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Best Bets: 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Best Bets: 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix Pre-Event Odds Analysis

Bonjour, Québec. Formula 1 moves North this weekend to the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve for round five of the 2026 Championship. The Italian teenager, Kimi Antonelli, enters the third sprint weekend at the helm of the pre-event odds sheet and holds a 20-point buffer in the Drivers’ Standings. His closest chaser remains George Russell, who is itching to return to the podium after missing out in the last two rounds. Discover the polymarket betting markets for the Canadian Grand Prix and the best tips ahead of the second stop in North America this year.

After reading, check out our partner sportsbooks to get valuable promotions and place your bets.

In addition to traditional sports betting on F1, the Formula 1 Lenovo Grand Prix du Canada offers Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) and Real Money Gaming in a Pick’Em style on Underdog.

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Schedule and How to Watch the F1 Canada

Teams are setting up in the pit lanes of the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve this weekend for the annual Canadian Grand Prix. Another sprint weekend lies ahead, which means drivers will undertake only one practice session on Friday, May 22, before switching to sprint qualifying. Despite the excitement around the short race, the main event takes center stage on Sunday, May 23, at 16:00 ET, which you can follow live on Apple TV.

Odds Subject to Change

Please note, the odds provided herein reflect the raw probability odds for this analysis and are based on the information available at the time of publishing. Different sportsbooks may adjust these odds based on market conditions, bettor behaviors, and other factors that could influence the betting landscape. For a deeper understanding of why odds for alternative sports betting change and how it might affect your betting strategy, we encourage you to read our detailed article: Why Do Alternative Sports Betting Odds Change?. Make informed decisions and always check the latest odds with your sportsbook before placing bets.

Live Formula 1 Odds

F1 Canadian Prix Odds

Event Winner Odds

Four rounds deep in the 2026 F1 Championship, and it’s an Italian teenager who rules the roost. Kimi Antonelli enters the Canadian Grand Prix off the back of a hat trick of victories and four consecutive podiums. Antonelli gets the jump on his senior teammate George Russell, who appears to have eased off the gas in recent rounds. He’s crossed the line in fourth in the last two events after winning the season opener. The Briton returns to Quebec to defend the title he clinched in 2025, but he’s struggled to keep up with his youthful teammate.

Besides the dominant Mercedes duo, the McLaren’s impressed down in Miami. Lando Norris took top honors in the short format and settled for runner-up in the main event. The reigning Drivers Champion hasn’t looked as comfortable behind the wheel as he did last year, but he’s starting to challenge the frontrunners. Wrapping up the event, the hopeful winner is Norris’ companion, Oscar Piastri. The Aussie has registered consecutive top threes leading into this round, after failing to start the opening two races.

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Driver
Event Winner
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
+203
$60.60
George Russell
+251
$70.20
Lando Norris
+590
$138.00
Max Verstappen
+852
$190.40
Oscar Piastri
+1150
$250.00
Charles Leclerc
+1438
$307.60
Lewis Hamilton
+3126
$645.20
Isack Hadjar
+49900
$10,000.00
Fernando Alonso
+66567
$13,333.40
Franco Colapinto
+99900
$20,000.00
Alex Albon
+99900
$20,000.00
Arvid Lindblad
+99900
$20,000.00
Esteban Ocon
+99900
$20,000.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+99900
$20,000.00
Liam Lawson
+99900
$20,000.00
Oliver Bearman
+99900
$20,000.00
Lance Stroll
+99900
$20,000.00
Sergio Perez
+99900
$20,000.00
Pierre Gasly
+199900
$40,000.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+199900
$40,000.00
Valtteri Bottas
+199900
$40,000.00

Expert Pick

The Drivers Championship leader, Kimi Antonelli, touches down in Montreal as our expert pick for glory. His worst finish in the opening four rounds was second place in Melbourne, before he went on a three-race win streak. Antonelli averages 1.25 across all races this season, making him an easy choice for an expert pick. Polymarket has the youngster at +203 for top honors, potentially paying out $60.60.

Lando Norris

Lando Norris is fresh off his maiden podium of the campaign. He is yet to win the Montreal Grand Prix.

Podium Odds

The Mercedes duo enters the weekend as the only drivers with negative odds for a podium finish, with the rest of the field offering excellent value for money. Lando Norris lines up in Montreal off the back of his maiden rostrum of the term. He averages 4.0 this year, with three finishes in four races. Following Norris on the odds sheet is his colleague Oscar Piastri, who endured a rough start to the campaign, failing to start the first two Grands Prix. However, he rebounded in Japan, earning a runner-up behind Antonelli, and followed it up with a third-place return in Miami.

Charles Leclerc returns to a track where he’s struggled on recent trips. His last podium at this track dates back to pre-pandemic times when he finished third in 2019. The Monagasque is in strong form, leading into round five with two podiums to his name this year and a 4.50 average across four rounds. Sticking with the Il Cavallino Rampante, Lewis Hamilton is the only other driver on the grid to have grabbed a top-three finish this term, but he starts after consecutive sixth-place finishes, averaging 4.75 this term.

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Driver
Event Podium
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
-245
$28.16
George Russell
-150
$33.33
Lando Norris
+133
$46.60
Oscar Piastri
+163
$52.60
Max Verstappen
+194
$58.80
Charles Leclerc
+208
$61.60
Lewis Hamilton
+545
$129.00
Isack Hadjar
+2253
$470.60
Esteban Ocon
+3025
$625.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+3471
$714.20
Franco Colapinto
+3536
$727.20
Arvid Lindblad
+3674
$754.80
Lance Stroll
+4344
$888.80
Pierre Gasly
+4344
$888.80
Alex Albon
+4445
$909.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+4445
$909.00
Oliver Bearman
+4778
$975.60
Fernando Alonso
+4900
$1,000.00
Sergio Perez
+4900
$1,000.00
Liam Lawson
+6797
$1,379.40
Valtteri Bottas
+7900
$1,600.00
Oscar Piastri

Oscar Piastri has recorded consecutive rostrums in his last two Sunday races.

Fastest Lap

Championship leader Kimi Antonelli starts round five with two fastest lap awards to his name. However, his unbeaten streak was broken in Miami when McLaren’s Lando Norris clocked the fastest lap time. The result in Florida marked Norris’ maiden scalp of the season after he and his teammate dominated this race in 2025.

Max Verstappen joins Antonelli and Norris as one of only three drivers to collect the quickest lap award, but his odds sit on the longer end at +1150 to achieve the feat. Verstappen stopped the clock fastest in Australia, but has yet to replicate the result. The second favorite to earn the fastest lap in Canada is George Russell, a mission he accomplished on his last visit to the Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve, when he registered 1:14.119.

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Driver
Fastest Lap
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
+344
$88.80
George Russell
+488
$117.60
Lando Norris
+852
$190.40
Charles Leclerc
+1150
$250.00
Lewis Hamilton
+1150
$250.00
Max Verstappen
+1150
$250.00
Oscar Piastri
+1150
$250.00
Franco Colapinto
+1225
$265.00
Isack Hadjar
+1233
$266.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+1880
$396.00
Pierre Gasly
+6352
$1,290.40
Alex Albon
+9424
$1,904.80
Arvid Lindblad
+9424
$1,904.80
Esteban Ocon
+9424
$1,904.80
Fernando Alonso
+9424
$1,904.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+9424
$1,904.80
Lance Stroll
+9424
$1,904.80
Liam Lawson
+9424
$1,904.80
Oliver Bearman
+9424
$1,904.80
Sergio Perez
+9424
$1,904.80
Valtteri Bottas
+9424
$1,904.80

Pole Position Odds

The Mercedes wunderkind, Antonelli, continues to top the betting markets for qualifying, after taking pole position in three out of four rounds. Kimi’s worst return on a Saturday this year was when he settled for second place behind his senior peer in Melbourne. George Russell touches down in Montreal as the favorite to take pole at +245, but he struggled in Florida last time, starting from fifth place on the grid. His best qualifying round came in the season opener, “Down Under,” where he took first place. He followed it up with consecutive runner-ups in the Saturday afternoon session in China and Japan.

Max Verstappen produced his best qualifying round in Southern Florida, claiming second spot on the grid. It was Red Bull’s best qualifying performance all year, after Isack Hadjar claimed third in Australia. Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc start qualifying as long shots to bag the front spot on the grid. They’ll need to discover more speed if they want pole position, because third is the team’s best starting position this year. 

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Driver
Pole Position
Payout on $20
George Russell
+245
$69.00
Kimi Antonelli
+257
$71.40
Oscar Piastri
+471
$114.20
Lando Norris
+525
$125.00
Max Verstappen
+669
$153.80
Charles Leclerc
+700
$160.00
Lewis Hamilton
+900
$200.00
Isack Hadjar
+3674
$754.80
Pierre Gasly
+3674
$754.80
Oliver Bearman
+4900
$1,000.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+7307
$1,481.40
Lance Stroll
+8233
$1,666.60
Esteban Ocon
+11011
$2,222.20
Alex Albon
+11665
$2,353.00
Sergio Perez
+22122
$4,444.40
Arvid Lindblad
+24900
$5,000.00
Nico Hulkenberg
+28471
$5,714.20
Fernando Alonso
+39900
$8,000.00
Franco Colapinto
+39900
$8,000.00
Liam Lawson
+39900
$8,000.00
Valtteri Bottas
+49900
$10,000.00

Sprint Winner

Saturday marks the halfway point of the 2026 F1 sprint season, as drivers line up for round three. George Russell hits the asphalt as the favorite for the short format, despite finishing fourth on the previous weekend. He averages 2.50 across two races, the same average as Lando Norris. “Last Lap Lando” offers exceptional value for the sprint race at +456.

Oscar Piastri joins his partner as a potential sprint threat after claiming second in Miami. The result marked a massive improvement for the Australian, who found himself back in sixth on the first sprint weekend. We close out the sprint contenders with Charles Leclerc, who is handsomely priced at +1076 for top honors. The Ferrari driver is the only competitor on the grid to grab consecutive podiums in the sprint format this year. Like Norris and Russell, Leclerc also averages 2.50 after two races.

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Driver
Sprint Winner
Payout on $20
George Russell
+245
$69.00
Kimi Antonelli
+264
$72.80
Lando Norris
+456
$111.20
Max Verstappen
+733
$166.60
Oscar Piastri
+900
$200.00
Charles Leclerc
+1076
$235.20
Lewis Hamilton
+1329
$285.80
Isack Hadjar
+3025
$625.00
Pierre Gasly
+3604
$740.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+3982
$816.40
Franco Colapinto
+4067
$833.40
Alex Albon
+4900
$1,000.00
Sergio Perez
+4900
$1,000.00
Arvid Lindblad
+5028
$1,025.60
Nico Hulkenberg
+5028
$1,025.60
Fernando Alonso
+5456
$1,111.20
Liam Lawson
+5782
$1,176.40
Esteban Ocon
+5961
$1,212.20
Lance Stroll
+12400
$2,500.00
Valtteri Bottas
+12400
$2,500.00

Sprint Pole Odds

The British have owned the sprint qualifying so far in 2026. George Russell topped qualifying on the opening sprint weekend in Shanghai, while his compatriot Lando Norris clocked the fastest time in Miami. Norris continues to ooze value, lining up at +545 for a place on the front row, averaging two across two sprint qualifying sessions this term.

Kimi Antonelli arrives in Canada with two second-place performances in the short-format qualifying. The Italian has three fastest qualifier awards in the trophy cabinet this campaign, highlighting his speed, but he’s yet to do it in the sprints. Oscar Piastri is another driver who is yet to bag top honors in this market, but he qualified third in the last round after a fifth-place start in China.

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Driver
Fastest Sprint Qualifier
Payout on $20
George Russell
+227
$65.40
Kimi Antonelli
+228
$65.60
Lando Norris
+545
$129.00
Oscar Piastri
+770
$174.00
Max Verstappen
+1005
$221.00
Charles Leclerc
+1017
$223.40
Lewis Hamilton
+1329
$285.80
Gabriel Bortoleto
+18082
$3,636.40
Isack Hadjar
+18082
$3,636.40
Liam Lawson
+18082
$3,636.40
Nico Hulkenberg
+18082
$3,636.40
Valtteri Bottas
+19900
$4,000.00
Franco Colapinto
+28471
$5,714.20
Pierre Gasly
+28471
$5,714.20
Esteban Ocon
+33233
$6,666.60
Lance Stroll
+33233
$6,666.60
Oliver Bearman
+33233
$6,666.60
Sergio Perez
+33233
$6,666.60
Alex Albon
+39900
$8,000.00
Arvid Lindblad
+39900
$8,000.00
Fernando Alonso
+49900
$10,000.00

2026 F1 Futures

After four rounds in the 2026 Championship, Kimi Antonelli has racked up a 20-point lead over his senior, George Russell. The teenager is now favored to claim the title at +162, but there is plenty of racing to come. Russell started the year with a bang, taking the checkered flag in Australia. He hasn’t won a race since then, but has remained consistent, finishing second, fourth, and fourth in the past three rounds.

Charles Leclerc enters round five in third on the standings after producing two podiums. At the same time, Lando Norris is eight points adrift of the Monagasque, after producing his maiden podium of the season last time out. One of the stars of 2025, Oscar Piastri, starts with long odds of +1823, but he’s improved over the last two race weekends, bagging consecutive podiums.

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Driver
Drivers Championship Odds
Payout on $20
Kimi Antonelli
+162
$52.40
George Russell
+223
$64.60
Lando Norris
+785
$177.00
Max Verstappen
+1513
$322.60
Oscar Piastri
+1823
$384.60
Charles Leclerc
+2074
$434.80
Lewis Hamilton
+5782
$1,176.40
Alexander Albon
+24900
$5,000.00
Esteban Ocon
+24900
$5,000.00
Fernando Alonso
+24900
$5,000.00
Franco Colapinto
+24900
$5,000.00
Gabriel Bortoleto
+24900
$5,000.00
Nico Hülkenberg
+24900
$5,000.00
Valtteri Bottas
+24900
$5,000.00
Arvid Lindblad
+33233
$6,666.60
Carlos Sainz Jr.
+33233
$6,666.60
Isack Hadjar
+33233
$6,666.60
Liam Lawson
+33233
$6,666.60
Pierre Gasly
+33233
$6,666.60
Sergio Pérez
+33233
$6,666.60
Lance Stroll
+49900
$10,000.00
Oliver Bearman
+49900
$10,000.00

Where to Bet on the Montreal Grand Prix

Teenage sensation Kimi Antonelli returns to the scene of his maiden F1 podium. Since then, he’s gone on to win three Grands Prix, all of them arriving in the last three rounds. Can the youngster further extend his lead in Montreal, or will we start to see a fight back this weekend from Ferrari or McLaren drivers? 

Visit our partner sportsbooks to access special deals that will elevate your betting experience as you prepare for the Formula 1 Crypto.com Miami Grand Prix. If you’re a newbie in the world of F1 betting, our comprehensive F1 Betting Guide is a must-read. Remember to enjoy the race and make your betting choices wisely. Betting responsibly ensures the fun lasts all season long.

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