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Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Salt Lake City Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 Supercross Salt Lake City Pre-Event Odds Analysis

After 16 thrilling rounds of 2026 Supercross action, we’ve arrived at the final jump. Riders hit the dirt in Salt Lake City this Saturday for the final round of the Championship, and it’s all to race for. Only one point separates Ken Roczen and Hunter Lawrence in the standings, and the duo is heavily favored in the pre-event odds for this week. Get all the best bets and tips ahead of the finale in our event preview below.

Bets for the SX Salt Lake City can be placed with our partner sportsbooks.

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Schedule and How to Watch Supercross SLC

The Rice-Eccles Stadium in Salt Lake City, Utah, takes center stage this weekend for the 2026 SX finale. Competitors ride out for qualifying in the late morning on Saturday, May 9, before saddling up for the main event at 5:00 pm MT. All eyes are on Ken Roczen to see if he can fend off the charge from Hunter Lawrence in the title race. Catch the last razzle in this year’s series live on Peacock TV, and follow the qualifying results and schedule on the dedicated SLC event page.

Tn Peacock TV, and catch the latest schedule, news, and results on the dedicated SX event page.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Live SMX Odds

Best Bets for SX Salt Lake City 2026

Odds for Main Race Holeshot

The battle for first corner dominance has revolved around Jorge Prado and Hunter Lawrence all season. Both riders have racked up six holeshot awards in 2026 and account for 70% of the honors in the past 10 races. The older Lawrence brother has registered four in that period, while Prado has three to his name. Spaniard rider Prado has his tail up in this contest, after beating the field through the opening corner in Colorado last weekend. Ken Roczen, Cooper Webb, and Eli Tomac boast the next best record of two holeshots apiece across the term.

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Rider
Holeshot
Payout on $20
Jorge Prado
+233
$66.60
Ken Roczen
+465
$113.00
Hunter Lawrence
+498
$119.60
Eli Tomac
+656
$151.20
Cooper Webb
+890
$198.00
Chase Sexton
+1038
$227.60
Justin Cooper
+1169
$253.80
Shane McElrath
+1438
$307.60
Justin Hill
+1958
$411.60
Malcolm Stewart
+2014
$422.80
Justin Barcia
+2108
$441.60
Vince Friese
+2236
$467.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+3497
$719.40
Dean Wilson
+4425
$905.00
Christian Craig
+5305
$1,081.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+7476
$1,515.20
Jordon Smith
+10104
$2,040.80
Colt Nichols
+15285
$3,077.00
Kyle Chisholm
+16849
$3,389.80
Mitchell Harrison
+21177
$4,255.40
Grant Harlan
+21177
$4,255.40
Kevin Moranz
+21177
$4,255.40
Cade Clason
+21177
$4,255.40
Tristan Lane
+21177
$4,255.40
Anthony Rodriguez
+21177
$4,255.40
Freddie Noren
+21177
$4,255.40
Justin Starling
+21177
$4,255.40
Josh Cartwright
+21177
$4,255.40
John Short
+21177
$4,255.40
Logan Karnow
+21177
$4,255.40
Zack Williams
+21177
$4,255.40
Cory Carsten
+21177
$4,255.40
Scott Meshey
+21177
$4,255.40
Tyler Gibbs
+21177
$4,255.40
Bobby Piazza
+21177
$4,255.40
Cheyenne Harmon
+21177
$4,255.40
Josh Greco
+21177
$4,255.40
Preston Taylor
+21177
$4,255.40
Scotty Wennerstrom
+21177
$4,255.40
Addison Emory IV
+21177
$4,255.40
Jeremy Hand
+21177
$4,255.40

Odds for Fastest Qualifier

Championship leader Ken Roczen hits the dirt in Utah as the favorite to qualify fastest. He produced the goods in Denver seven days ago, to register his second quickest qualification in 2026. Both his achievements have arrived in the last five rounds. The German-American’s closest rival this year, Hunter Lawrence has sttopped the clock fastes one time more than Roczen, but finds himself as the second favorite for this market. Overall, Eli Tomac has owned this contest across the term, starting at the front of the grid on five occassions. His last success arrived in Nashville, prior to injuring his hip. 

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Rider
Fastest Qualifier
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
+225
$65.00
Hunter Lawrence
+300
$80.00
Eli Tomac
+400
$100.00
Chase Sexton
+450
$110.00
Justin Cooper
+700
$160.00
Cooper Webb
+1200
$260.00
Jorge Prado
+1500
$320.00
Justin Hill
+2000
$420.00
Malcolm Stewart
+3000
$620.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+4000
$820.00
Justin Barcia
+4000
$820.00
Jordon Smith
+4000
$820.00
Dean Wilson
+12753
$2,570.60
Christian Craig
+14094
$2,838.80
Shane McElrath
+14094
$2,838.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+14094
$2,838.80
Colt Nichols
+14094
$2,838.80
Jeremy Hand
+15435
$3,107.00
Kyle Chisholm
+15435
$3,107.00
Vince Friese
+15435
$3,107.00
Mitchell Harrison
+15435
$3,107.00
Grant Harlan
+15435
$3,107.00
Cade Clason
+15435
$3,107.00
Kevin Moranz
+15435
$3,107.00
Justin Starling
+15435
$3,107.00
Anthony Rodriguez
+15435
$3,107.00
Tristan Lane
+15435
$3,107.00
Freddie Noren
+15435
$3,107.00
Josh Cartwright
+15435
$3,107.00
Zack Williams
+15435
$3,107.00
Scott Meshey
+15435
$3,107.00
Logan Karnow
+15435
$3,107.00
John Short
+15435
$3,107.00
Cory Carsten
+15435
$3,107.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+15435
$3,107.00
Josh Greco
+15435
$3,107.00
Bobby Piazza
+15435
$3,107.00
Preston Taylor
+15435
$3,107.00
Tyler Gibbs
+15435
$3,107.00
Addison Emory IV
+15435
$3,107.00
Scotty Wennerstrom
+15435
$3,107.00

Odds for Event Winner

A tantalizing battle awaits in the event winner market. Hunter Lawrence and Ken Roczen line up with a 50% win rate in their last eight starts. The duo accounts for all of the victories in the last eight rounds of the series, highlighting their class over their peers.  Roczen has entered Victory Lane three times in the last five races, but Lawrence clinched top honors in the previous round to take his tally to five wins this year. He’s now tied with Roczen as the winningest rider in the competition, with five scalps to his name.

Eli Tomac impressed on his return from injury last weekend, bagging the final spot on the podium. He’s a four-time victor this season, but endured a rocky middle part of the campaign, after a sensational start. His last triumph arrived in Daytona Beach, and he injured himself in Cleveland, missing that round and the trip to Philadelphia. Chase Sexton and Cooper Webb complete this season’s winner’s roll, carrying a scalp a piece with them into the finale. Webb  struggled in Denver, finishing outside of the top 10  and breaking a three round podium streak.

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Rider
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
+147
$49.40
Ken Roczen
+177
$55.40
Eli Tomac
+456
$111.20
Cooper Webb
+757
$171.40
Chase Sexton
+882
$196.40
Justin Cooper
+1000
$220.00
Jorge Prado
+2595
$539.00
Justin Barcia
+3459
$711.80
Malcolm Stewart
+4155
$851.00
Justin Hill
+8521
$1,724.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+9424
$1,904.80
Shane McElrath
+21639
$4,347.80
Dean Wilson
+21639
$4,347.80
Christian Craig
+21639
$4,347.80
Garrett Marchbanks
+21639
$4,347.80
Colt Nichols
+21639
$4,347.80
Jordon Smith
+21639
$4,347.80
Scotty Wennerstrom
+22122
$4,444.40
Kyle Chisholm
+22627
$4,545.40
Jeremy Hand
+22627
$4,545.40
Vince Friese
+22627
$4,545.40
Mitchell Harrison
+22627
$4,545.40
Grant Harlan
+22627
$4,545.40
Cade Clason
+22627
$4,545.40
Kevin Moranz
+22627
$4,545.40
Justin Starling
+22627
$4,545.40
Anthony Rodriguez
+22627
$4,545.40
Tristan Lane
+22627
$4,545.40
Freddie Noren
+22627
$4,545.40
Josh Cartwright
+22627
$4,545.40
Zack Williams
+22627
$4,545.40
Scott Meshey
+22627
$4,545.40
Logan Karnow
+22627
$4,545.40
John Short
+22627
$4,545.40
Cory Carsten
+22627
$4,545.40
Cheyenne Harmon
+22627
$4,545.40
Josh Greco
+22627
$4,545.40
Bobby Piazza
+22627
$4,545.40
Preston Taylor
+22627
$4,545.40
Addison Emory Iv
+22627
$4,545.40
Tyler Gibbs
+23156
$4,651.20
Expert Pick

It’s a tight race between the utterly dominant duo of Ken Roczen and Hunter Lawrence, but the latter takes our expert pick. The Australian arrives at the finale with a 50% victory rate in the last 10 rounds and has only missed the podium twice during that period. Sportsbooks have the older Lawrence priced at +147 for a trip inside Victory Lane, potentially paying out $49.40 for a $20.00 stake.

Odds for a Podium

Eli Tomac returned to the dirt in Denver after skipping Philadelphia due to injury. It didn’t take the four-time winner long to get back on track, bagging the final spot on the podium last weekend. He’s notched up nine rostrums in 14 races this year. Only Roczen and Lawrence have entered the top three more times than Tomac, and he’s favorably priced at -121 for the final round. Moving on to Chase Sexton, his odds are positive for a rostrum this weekend, because he hasn’t achieved one since his runner-up in Detroit. Justin Cooper finds himself just under Sexton, after struggling in the last two rounds. He’s crossed the line in 13th, in consecutive races, but has found the podium twice in the past five rounds.

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Rider
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-516
$23.88
Ken Roczen
-452
$24.42
Eli Tomac
-121
$36.53
Chase Sexton
+130
$46.00
Justin Cooper
+193
$58.60
Cooper Webb
+217
$63.40
Jorge Prado
+350
$90.00
Malcolm Stewart
+450
$110.00
Justin Barcia
+584
$136.80
Justin Hill
+1200
$260.00
Shane McElrath
+1200
$260.00
Dylan Ferrandis
+1601
$340.20
Dean Wilson
+5136
$1,047.20
Christian Craig
+9704
$1,960.80
Josh Greco
+12095
$2,439.00
Preston Taylor
+12095
$2,439.00
Scotty Wennerstrom
+12095
$2,439.00
Garrett Marchbanks
+12400
$2,500.00
Colt Nichols
+12400
$2,500.00
Jordon Smith
+12400
$2,500.00
Kyle Chisholm
+12400
$2,500.00
Vince Friese
+12400
$2,500.00
Justin Starling
+12400
$2,500.00
Josh Cartwright
+12400
$2,500.00
Scott Meshey
+12400
$2,500.00
John Short
+12400
$2,500.00
Cheyenne Harmon
+12400
$2,500.00
Mitchell Harrison
+12558
$2,531.60
Tristan Lane
+12558
$2,531.60
Cory Carsten
+12558
$2,531.60
Bobby Piazza
+12721
$2,564.20
Addison Emory IV
+12721
$2,564.20
Kevin Moranz
+12887
$2,597.40
Freddie Noren
+12887
$2,597.40
Jeremy Hand
+13058
$2,631.60
Grant Harlan
+13058
$2,631.60
Cade Clason
+13058
$2,631.60
Anthony Rodriguez
+13058
$2,631.60
Zack Williams
+13058
$2,631.60
Logan Karnow
+13058
$2,631.60
Tyler Gibbs
+13058
$2,631.60

Top 5 Odds

Holeshot hero, Jorge Prado, just missed out on a top five in round 16, crossing the line in sixth. He only has three top-five place finishes in 2026, with the last one arriving in St. Louis. Just ahead of the Spaniard on the odds table is Justin Cooper, who has consistently found himself battling for a first five finish this year. Cooper has racked up eight top fives across the series, including a 60% return rate in the previous 10 rounds. Malcolm Stewart arrives as a value for money option at +250, despite earning three top-five finishes in the past seven outings. The Husqvarna rider lines up fresh off the back of a fourth-place return at altitude in Denver.

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Rider
Top 5 Finish
Payout on $20
Hunter Lawrence
-850
$22.35
Ken Roczen
-800
$22.50
Eli Tomac
-250
$28.00
Cooper Webb
-175
$31.43
Chase Sexton
-175
$31.43
Justin Cooper
+125
$45.00
Jorge Prado
+175
$55.00
Justin Barcia
+250
$70.00
Malcolm Stewart
+250
$70.00
Justin Hill
+446
$109.20
Dylan Ferrandis
+500
$120.00
Dean Wilson
+1000
$220.00
Shane Mcelrath
+500
$120.00
Christian Craig
+1027
$225.40
Garrett Marchbanks
+1625
$345.00
Colt Nichols
+3146
$649.20
Jordon Smith
+3449
$709.80
Kyle Chisholm
+5641
$1,148.20
Vince Friese
+5641
$1,148.20
Grant Harlan
+5641
$1,148.20
Mitchell Harrison
+5641
$1,148.20
Jeremy Hand
+5641
$1,148.20
Kevin Moranz
+5641
$1,148.20
John Short
+5641
$1,148.20
Cade Clason
+5641
$1,148.20
Freddie Noren
+5641
$1,148.20
Anthony Rodriguez
+5641
$1,148.20
Justin Starling
+5641
$1,148.20
Tristan Lane
+5641
$1,148.20
Scott Meshey
+5641
$1,148.20
Josh Cartwright
+5641
$1,148.20
Zack Williams
+5641
$1,148.20
Logan Karnow
+5641
$1,148.20
Cory Carsten
+5641
$1,148.20
Cheyenne Harmon
+5641
$1,148.20
Josh Greco
+5641
$1,148.20
Bobby Piazza
+5641
$1,148.20
Preston Taylor
+5641
$1,148.20
Tyler Gibbs
+5641
$1,148.20
Addison Emory Iv
+5641
$1,148.20
Scotty Wennerstrom
+5641
$1,148.20

H2H Odds

Justin Hill meets Malcolm Stewart in one of the fiercest matchups in the final round. Hill enters as the underdog at +127, but he’s finished ahead of Stewart in two of the last five rounds, averaging 9.4. Stewart carries the same average in that period, but has outclassed Hill in three rounds. Our quest for value is further satisfied by Justin Cooper in his clash with Chase Sexton. Cooper has beaten Sexton twice in five rounds and holds a better finishing average across those rounds at 7.6.

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Matchup
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Justin Hill
+127
$45.40
Malcolm Stewart
-170
$31.76
Jorge Prado
-139
$34.39
Justin Barcia
+105
$41.00
Hunter Lawrence
-141
$34.18
Ken Roczen
+107
$41.40
Cooper Webb
+112
$42.40
Eli Tomac
-149
$33.42
Chase Sexton
-153
$33.07
Justin Cooper
+115
$43.00

Winning Manufacturer

After their round 16 victory, Honda has joined Suzuki as the winningest manufacturer this year. The Japanese manufacturers have each registered five triumphs, four in the past eight rounds. These scalps are all courtesy of dominant runs by Hunter Lawrence and Ken Roczen. KTM starts as the third favorite, after winning the Salt Lake City leg in 2025. The Austrian manufacturer has found its bike inside of Victory Lane on four occasions this campaign, all coming from Eli Tomac. Yamaha and Kawasaki complete the honorary victor list this year, but their top riders, Cooper Webb and Chase Sexton, are not at the level we’ve come to expect from them. They each have one win to their names leading into the final stop of the SX Championship.

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Manufacturer
Odds
Payout on $20
Honda
+132
$46.40
Suzuki
+165
$53.00
KTM
+440
$108.00
Yamaha
+452
$110.40
Kawasaki
+829
$185.80
Ducati
+3000
$620.00
Husqvarna
+4003
$820.60
Triumph
+20162
$4,052.40

Winning W.O Lawrence or Roczen

Lawrence and Roczen are embroiled in a fierce battle for the 2026 SX title, but there is still plenty to race for in the midfield. Eli Tomac starts as the rider to beat in this market, after securing top honors in this race a week ago. Tomac crossed the line in third in Colorado, the best finish behind the table toppers. Chase Sexton lines up in Utah with favorable odds at +391, but he has not prevailed in the midfield since Detroit. On the opposite end of the form spectrum, Cooper Webb is worth a look after three midfield victories in the past four rounds. Finally, Justin Cooper is worth a look, contributing one midfield victory to the cause in the previous five rounds.

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Rider
Midfield Winner
Payout on $20
Eli Tomac
+178
$55.60
Cooper Webb
+274
$74.80
Chase Sexton
+391
$98.20
Justin Cooper
+449
$109.80
Jorge Prado
+1250
$270.00
Justin Barcia
+1683
$356.60
Malcolm Stewart
+2023
$424.60
Justin Hill
+4229
$865.80
Dylan Ferrandis
+4662
$952.40
Shane McElrath
+10653
$2,150.60
Dean Wilson
+10653
$2,150.60
Christian Craig
+10653
$2,150.60
Garrett Marchbanks
+10653
$2,150.60
Colt Nichols
+10653
$2,150.60
Jordon Smith
+10653
$2,150.60
Scotty Wennerstrom
+11011
$2,222.20
Kyle Chisholm
+11011
$2,222.20
Jeremy Hand
+11394
$2,298.80
Vince Friese
+11394
$2,298.80
Mitchell Harrison
+11394
$2,298.80
Grant Harlan
+11394
$2,298.80
Cade Clason
+11394
$2,298.80
Kevin Moranz
+11394
$2,298.80
Justin Starling
+11394
$2,298.80
Anthony Rodriguez
+11394
$2,298.80
Tristan Lane
+11394
$2,298.80
Freddie Noren
+11394
$2,298.80
Josh Cartwright
+11394
$2,298.80
Zack Williams
+11394
$2,298.80
Scott Meshey
+11394
$2,298.80
Logan Karnow
+11394
$2,298.80
John Short
+11394
$2,298.80
Cory Carsten
+11394
$2,298.80
Cheyenne Harmon
+11394
$2,298.80
Josh Greco
+11394
$2,298.80
Bobby Piazza
+11394
$2,298.80
Preston Taylor
+11394
$2,298.80
Addison Emory Iv
+11394
$2,298.80
Tyler Gibbs
+11394
$2,298.80

2026 SX Futures Odds

We couldn’t ask for a better final round of the Championship. It’s all to race for, and only one unit separates Hunter Lawrence from Ken Roczen. Either racer can win the title here, which is why the odds are split at -115. Both riders have five wins to their name this season, but Roczen holds a superior finishing average in the past five outings at 1.6. Lawrence has racked up a 3.31 finishing average in 2026, only missing the podium places in three rounds. The only real blemish on his record was an 18th-place return in Detroit. However, the Australian has bounced back since, recording two wins and two third places.

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Rider
Futures Odds
Payout on $20
Ken Roczen
-115
$37.39
Hunter Lawrence
-115
$37.39

SX SLC DFS

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Rider
Finishing Position
Hunter Lawrence
2.5
Ken Roczen
2.5
Eli Tomac
3.5
Cooper Webb
3.5
Chase Sexton
3.5
Justin Hill
5.5
Justin Cooper
5.5
Jorge Prado
5.5
Justin Barcia
5.5
Malcolm Stewart
5.5

Where to Bet on Supercross SLC

Bets for the Supercross title decider can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbets’ comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide.

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