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Best Bets: PFL World Tournament First Round 5/1 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: PFL World Tournament First Round 5/1 Pre-Event Odds Analysis

The biggest men in professional fighting take on Universal Studios on May 1st for a clash of heavyweights and light heavyweights. Rob Wilkinson, the 2022 Light Heavyweight Champion, dominates the PFL World Tournament First Round 5/1 pre-event odds as he opens his account against Phil Davis. Former Bellator Heavyweight Champion Valentin Moldavsky is back in SmartCage and searching for more glory.

To bet on PFL World Tournament heavyweight and light heavyweight fights, check out our partner sportsbooks.

In addition to traditional sports betting, the PFL World Tournament will have Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) Real Money Gaming available in a Pick’Em style on Underdog. Although “fantasy games” might seem misleading, DFS is a significant and growing category within legal sports wagering. This allows PFL fans to legally make over/under picks with real money wagering in 30 states, including California & Texas, where traditional sports betting is currently illegal. Take advantage of a first-time deposit match up to $1,000 now!

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IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

9.8
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Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON PFL, GET $250
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
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Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
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Offer Score

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Offer Score

9.7

Schedule and How to Watch the PFL World Tournament

“May Day” fighting hits our screens from 7:30 PM ET on May 1st from Universal Studios in Orlando. The big men are set to keep battling late into the night, when  Wilkinson makes his first appearance of the season. ESPN and ESPN+ air every blow and submission from the venue to awaken your Thursday evening.

Schedule and How to Watch the PFL World Tournament

Please note, that the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change? Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets for First Round PFL World Tournament 5/1

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Matchup
Career Record
Moneyline
Payout on $20
Phil Davis
24-7-0
+124
$44.80
Rob Wilkinson
19-3-0
-148
$33.51
Antonio Carlos Jr.
16-6-0
+120
$44.00
Karl Moore
12-3-0
-142
$34.08
Karl Albrektsson
14-5-0
+160
$52.00
Simeon Powell
10-1-0
-192
$30.42
Alexander Romanov
25-14-0
-625
$23.20
Tim Johnson
18-11-0
+455
$111.00
Karl Williams
4-1-0
+205
$61.00
Oleg Popov
19-2-0
-250
$28.00
Sullivan Cauley
6-1-0
-170
$31.76
Marcelo Nunes
11-2-0
+142
$48.40
Rodrigo Nascimiento
11-3-0
+105
$41.00
Abraham Bably
5-1-02
-125
$36.00
Alex Polizzi
11-4-0
-155
$32.90
Rafael Xavier
5-1-0
+130
$46.00

Key Matchups

Phil “Mr. Wonderful” Davies (-142) vs Rob “Razor” Wilkinson (+120) – Light Heavyweight

Rob Wilkinson returns to the United States looking for revenge after losing to Dovlet Yagshimuradov in last year’s semi-final. The 2022 Light Heavyweight Champion faces Phill Davies, who has won 77% of his career battles and matches the former champ in arm reach. Wilkinson enters the SmartCage after winning 86% of his previous encounters.

Valentin Moldavsky (-700) vs. Sergey Bilostenniy (+500) – Heavyweight

A Russian derby awaits us in the penultimate fight of the evening, as Valentin Moldavsky squares off against Sergey Bilostenniy.. Moldavsky is a former Bellator Champion in this division, but he lost out to Linton Vassell last year in the quarter-finals. Sergey Biolstenniy last fought against Tyrrell Fortune in 2024, winning by a first round submission. Bilostenniy has prevailed in 81.25% of his fiights.

Antonio “Shoeface” Carlos Jr. (-122) vs. Karl Moore (+102) – Light Heavyweight

Former PFL Light Heavyweight Champion Antonio “Shoeface” Carlos Jr. faces the challenge of last year’s finalist Karl Moore. The gentleman are evenly matched in the arm reach department, but Moore holds are marginal 2-inch advantage in the legs.The Irishman enters the SmartCage with a 12-3-0 record, which despite his inexperience carries a higher concentration of victories to appearances ratio.

Karl “King” Albrektsson (-192) vs. Simeon “Smooth” Powell (+160) – Light Heavyweight

Sweden takes on the United Kingdom as light heavyweight contestants Karl Albrekttson and Simeon Powell meet. Powell holds the accolade of runner-up in the 2023 PFL Europe Light Heavyweight Championship, and starts his fourth year in the league. Simeon has come out on top in 91% of his career bouts, compared to his opponent’s 74%. “King” steps into the cage for baptism of fire in the PFL against a tall, calculated opponent who consistently gets the job done.

Alex “King Kong” Romanov (-175) vs. Tim Johnson (+145) –Heavyweight

A hard hitting battle is on the cards when Alex Romanov meets American Tim Johnson. Johnson has only won 62% of his 29 fights, but he’s finished 13 meetings by KO, TKO or submission. He is a beast of a man who is in a hurry to get the job done, with his last three fights ending before the end of the first round. The American is up against a quality opponent in “King Kong” who has only lost three times in 21 trips into the SmartCage.

Expert Pick for PFL First Round 5/1

Former Light Heavyweight Champion Rob Wilkinson earns our support as the expert pick for the PFL heavyweight and light heavyweight fights this Friday. The Australian boasts an 86% win record, compared to his Davis’ 77%.

Where to Bet on PFL

Now that you’re armed with the latest odds and expert picks for the Heavyweight and Light Heavyweight divisions in the PFL World Tournament, it’s time to place your bets. NXTbets has partnered with several reputable sportsbooks to ensure that you have a seamless betting experience. To bet on the first round of the PFL World Tournament, check out partnered sportsbooks. Simply follow the links to register an account, deposit funds, and start betting.

1
Hot & Trending
BET $5 ON PFL, GET $200
IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY
8690 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.8
2
Fan Favorite
BET $5 ON PFL, GET $250
IN BONUS BETS IF YOU WIN
6369 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.9
3
Fan Favorite
GET UP TO $1000 IN BONUS BETS
PAID BACK IF YOU LOSE
7749 other players have claimed this offer
Must be 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
logo

Offer Score

9.7
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