Six rounds remain in the 2025 MotoGP Championship, and it could be all over by the end of the weekend. The Marquez brothers are the only ones who can mathematically clinch the title, but the more realistic outcome is that Marc Marquez will bag his seventh Championship by Sunday if he departs Motegi with a 185-point lead. The older Marquez lines up for the Japanese GP as the favorite in the pre-event odds, fresh off his 11th victory of the season. Let’s find out if anyone can stop him in our best bets and analysis below.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
Prepare yourself for a weekend of early mornings or late nights, whichever way you prefer to look at it. Riders set up shop at the Mobility Resort Motegi from Friday, September 26, to Sunday, September 28. All attention is cast to the Grand Prix on Sunday when Marc Marquez could wrap up the Championship. Bikes assemble on the grid at 1:00 am EDT Sunday, which you can watch live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Japan
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Young Alex Marquez might have gotten the better of his brother in Catalonia, big his older brother showed him who is boss at the San Marino GP. Marc Marquez has now ridden inside Victory Lane on 11 occasions this season, prevailing in 80% of the last 10 Sunday races. Alex is enjoying his best MotoGP season to date with nine podiums, including two triumphs across 16 rounds.
Marco Bezzecchi collected his fifth rostrum in five races in the previous round, moving him to within striking distance of a top-three spot in the standings. He’s chasing Francesco Bagnaia, who rode himself onto seven rostrums in the first 11 rounds of the campaign, but hasn’t formed part of the post-race celebrations since Germany. “Pecco” touches down in the “Land of the Rising Sun” as the defending Champion, but he’s had to play second-fiddle to his teammate Marc Marquez this season.
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Player
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Marc Marquez
-250
$28.00
Alex Marquez
+450
$110.00
Marco Bezzecchi
+800
$180.00
Francesco Bagnaia
+900
$200.00
Pedro Acosta
+1900
$400.00
Fabio Quartararo
+2200
$460.00
Franco Morbidelli
+3400
$700.00
Fabio Di Giannantonio
+3400
$700.00
Brad Binder
+4900
$1,000.00
Luca Marini
+5900
$1,200.00
Enea Bastianini
+5900
$1,200.00
Fermin Aldeguer
+5900
$1,200.00
Jorge Martin
+6400
$1,300.00
Maverick Viñales
+6400
$1,300.00
Ai Ogura
+6400
$1,300.00
Johann Zarco
+7900
$1,600.00
Joan Mir
+9900
$2,000.00
Jack Miller
+9900
$2,000.00
Raul Fernandez
+9900
$2,000.00
Miguel Oliveira
+14900
$3,000.00
Alex Rins
+24900
$5,000.00
Takaaki Nakagami
+99900
$20,000.00
Aleix Espargaro
+99900
$20,000.00
Augusto Fernandez
+99900
$20,000.00
Somkiat Chantra
+99900
$20,000.00
Lorenzo Savadori
+99900
$20,000.00
Expert Pick
His odds are short, but a logical person can’t look beyond Marc Marquez’s dominant record this season. He averages 1.63 in his last 11 races, highlighting his winning consistency. “The Ant of Cervera” enters MotoGP Japan at -250 for the win. Placing $20 on the Championship leader offers a potential payout of $28.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Marc Marquez is staring down a seventh MotoGP World Championship, but when will he secure it? Can he enter Victory Lane for a 12th time this campaign to put the title race to bed, or does his younger sibling have a trick up his sleeve in Motegi?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of Japan. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
Missouri legalized sports betting recently. However, it has yet to roll out despite the state lifting the ban. Missouri motorsports enthusiasts and fans wishing to deepen their engagement with MotoGP races, athletes, and events should consider Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS). Fortunately, Underdog Fantasy and PrizePicks operate legally within the state, allowing residents to enjoy simple, …
MotoGP is one of the most exciting motorcycle racing events worldwide. It has attracted fans globally. Most of these fans are always eager to bet on MotoGP races. If you have a favorite team or rider, you must be thinking about investing in MotoGP betting. The best way to bet on MotoGP involves understanding the …
The Spanish Grand Prix delivered a race for the ages, with reigning world champion Francesco Bagnaia emerging victorious after a thrilling duel with Marc Márquez. The Ducati rider showcased his championship mettle, fending off a resurgent Márquez in the closing stages to claim his second win of the season. Bagnaia’s triumph, coupled with championship leader …
KTM has unveiled its 2026 MotoGP liveries and confirmed Red Bull title backing for both its factory team and Tech3 satellite outfit, while keeping the factory pairing of Pedro Acosta and Brad Binder and retaining Maverick Viñales and Enea Bastianini at Tech3.
Tech3 is under new ownership led by Guenther Steiner, with Richard Coleman appointed team boss. KTM also detailed key crew moves for 2026. Enea Bastianini will work with Andrés Madrid, Phil Marron will move into Brad Binder’s garage, and former Bastianini crew chief Alberto Giribuola has switched to Pramac.
The announcement followed a financially destabilising winter for KTM’s 2025 programme, which influenced personnel decisions and the early confirmations of lineups.
Looking back at 2025, KTM finished third in the Constructors’ standings and its factory entry was fourth in the Teams’ standings, becoming the highest-ranked non‑Ducati-powered team after overtaking Aprilia. Pedro Acosta emerged as the squad’s on-track leader, adopted setup elements from Maverick Viñales, took KTM’s first official podium of the year at Brno, and closed the year fourth in the world championship. He described the season as “a wasted year” despite personal progress. Brad Binder finished 11th overall without a podium. Tech3 endured a turbulent season. Viñales had a strong result in Qatar, chalked off for a tyre-pressure infringement, and was sidelined time with a serious shoulder injury at Sachsenring. Enea Bastianini scored a Grand Prix and Sprint podium midseason but faded after losing Giribuola, and substitute Pol Espargaró provided stability with four top-10s in five starts.
Contract positions and longer-term planning remain unresolved. Media reports say all four riders are out of contract at the end of the season, and Acosta has been linked with a potential move to a Ducati-run team. Coverage described KTM as weighing roster choices while preparing for the 2027 regulations and surveying the wider MotoGP market for options rather than relying on an obvious in-house successor. Some outlets named long-shot possibilities such as Francesco Bagnaia and Fabio Quartararo, but presented those as unlikely.
Best Bets: 2025 MotoGP Japan Pre-Event Odds Analysis
Table of Contents
Six rounds remain in the 2025 MotoGP Championship, and it could be all over by the end of the weekend. The Marquez brothers are the only ones who can mathematically clinch the title, but the more realistic outcome is that Marc Marquez will bag his seventh Championship by Sunday if he departs Motegi with a 185-point lead. The older Marquez lines up for the Japanese GP as the favorite in the pre-event odds, fresh off his 11th victory of the season. Let’s find out if anyone can stop him in our best bets and analysis below.
After reading our analysis, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place bets.
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Schedule and How to Watch the Japanese MotoGP
Prepare yourself for a weekend of early mornings or late nights, whichever way you prefer to look at it. Riders set up shop at the Mobility Resort Motegi from Friday, September 26, to Sunday, September 28. All attention is cast to the Grand Prix on Sunday when Marc Marquez could wrap up the Championship. Bikes assemble on the grid at 1:00 am EDT Sunday, which you can watch live on Fox Sports 1.
Odds Subject to Change
Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape.
For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.
Best Bets and Odds for 2025 MotoGP Japan
Grand Prix Winner Odds
Young Alex Marquez might have gotten the better of his brother in Catalonia, big his older brother showed him who is boss at the San Marino GP. Marc Marquez has now ridden inside Victory Lane on 11 occasions this season, prevailing in 80% of the last 10 Sunday races. Alex is enjoying his best MotoGP season to date with nine podiums, including two triumphs across 16 rounds.
Marco Bezzecchi collected his fifth rostrum in five races in the previous round, moving him to within striking distance of a top-three spot in the standings. He’s chasing Francesco Bagnaia, who rode himself onto seven rostrums in the first 11 rounds of the campaign, but hasn’t formed part of the post-race celebrations since Germany. “Pecco” touches down in the “Land of the Rising Sun” as the defending Champion, but he’s had to play second-fiddle to his teammate Marc Marquez this season.
swipe to see more
Expert Pick
His odds are short, but a logical person can’t look beyond Marc Marquez’s dominant record this season. He averages 1.63 in his last 11 races, highlighting his winning consistency. “The Ant of Cervera” enters MotoGP Japan at -250 for the win. Placing $20 on the Championship leader offers a potential payout of $28.00.
Where to Bet on MotoGP
Marc Marquez is staring down a seventh MotoGP World Championship, but when will he secure it? Can he enter Victory Lane for a 12th time this campaign to put the title race to bed, or does his younger sibling have a trick up his sleeve in Motegi?
Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you anticipate the upcoming Motul Grand Prix of Japan. If you’re a newbie in the world of MotoGP betting, our comprehensive MotoGP Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.
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KTM has unveiled its 2026 MotoGP liveries and confirmed Red Bull title backing for both its factory team and Tech3 satellite outfit, while keeping the factory pairing of Pedro Acosta and Brad Binder and retaining Maverick Viñales and Enea Bastianini at Tech3.
Tech3 is under new ownership led by Guenther Steiner, with Richard Coleman appointed team boss. KTM also detailed key crew moves for 2026. Enea Bastianini will work with Andrés Madrid, Phil Marron will move into Brad Binder’s garage, and former Bastianini crew chief Alberto Giribuola has switched to Pramac.
The announcement followed a financially destabilising winter for KTM’s 2025 programme, which influenced personnel decisions and the early confirmations of lineups.
Looking back at 2025, KTM finished third in the Constructors’ standings and its factory entry was fourth in the Teams’ standings, becoming the highest-ranked non‑Ducati-powered team after overtaking Aprilia. Pedro Acosta emerged as the squad’s on-track leader, adopted setup elements from Maverick Viñales, took KTM’s first official podium of the year at Brno, and closed the year fourth in the world championship. He described the season as “a wasted year” despite personal progress. Brad Binder finished 11th overall without a podium. Tech3 endured a turbulent season. Viñales had a strong result in Qatar, chalked off for a tyre-pressure infringement, and was sidelined time with a serious shoulder injury at Sachsenring. Enea Bastianini scored a Grand Prix and Sprint podium midseason but faded after losing Giribuola, and substitute Pol Espargaró provided stability with four top-10s in five starts.
Contract positions and longer-term planning remain unresolved. Media reports say all four riders are out of contract at the end of the season, and Acosta has been linked with a potential move to a Ducati-run team. Coverage described KTM as weighing roster choices while preparing for the 2027 regulations and surveying the wider MotoGP market for options rather than relying on an obvious in-house successor. Some outlets named long-shot possibilities such as Francesco Bagnaia and Fabio Quartararo, but presented those as unlikely.