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Best Bets: AMA Supercross Round 5 Tampa Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Breaking news ripped through the dirt biking community earlier this week after the confirmation that Jett Lawrence is out for the season. The show must go on and the Supercross Tampa pre-event odds analysis shines the spotlight on the tight encounter expected on the Gulf Coast. Chase Sexton enters as the favorite ahead of Eli Tomac, while Ken Roczen continues to impress after another podium at Glendale.

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Offer Score

9.7

Schedule and How to Watch AMA Supercross Round 5 Tampa

The green flag waves the first East Coast Supercross event of 2025 off on Saturday, February 8th.  Qualifying begins at 1 PM ET, with the broadcast feeding through shortly after at 1:30 PM. 

SuperMotocross TV and Peacock will cover all the 250 and 450 category action, which culminates in the main event at 9:27 PM. 

Check out the official event page for more details on the track design, ticketing info, and the vibrant fan fest. For those itching to spice up your Tampa experience, check NXTbets for real-time odds and pricing updates throughout the season.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for AMA Supercross Round 5 Tampa

Top Picks and Bets

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

Chase Sexton

+188

$57.60

-129

$35.50

Eli Tomac

+248

$69.60

-104

$39.23

Cooper Webb

+352

$90.40

+117

$43.40

Chase Sexton (+188)

Chase Sexton claimed his second win of 2025 last weekend at Glendale, catapulting him to the top of the standings. With Jett out for the season, Sexton has become the front-runner for the Championship and to take the win in Tampa. He finished runner-up in the main event here in 2023, the last time Tampa saw Supercross action.

Eli Tomac (+248)

Dual Supercross Champion Eli Tomac fell to third on the table after round 4 where he just missed out on a podium. Tomac is considered Sexton’s biggest challenger for the Championship, but he’s currently in third, behind Ken Roczen. Tomac won earlier in the season in round 2 and has finished inside the top seven in every race this year.

Cooper Webb (+352)

Glendale was kind to Cooper  Webb who produced his best performance of the season so far to finish second behind Sexton. The North Carolina native has ridden to two podiums in 2025 with an eighth at Anaheim 2 his worst return so far.

Outsider Picks

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Podium

Payout on $20

Ken Roczen

+644

$148.80

+181

$56.20

Hunter Lawrence

+1488

$317.60

+320

$84.00

Jason Anderson

+1792

$378.40

+350

$90.00

Ken Roczen (+644)

Mr. Consistency in 2025, Ken Roczen keeps finding his way onto the podium. He is yet to win this season, but he’s finished second twice and third once. The only mark on his reputation is a fourth place in San Diego, hardly a bad performance. Roczen is favorably priced to win this weekend, and he deserves a title after his start to the season.

Hunter Lawrence (+1488)

Flying the flag for the Lawrence family, Hunter gets to ride without the shadow of his brother lurking over him. The season opened with a tough eleventh-position ride at Angel Stadium, but he has bounced back to finish fifth in the last three races. 

Jason Anderson (+1792)

In the first four races of the year, Jason Anderson has stood on the podium twice. He struggled in San Diego where he finished 13th, but other than that has remained inside the top ten. Considering his ability to place, he’s a worthwhile pick for a podium at +350.

Expert Pick for AMA Supercross Round 5 Tampa

Ken Roczen has proved a money spinner this season with attractive odds in every race and three podiums to his name. The German is our expert pick for Supercross Tampa, with favorable odds for a podium finish. Roczen is priced at +181 to finish in the top three, returning a potential $56.20 on a $20 bet.

Head-to-Head Odds for AMA Supercross Round 5 Tampa

Matchup 1

Rider

Event Winner

Payout per $20

Chase Sexton

-131

$35.27

Eli Tomac

-101

$39.80

Championship leader Chase Sexton is tipped to prevail over third-place Eli Tomac in our first matchup.

 

Matchup 2

Rider

Event Winner

Payout per $20

Cooper Webb

-148

$33.51

Ken Roczen

+111

$42.20

Ken Roczen enters this matchup as the underdog, but he’s performed more consistently than Webb this season. Roczen makes for an exciting bet with favorable odds of +111.

 

Matchup 3

Rider

Event Winner

Payout per $20

Hunter Lawrence

-119

$36.81

Jason Anderson

-111

$38.02

The final head-to-head of the day is forecast to be the closest, with Hunter Lawrence favored more than Jason Anderson. Anderson has stepped on the podium twice this season, but Lawrence is more consistent, with three top fives.

Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship Futures Update

Rider

Event Winner

Payout on $20

Chase Sexton

+142

$48.40

Eli Tomac

+334

$86.80

Ken Roczen

+443

$108.60

Cooper Webb

+463

$112.60

Jason Anderson

+4325

$885.00

Hunter Lawrence

+4530

$926.00

Barcia, Plessinger, Cooper, Hill, Stewart

+13599

$2,739.80

Remaining riders

+15285

$3,077.00

 

The news of Jett Lawrence’s injury has shaken up the Monster Energy AMA Supercross Championship futures. Chase Sexton is now the firm favorite to take the title followed by Eli Tomac and Ken Roczen.

Where to Bet on AMA Supercross Round 5 Tampa

Bets for Supercross Tampa can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide

With Jett Lawrence out for the season, it is any rider’s championship, but Chase Sexton will look to stamp his authority in Florida. Ken Roczen continues his sensational form with three podiums in the first four rounds in 2025.

21+ Please refer to Affiliated Operators’ T&C. Void where prohibited. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

1
Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON SMX, GET $200
IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
2
Popular Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX GET $200
IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
3
Global Sportsbook
BET $5 ON SMX GET $200
IN BONUS BETS WHEN YOUR FIRST BET SETTLES
2249 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.7
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