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Best Bets: 2024 Supercross Seattle Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2024 Supercross Seattle Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The Supercross scene is still buzzing from Round 10 in Indianapolis, where Jett Lawrence dominated the 450SX class, securing his third consecutive win (1-1-1 Sweep in the Triple Crown format) and his fifth overall win of the season. This victory not only solidifies Lawrence’s lead but also stamps his authority as the rookie to beat. With Ken Roczen and Chase Sexton trailing but not far behind, the battle for supremacy is heating up as we head into Seattle for Round 11.

Seattle’s Lumen Field is next, known for its tricky conditions and the potential for weather to play a significant role. This round promises to be a critical juncture in the championship race, with every rider looking to challenge Lawrence’s dominance and shake up the standings.

As we prepare for the showdown in Seattle, our analysis will cut through the noise, offering sharp insights and bold predictions. We’re not just watching the riders; we’re dissecting every factor that could impact the race outcomes. Stay locked in for our comprehensive pre-event odds analysis, where we’ll dive into rider stats, track conditions, and historical performances to forecast the adrenaline-pumping action waiting in Seattle. The championship is far from decided, and Round 11 could be a game-changer.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross Seattle 2024

Round 11 of Supercross is scheduled for March 23, 2024 at Seattle’s iconic Lumen Field. Doors open at 10:00 AM PT, with the racing action starting at 4:30 PM PT. Don’t miss out on this highly anticipated event in one of Supercross’s most renowned venues. If you can’t be there in person, you can catch all the action-packed races of the 2024 Supercross Championship live on Peacock, ensuring you don’t miss a moment of this exhilarating season.

 

For those interested in betting, keep your eye on NXTbets for real-time odds and pricing updates throughout the season. Also, be sure to check out and subscribe to James Stewart’s Supercross sports betting podcast The Inside Line.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for Supercross Seattle 2024

Top Picks and Bets for Supercross Seattle 2024

As anticipation builds for the Supercross event in Seattle, all eyes turn to the contenders poised to dominate the track.

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20 Wager

Jett Lawrence

-500

$24.00

Eli Tomac

+1748

$369.60

Ken Roczen

+1962

$412.40

Jett Lawrence might just be redefining excellence in the world of Supercross, as evidenced by his commanding victory in Indianapolis. Sweeping the 450SX Triple Crown with an impressive 1-1-1 across all races, Lawrence has not only solidified his status as the season’s standout rider but has also showcased an unparalleled ability to dominate under pressure. This performance, earning him odds of -500 for Seattle, underscores his exceptional skill set and mental fortitude. Lawrence’s swift navigation through the soft, rutted track in Indianapolis, coupled with his strategic overtakes and consistent pace, positions him as the undeniable favorite. His adaptability and resilience are what fans and bettors alike will be banking on as he heads into the notoriously challenging Seattle round.

Eli Tomac, offered at +1748, might have had a forgettable outing in Indianapolis, finishing 7th overall with his best position being a 4th in the first race, but his potential for a strong comeback in Seattle cannot be understated. Known for his ability to thrive under tough conditions, Tomac’s experience and resilience make him a compelling pick, especially considering Seattle’s propensity for wet and unpredictable weather. While his showing last weekend might have dropped him a notch in the rankings, this event offers him a chance to bounce back. Given his history of excelling in challenging conditions, his current odds might not fully capture his potential to secure a top finish and potentially regain ground in the championship race.

Ken Roczen, coming in at +1962, consistently showcased his competitiveness in Indianapolis, securing second place with notable 2-2-3 finishes that saw him overtake Tomac in the championship standings. His performance, highlighted by a strong start and the ability to maintain pace with Lawrence, demonstrates his readiness to challenge the top spot. Roczen’s tactical approach and resilience, especially in keeping close in the points despite the challenging conditions, position him as a potential dark horse for Seattle. Given his demonstrated ability to perform under pressure, Roczen’s odds suggest he’s an underdog worth watching, especially if he can replicate his Indianapolis form and capitalize on any opportunities presented by the Seattle track.

Outsider Picks for Supercross Seattle 2024

In the shadows of the favorites, hidden potentials await discovery, offering intriguing possibilities for those seeking to unearth the next breakout star on race day.

Rider

Event Winner Odds

Payout on $20 Wager

Chase Sexton

+2098

$439.60

Aaron Plessinger

+2157

$451.40

Cooper Webb

+2400

$500.00

Chase Sexton, sitting third in the standings with 185 points, carries enticing odds of +2098 into Seattle. Just 4 points behind Cooper Webb and with a series of consistent performances including a strong showing in Indianapolis, Sexton has demonstrated he’s on the cusp of breaking through. His gradual improvement throughout the races, combined with his third-place standing, signals a potential upset in Seattle. Betting on Sexton isn’t just a wager on his performance alone but a bet on his upward trajectory in the series, making him a savvy pick for those looking to capitalize on the dynamism of Supercross racing.

Aaron Plessinger is listed with odds of +2157, suggesting a hidden value for discerning bettors. His performance in Indianapolis, particularly his adaptability to the track’s demanding conditions, hints at a racer whose true potential might be unlocked in Seattle’s equally challenging environment. Plessinger’s penchant for navigating through adversity, combined with his latent capability for standout performances, makes him a dark horse worth considering. Betting on Plessinger is an investment in the possibility of an upset, grounded in the belief that his skill set is well-suited to the unpredictability and rigors of Lumen Field.

Cooper Webb, with a second-place standing at 189 points and odds of +2400, is a compelling choice for bettors seeking a blend of risk and reward. Webb’s resilience and skill have kept him within striking distance of Jett’s championship lead. His ability to recover and challenge in races, as evidenced in Indianapolis, underscores his potential to capitalize on any misstep by Lawrence. Given Webb’s proven track record and championship pedigree, his current odds offer a lucrative opportunity for those betting on a late-season surge. Betting on Webb is a calculated risk that acknowledges the unpredictability of Supercross, where a single event can dramatically alter the championship landscape.

Expert Pick for Supercross Seattle 2024

Our Expert Pick is Ken Roczen, given his potential for better returns on the betting front. Roczen has been inching closer to the top spot with performances that mix resilience, skill, and strategic racing. His experience and capacity to challenge leaders like Jett Lawrence make him a prime candidate for a notable upset. Betting on Roczen means recognizing the value in his competitive edge and the higher reward his current odds present, especially for those looking to leverage the unpredictability of Supercross outcomes.

Championship Futures Update

Rider

Champion Odds

Payout on $20 Wager

Jett Lawrence

-19,900

$20.10

Cooper Webb

+3932

$806.40

Chase Sexton

+4662

$952.40

Eli Tomac

+8303

$1680.30

Ken Roczen

+9515

$1923.00

Following the Indianapolis event, the futures odds have notably shifted, emphasizing Jett Lawrence‘s tightening grip on the championship with odds moving from -590 to an overwhelming -19,900, underscoring his dominance and the betting market’s confidence in his victory. In contrast, Ken Roczen sees his odds lengthen from +8030 to +9515, indicating a perceived diminishing chance of overtaking Lawrence. Adjustments in the odds for Cooper Webb, Chase Sexton, and Eli Tomac also reflect the evolving championship narrative, with Sexton and Webb’s increasing odds suggesting a wider gap to Lawrence, while Tomac’s significant odds shift points to his outsider status with potential for upset, highlighting the dynamic and unpredictable nature of the Supercross title race.

Where to Bet on Supercross Seattle 2024

Bets for Supercross Seattle can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide

Get ready to witness the raw intensity of Supercross Seattle as riders push their limits in pursuit of victory. Whether you’re a seasoned enthusiast or a casual observer, brace yourself for the adrenaline rush of high-speed competition and unexpected turns. And as the excitement unfolds, remember to bet wisely, adding an extra layer of excitement to the thrilling spectacle ahead.

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