Best Bets: 2024 AMA 450MX Hangtown Classic Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Best Bets and Picks for the Hangtown Classic

Top Picks and Bets

At this point, it’s hard to bet against Jett Lawrence (-280 for the win, -2173 for the podium) as he looks to continue his perfect start to the season. The 20-year-old phenom was in a class of his own at Fox Raceway, leading all but one lap across the two motos and showcasing the blistering speed and unmatched race craft that have made him the most dominant force in the sport. Lawrence’s mastery of the Hangtown track is well-documented, with three straight overall wins at the venue dating back to his 250 Class days. Barring any unforeseen circumstances, it’s hard to envision a scenario where the #1 plate isn’t atop the podium come Saturday afternoon.

If anyone can challenge Lawrence, it’s his Honda HRC teammate and chief rival, Chase Sexton (+835 for the win, -196 for the podium). The 2023 450SX champion showcased his incredible pace at Fox Raceway, charging hard in Moto 2 to finish just 1.3 seconds behind Lawrence and salvage a third-place overall finish. Sexton’s blistering speed and relentless determination make him a perennial contender, and he’ll be extra motivated to prove that his late-season surge in Supercross was a sign of things to come. With six 450 Class wins already under his belt, the Illinois native has proven he has what it takes to beat the best in the business. Now, he’ll be looking to add to that tally and establish himself as the clear-cut second-best rider in the class. With a track that suits his aggressive style and a point to prove, Hangtown could be the perfect stage for Sexton to make a statement and put himself firmly in the championship conversation.

Rounding out the top picks is none other than Jett’s older brother, Hunter Lawrence (+1654 for the win, +161 for the podium). The elder Lawrence had a sensational 450 Class debut at Fox Raceway, going 2-3 for second overall and giving Honda HRC its third straight 1-2 finish at the season opener. Hunter’s smooth, calculated style and unrelenting consistency make him a podium threat every time he hits the track, and his intimate knowledge of Jett’s tendencies could prove invaluable as he looks to mount a championship challenge of his own. Keep an eye on the #96 as he aims to make it a family affair at the front of the pack.

Outsider Picks

While the top picks may garner the most attention, there’s a hungry pack of outsiders eager to crash the podium party at Hangtown. Chief among them is Red Bull KTM Factory Racing’s Aaron Plessinger (+4248 for the win, +348 for the podium), who turned heads with a strong third-place finish in Moto 1 at Fox Raceway. The 2018 250 Class champion’s unique blend of speed, style, and raw talent make him a fan favorite and a podium contender when he puts it all together. If Plessinger can avoid the costly mistakes that have plagued him in the past, don’t be surprised to see the #7 machine mixing it up with the heavy hitters.

Another outsider with the potential to shake things up is Monster Energy Yamaha Star Racing’s Dylan Ferrandis (+4662 for the win, +385 for the podium). The Frenchman had a quiet but consistent day at Fox Raceway, going 7-5 for fourth overall, and will look to build on that momentum at a track that suits his smooth, flowing style. Ferrandis has a penchant for picking up steam as the season progresses, as evidenced by his runner-up finish in last year’s championship, and Hangtown could be the perfect place for him to announce his presence as a title contender.

Rounding out the sleeper picks is the always-dangerous Jason Anderson (+4900 for the win, +1105 for the podium). The Monster Energy Kawasaki rider had a forgettable opener at Fox Raceway, going 10-4 for sixth overall, but anyone who’s followed Anderson’s career knows that he’s capable of winning on any given day. The 2018 450SX champion’s aggressive, no-holds-barred approach is tailor-made for the high-speed, high-risk nature of Hangtown, and if he can keep it on two wheels and avoid any major mistakes, the #21 could find himself in the mix for a surprise podium.

Head-To-Head Picks

Beyond the overall podium fight, there are some intriguing head-to-head matchups to keep an eye on at Hangtown. The battle between Dylan Ferrandis and Aaron Plessinger (+100/-130) could be particularly spicy, as both riders have a point to prove after somewhat disappointing openers. The duel between Chase Sexton and Hunter Lawrence (-216/+159) could also be crucial in the championship chase, as both riders look to establish themselves as the clear-cut second-best rider behind Jett. And don’t sleep on the clash between veterans Jason Anderson and Christian Craig (-123/-107), who have something to prove after lackluster starts to the season.

Expert Pick for the Hangtown Classic

If you’re looking for a sneaky podium bet with serious upside potential, look no further than Hunter Lawrence at +161. While all eyes will be on his younger brother Jett and the always-dangerous Chase Sexton, the elder Lawrence has the speed, consistency, and track record to make some noise at Hangtown. A small wager on the #96 Honda to finish in the top three could yield a hefty payout if he puts it all together, and given his impressive 450 Class debut at Fox Raceway (2-3 for second overall), that’s looking like an increasingly wise investment.

2024 AMA Pro Motocross Championship Futures

To the surprise of absolutely no one, Jett Lawrence‘s dominant performance at Fox Raceway has caused his championship odds to shorten even further. The defending champ now sits at a staggering -2539, compared to his pre-season odds of -604. Chase Sexton and Hunter Lawrence have seen their odds lengthen slightly to +3015 and +3868, respectively, while Eli Tomac (+5163) and Cooper Webb (+14,186) face an even steeper uphill climb after missing the opener due to injury. Barring a major shakeup, it’s looking more and more like Lawrence’s title to lose.

Where to Bet on the Hangtown Classic

Bets for the Hangtown Classic can be placed at our partner sportsbooks. Don’t forget to check the latest odds and promotions before placing your bets. If you’re new to the betting scene, check out NXTbet’s comprehensive SuperMotocross Betting Guide. 

As the AMA Pro Motocross Championship heads to Hangtown for Round 2, the stage is set for another weekend of heart-pounding, bar-banging action. With Jett Lawrence looking to extend his unbeaten streak, a host of challengers eager to dethrone the champ, and some intriguing head-to-head battles on tap, there’s no shortage of storylines to follow and betting opportunities to explore. So buckle up, motocross fans, and get ready for what promises to be a wild ride in the California capital. As always, stay tuned for all the latest analysis, insights, and breaking news throughout the weekend and beyond.

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