title favorite, but de Souza appears to be peaking at the right time and will likely put maximum pressure on the young phenom heading into the World Finals. Our money is on De Souza to stay red-hot in Louisville.

Round 1 Head-to-Head Bets

As the competition intensifies in Louisville, several intriguing head-to-head matchups in Round 1 offer exciting betting opportunities.

Matchup

Moneyline

Payout on $20

Kaique Pacheco

+105

$41.00

Cassio Dias

-137

$34.60

John Crimber

-115

$37.39

Joao Ricardo Vieira

-115

$37.39

Dalton Kasel

-159

$32.58

Thiago Salgado

+120

$44.00

In the first matchup, young gun Cassio Dias is favored over veteran Kaique Pacheco. Dias has been on a tear this season, but Pacheco’s experience could prove valuable in this high-stakes showdown. The second matchup pits rookie sensation John Crimber against seasoned pro Joao Ricardo Vieira in a pick’em. Crimber has been fearless in his debut season, but Vieira’s savvy and consistency make him a tough out. The final matchup features red-hot Dalton Kasel as a solid favorite over Thiago Salgado. Kasel’s electric form and championship pedigree give him the edge, but Salgado’s gritty riding style could make this one closer than the odds suggest.

Where to Bet on PBR UTB Louisville

Armed with these insights, prepare to place your bets on PBR UTB Louisville. Secure the latest futures odds and special promotions at our affiliate sportsbooks to place your bets. Dive into our exclusive PBR Betting Primer for comprehensive analyses and betting tactics. Whether you’re backing the seasoned champions or rooting for the rookies, each ride promises a pulse-pounding experience. With the world’s top riders vying for supremacy, every buck and spin presents a chance to win big. Engage in the spectacle where raw rodeo action meets the strategic play of betting!

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER

Related Posts: