New Hampshire Motor Speedway’s Dollar Tree 301 lands as the next-to-last race before the NASCAR Cup Series Chase, with two races left to set the playoff field. Seven drivers have already clinched spots, including Chase Elliott for Hendrick Motorsports, and Joe Gibbs Racing arrives with all four of its drivers locked in. Denny Hamlin leads the standings by 115 points over Ryan Blaney after Richmond, and he brings four wins in 2026 and four straight top-five finishes into Loudon.
The race also shapes up as a test of track position and manufacturer strength. Toyota has won three of the four Next Gen races at New Hampshire and brings the deepest lineup, with five drivers already posting at least 10 top-five finishes. Christopher Bell, who has won at Loudon in 2022 and 2024, and defending winner Ryan Blaney are among the favorites. DraftKings lists Blaney at +450, Bell at +550, Hamlin and Joey Logano at +600, Chase Briscoe at +800 and Kyle Larson at +900. Toyota also has Christopher Bell and Chase Briscoe in the playoff field, while Chevrolet has not won at Loudon since 2012 even though it owns a track-best 19 Cup victories there.
The playoff bubble gives the weekend added weight, with New Hampshire and Daytona left to decide the field. Ross Chastain is two spots outside the cutline, and Ryan Preece, Brad Keselowski and Erik Jones are also outside it. Shane van Gisbergen has a 50-point cushion over the cutline, Austin Cindric is 57 points above it, and Larson, Joey Logano, Chris Buescher and Carson Hocevar can still lock in spots on points. The undercard includes Josh Berry, who has three straight top-10s and finished second at New Hampshire last year, plus Connor Zilisch, who is set for his first NASCAR national-series start and will run both the Truck and Cup races, and Austin Hill, who will make his first Cup start at New Hampshire.
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