Best Bets: WSL MEO Rip Curl Pro Odds Analysis 2025

Schedule and How to Watch WSL MEO Rip Curl Pro

First call on March 15th is at 7:30 AM WET, which is 3:30 AM on the East Coast. Ten days are reserved for action, and heats and knockout stages will go ahead weather permitting. ESPN+ is the official North American broadcaster for the WSL MEO Rip Curl Pro, bringing you every tube, wipeout and clean ride.

2025 Rip Curl Pro Men’s Odds 

Italo Ferreira (+600)

The showman, Italo Ferreira made his intentions clear early in the season, registering a win in Abu Dhabi and third in Hawaii. He tops the rankings and enters the Rip Curl Pro with an average heat score of 14.04.

Griffin Colapinto (+600)

Griffin Colapinto returns to Portugal hoping to defend his title. The Californian has only triumphed in one heat this season, and could use a boost to his campaign. He improved on a season-opening 17th with a round of 16 entry in Abu Dhabi. The celebrations were short-lived as Griffin fell to Jackson Bunch.

Jack Robinson (+682)

Jack Robonson exited the season opener in the round of 32, but showed resilience to make the semis in Abu Dhabi. The Aussie put on a solid display racking up 15.03 in the heat, but it wasn’t enough to take down Ferreira who scored 17.37 to progress to the final. His performance in the Middle East has raised his season heat average from 12.64 to 13.49.

Filipe Toledo (+851)

Filipe Toledo, the double WSL Series Champion, has struggled to make the business end of proceedings in Abu Dhabi and Oahu. He was knocked out in the round of 16 on both occasions and is looking for his first victory since returning to action from a sabbatical. Toledo sits 10th on the rankings in 2025 with an average heat score of 11.70, well off his best.

Ethan Ewing (+1000)

A losing finalist here in 2024, Ethan Ewing is out for revenge over the next 10 days. The Australian lost out to Kelly Slater in the round of 16 at the Lexus Pipe Pro, but he bounced back in the Emirates to book a semi-final date with Rio Waida. It was a nail biter, but the Indonesian just pipped Ewing in the Middle East.

Expert Pick: 2025 Men’s WSL MEO Rip Curl Pro

Italo Ferreira last won in Portugal in 2019, before backing it up with a third place return in 2022. His ability to win in these swells, coupled with consistent performances early in the season, make him our expert pick. Italo is priced at +600 for the win in Portugal,  with a potential payday of $140 on a $20 bet.

2025 WSL MEO RipCurl Pro Women’s Odds

Event Winner Odds

Caitlin Simmers (+344)

Teenage sensation Caitlin Simmers is the one to beat this season after a sensational start to 2025. She lost out in the final at Pipeline to Tyler Wright but dazzled the surfing world in Abu Dhabi as she drove through the tubes to register at 16.10 in the final, 0.40 points ahead of Molly Pickum. Simmers last finished outside the top five in a WSL event at the Tahiti Pro in 2024.

Caroline Marks (+407)

Caroline Marks started the season as the Title favorite, but she hasn’t managed to fire yet. The Floridan found herself knocked out of the quarter finals in both events this year, leading to two fifth place returns. Five seems to be her number as Marks finished fifth in Peniche last season. Marks won the Supertubos test in 2019, demolishing Lakey Peterson in the final.

Tyler Wright (+861)

The veteran, Tyler Wright ripped into 2025 in style, winning at Pipeline to take the early series lead. She slipped up in Abu Dhabi, finishing ninth and pushing her down to third on the standings, behind Simmers and Picklum. Tyler finished runner up at the MEO Rip Curl Pro last year, and is yet to taste victory here.

Tatiana Weston-Webb (+926)

Brazilian icon Tatiana Weston-Webb will enjoy the familiarity of her mother tongue in Peniche this week. The season has proved challenging, but this event has proved kind to Weston-Webb over the years. She has podiumed in her last four trips to Portugal, including a victory in 2022.

Molly Picklum (+1043)

Molly Picklum has a Caitlin Simmers problem she needs to overcome. The teenager has eliminated Picklum in both events, but the Aussie has two podiums to her name in 2025. Picklum battled hard in the Surf Abu Dhabi Pro final, eventually losing by 0.40 points to Simmers. Picklum’s best trip to the Portuguese West coast was back in 2023, when she finished fifth.

Expert Pick: Women’s WSL MEO Rip Curl Pro

Caitlin Simmers continues to impress us in 2025 after her win in Abu Dhabi. She is in scintillating form and arrives at a venue where she has won once in only two starts. Sportsbooks have Simmers at +344, with an approximate return of $88.80 on a $20 bet.

H2H Odds MEO Rip Curl Pro

Men’s H2H Odds

H2H 1

Top ranked Italo Ferreira takes on the defending Rip Curl Pro Champion Griffin Colapinto in the first matchup. Ferreira is in superb form with one win and a podium in two events.

H2H 2

Australian Jack Robinson is the favorite in his matchup against Filipe Toledo. The Brazilian has struggled to progress past the round of 16 this season.

H2H 3

Ethan Ewing is favored to topple season wildcard Joao Chianca. Ewing starts with four heat wins under the belt in 2025.

H2H 4

Yago Dora has the punter’s faith against Italian, Leonardo Fiorvanti. The Brazilian just lost out to Jack Robinson in the quarters last round, pushing him into 15th on the rankings. Leonardo started the season strong with a second place on the North Shore, but faltered in Abu Dhabi finishing 17th.

H2H 5

South African surfing icon Jordy Smith faces the 2025 Lexus Pipeline Champion, Barron Mamiya. Mamiya has struggled outside of Hawaii historically, giving Smith the mental advantage here. Both surfers exited this event in the round of 32 last time out.

Women’s H2H Odds

H2H 1

Caitlin Simmers is firing on all cylinders this year and her odds reflect it against Caroline Marks. Simmers has eight heat wins to her name this season compared to Marks’ three.

H2H 2

Third ranked Tyler Wright gets the nod of approval from bettors against Brisa Hennessy, and for good reason. Wright has prevailed in five heats in the first two events versus the Costa Rican’s one.

H2H 3

Defending Rip Curl Pro Champion Johanne Defay takes on the 2022 Champion Tatiana Weston-Webb. These competitors are yet to advance past the round of 16 this season, and neither have won a heat. The Brazilian, Weston-Webb, has a better overall record in Portugal, picking up four podiums in her last four visits.

H2H 4

World number two Molly Picklum dominates her opponents when their last name isn’t Simmers. Molly has six heat wins to her tally in 2025, double that of her rival Gabriela Bryan. The Hawaiian finished third in Abu Dhabi, after a round of 16 exit in the season opener.

H2H 5

Lakey Peterson was strong in the season opener, finishing third after a semi final loss to the eventual winner Tyler Wright. Lakey has won two heats this campaign against Sally Fitzgibbons zero.

Where to Bet on WSL

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A marathon of surfing action lies ahead of us at Praia dos Supertubos from March 15th to 25th. Can the top-ranked Italo Ferreira and Caitlin Simmers continue their series dominance? Or will Griffin Colapinto and Johanne Defay defend their titles in Peniche.